Yan Xiaohua: Long text analysis! What about the Nets vs Jazz scores?

301 Nets vs Jazz

For the Nets, a bad news is that Durant will be quarantined for a week because of contact with new crown patients, triggering the league's health and safety agreement, so that the Nets' three major offensive players (Durant and Ding Ondi) are gone, leaving only the lonely Irving, can the Nets' offense be guaranteed?

Not surprisingly, the ball will pile infinitely in Irving's hands for the next week, and Irving's ability to lead the team alone is often criticized, but as one of the league's top singles players, his personal offense is definitely guaranteed, and tomorrow Irving will go into Curry's mode with the Warriors — let go of the pick, in a sense, this is his favorite mode (one word, cool)

And Harris and LeVert can support Irving on the offensive end, Harris is an empty three-pointer, does not need the ball, LeVert has been sent to the bench to lead the second team this season is not good, tomorrow there is a high probability of returning to the starting lineup, using the opportunity created by Irving's surprise attack, impacting the opponent's basket is conducive to his play. So aside from the impact on the outcome of the game, I think even if the two big nets are missing, the nets' score is still guaranteed.

In our habitual impression, their opponent tomorrow's jazz is a team with heavy defensive genes, but in fact, the Jazz in these two seasons have changed a lot, the defense of the new season can only be said to be decent, the defensive efficiency of 106.7 is medium to high, an ordinary regular season, facing an opponent with serious blood loss, the defense is not too intense.

In fact, the Jazz are now doing a better offensive job than defending, except for Mitchell's low individual offensive efficiency, the overall offensive efficiency is very high, scoring 112 points per 100 rounds. Thanks to their staffing, the Jazz have five offensive ball carriers — Mitchell, Conley, Bojan and Ingles and Clarkson on the bench — who can shoot bursts and fit their tradition of transferring the ball, going further than tradition is their current 3-pointer.

Taking a sample of the Nets' past games, although Nash claimed to change the team's defense after taking office, the results were not obvious. In particular, in the backcourt, Irving, Harris and Carballo are not good defenders, and the flanks are worse without Durant. As for the interior, although there are two good defenders, Jordan Jr. and Allen, the protective frame is always a problem, except for the opener to play the Warriors, the Nets have lost rebounds in all games this season, and the backcourt rebounding rate is at the bottom of the league.

So tomorrow, the Nets will not be able to prevent the Jazz's offense at all, and the weak rebounding ability will give the Jazz more opportunities. Although the Jazz's pace is not fast, the offensive efficiency is placed there.

If the Nets want to win, the defense can't solve the problem at all, only let go!

The lottery index size dividing line is 228.5, and for the Nets with serious blood loss at home, against the Jazz, who are not fast-paced and defensive, the resistance of the big score is enough. Recommend a big score to play.