What is the future of the world? Lee Kuan Yew once made five predictions, and now it seems to be relatively accurate.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" > Despite China's rise, the United States will remain the world's number one power for decades to come. </h1>
I believe that this everyone will not have any opinions, at present, the strength of the United States is still a lot higher, the recent Nobel Prize, the Americans have arranged most of it, indicating that the United States is still the world's science and technology center. The United States is still the world's immigration center, and world-class talents are still running to the United States. If the United States does not make a fool of itself, it will not be a problem to be the boss for another fifty years.
<h1 class= "pgc-h-arrow-right" > Europe is headed for recession and the eurozone is likely to disintegrate. </h1>
The main reason for Europe's decline is the move towards a welfare society, where you can live a more decent life than a hard-working person in Asia without going to work, which is the envy of European society, but it will also make Europe lose vitality and eventually lose its competitiveness.
There are also some foreign immigrants, and the demographic structure of some European countries has begun to change, such as France. Many of these people are welfare-eaters.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" > no hope for Japan</h1>
One of the reasons is that Japanese society is aging in the population. However, Japan's current fertility rate is actually higher than China's. China is now taking a census, and Chinese population is aging, the results will be available soon.
Finally, Lee Kuan Yew believes that with the rise of China, Japan will move toward mediocrity.
In the long course of history, Japan has always been a relatively mediocre existence, and in modern times, it has taken the lead in reforming and has moved towards a powerful road, which has been accompanied by aggression.
At present, Japan still has a strong strength in science and technology, but the peak period has passed, and Japan should be the United Kingdom of East Asia, a rich island country in the future.
<h1 class = "pgc-h-arrow-right" > the Korean Peninsula and is unlikely to be unified in the short term. </h1>
Recently Moon jae-in said that "South Korea and the United States should jointly declare the official end of the Korean War from 1950 to 1953"
What does that mean? The Korean Armistice Agreement signed in 1953 is only a military armistice agreement, and the two koreas have not signed a peace agreement, which means that the two countries are still in a state of armistice in the war.
One of the implications of Moon's hope for a peace agreement is to formalize the current state. It is also natural to put an end to the war impulse of the South to unify the North and the North to unify the South. The current situation on the Korean Peninsula is more smooth in legal terms, so naturally the Korean Peninsula cannot be unified.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" > India is influenced by history and culture, and it is difficult to rise like China. </h1>
What kind of historical and cultural influences have made India unable to rise? One is that Historically, India has had more geographical concepts than national concepts.
Some people say that China is a civilization disguised as a country, then India may be a geographical region disguised as a country.
Tagore said, "India has never been a country, but a geographical concept. ”
India is a combination of large and small native states, with four hundred languages in the country, and in essence, it is more like Europe. If it weren't for Britain, the country of India might never have emerged.
Now that India has emerged, how can it be maintained? A common goal is necessarily needed. It is religiously Hindu, but India also needs strong nationalism to support it. Therefore, India has always been very high-profile and has always considered itself the third in the world. India's strength against Pakistan, Sikkim, Nepal, Bhutan, including China, is actually for internal cohesion.
Therefore, India often beats chicken blood, but this kind of chicken blood is not sustainable, there is always a tired day, if there is no real cultural cohesion, the cohesion of values, India to be really strong is not an easy task.
In addition, India's caste system also affects India's development, and India's brain drain is also very serious. Indians pride themselves on the fact that their talent is mixed well in the United States, but the better they mix, the more it proves that there is no attraction at home.
This year's epidemic, India has not been well controlled, and many indian orders have flowed back to China.
In the end, Lee Kuan Yew's judgment on China is that it will rise in its current state.