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Please click to pay attention to [Rural Guanzhong] to discuss the changes in the pig market.
【Introduction】Pig prices plummeted at the end of the month, why are pig farmers sitting on the Diaoyutai? Turns out they have this reassuring pill?
As we enter November, the weather in the north is getting colder and pork consumption is entering the regular peak demand season. However, from the perspective of the consumption released by the pig price system, for pig farmers, a basin of cold water has been poured again, and in the early winter weather environment, it is still very mad.
Judging from the released market data, the pig price on October 31 took a sharp turn, fell rapidly, and had a tendency to plummet. Judging from the trend of 30 provinces and municipalities, the performance is 3 up, 9 flat and 18 up, or let the pig farmers pinch a cold sweat. From the perspective of regional distribution, Inner Mongolia in North China rose by 0.20 yuan / jin, Xinjiang in the northwest region rose by 0.4 yuan / jin, and Sichuan in the southwest region rose by 0.1 yuan / jin. Compared with yesterday's big rise, today's big fall is really incomprehensible. What's wrong with the pig price?
Looking at it again, Fujian in East China, Hunan in Central China, Guangdong and Hainan in South China, Qinghai ningxia in the northwest region, and Chongqing, Yunnan and Guizhou in the southwest region, the pig prices in these 9 provinces and regions are flat with yesterday, basically maintaining at 7.0 ~ 8.0 yuan / kg, compared with the previous days of rising prices, there is no decline, flat with it, the market change is not large, completely within the acceptable range of pig farmers.
Today, we mainly analyze the changes in the provinces where pig prices have fallen. Shanghai, Shandong, Anhui, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and other 5 provinces and cities in East China all fell by 0.2 yuan / catty. Two provinces in central China, including Jiangxi and Hubei, both fell by 0.1 yuan / catty, and Henan fell by 0.2 yuan / catty. Guangxi in South China fell 0.1 yuan / catty. Beijing, Tianjin, Shanxi and other three provinces and cities in North China fell by 0.3 yuan / jin, and Hebei fell by 0.2 yuan / jin. The three provinces of Heilongjiang, Jilin and Liaoning in the northeast region fell by 0.2 yuan / catty. There is also Shaanxi in the northwest region down 0.2 yuan / jin, Gansu fell 0.1 yuan / jin. Judging from this downward trend, has the pig price really entered the stage of shock change?
Of course, we can not ignore the reality of the price of slaughter enterprises, because the previous period continued to rise, the pig price below 5.0 yuan / kg directly pulled back to the 8.0 ~ 8.5 yuan / kg stage, it is conceivable that they can only find ways to suppress the rise in the market, in order to maximize the maintenance and ensure the maximization of their own interests. As soon as this move comes, it is very likely that the slaughtering enterprises will pull together the gangs in the chain of interests behind the scenes and effectively curb the rapid rise in pig prices.
As far as the market trend of the whole October is concerned, the pig price has shown a relatively large upward trend, which has effectively curbed the fact of serious losses for pig farmers; but an important factor that cannot be ignored is that as the weather turns cold, the unpredictable epidemic affects one after another, or directly affects the number of pig transfers and pork imports, so the possibility of pig prices showing an upward trend in the winter of this year has become very large. It can be seen that pig farmers are not too worried about the current decline in pig prices; moreover, the current pig prices are still maintained in the favorable range of 7 to 8 yuan / catty, which is a rare reassuring pill.
It can be predicted that in the short term, the change trend of pig prices will not change much, and the favorable trend of rising more and falling less is still accumulating and forming. At the same time, as the time enters November, the cold weather continues to intensify, the peak season of pork consumption follows, the family's meat consumption will inevitably increase sharply, and the conditions for pig farmers to usher in a great opportunity to make profits again are ripe! Therefore, there is no need for pig farmers to worry about today's decline, nor is there any need to "secretly cross the Old Warehouse" but should maintain sufficient concentration, because the favorable situation is on the side of pig farmers. You say, right?
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