Having analyzed a number of previous World Cup matches won by Argentina, let's talk about a painful defeat in the past, the World Cup final in 1990.
Speaking of this match, it can be said that the scene in the previous World Cup finals is the most one-sided, although the score gap is not huge. First, let's take a look at the lineups of both sides.
Sid
Goalkeeper: Irgna
Defenders: Bremer, Buchwald, Augenthaler, Kohler, Bethold
Midfielders: Litbarski, Hasler, Mateus
Forwards: Waller, Klinsmann
Argentina
Goalkeeper: Goyetchea
Defenders: Simon, Rugery, Saint-Sinai, Serizula
Midfielders: Basuardo, Lorenzo, Bruchaga, Troglio, Maradona
Forward: DeSoti
The whole team took a group photo after West Germany won the championship
Argentina captain Maradona motivated his teammates before the game
First of all, a brief introduction to the German lineup, compared to 86 years is not necessarily much stronger, especially the starting striker Waller's shooting skills are really far worse than Rummenigge, in the 90s this final Germany shot as many as 24 times, from the video most impressive to Germany is Worrell spit cake again and again. Especially in the semi-finals against England, but also played in the penalty shootout, it can be seen that this German team is not an invincible master.
In that final in '86, Argentina had a clear advantage and far more chances to score goals than Germany, and this time the ball was hung from beginning to end, and the root cause was that Argentina's strength was much worse than that of 4 years ago. The 86 Argentina team has one of the best midfield battles and control in history, no less than titikaka in 10 Spain, and the finishing ability of the front line is stronger than that of 10 Spain. Except for the two backest centre-backs, Brown and Rugeri, and goalkeeper Pompido, everyone is actively participating in the competition in midfield, around the king Maradona, and there is a group of delicate helpers around, naturally the control of the midfield will be firmly grasped. And the way the team ended, there was Maradona using his personal ability to pass the opponent's defense alone, there was a snatch point in the Baldano penalty area, there was Brucharga's back-insertion score, and there were two tall center-backs Brown and Rugeri scoring with set-piece headers. (The reason for this goal condition is because the control of the midfield is in hand, creating more set-piece opportunities, so that the possibility of converting into goals is greater, which is not available in 90 years)
Looking at Argentina in the 90s, the biggest reason for the complete loss of control of the midfield is that maradona and Bruchaga's status has fallen off a cliff compared to 4 years ago. Maradona was 26 years old and Brutzaga was 24 years old in '86, which are the peak years of being an offensive player. Maradona in 90 years is 30 years old, although he is more and more popular in reading the game and organizing passes, but this is no longer the Maradona who could make the copper wall disappear as soon as he broke through the ball 4 years ago. And Brutzaga's performance is even more hot-eyed, 90 years of Brutzaga fat a full circle, it is difficult to imagine the 86 final in the wind to kill the German people, actually only 4 years later, even the individual can not pass. Coupled with the fact that Baldano has retired, it can be said that the four major goalscoring methods of 86 years + midfield control have been completely lost! Fortunately, there are Caniggia and Goyetia, so the play of Argentina in the knockout round is particularly simple and effective, 9 people shrink in the half-court defense, with the ball to find Maradona, the old horse forward a foot to Caniggia, let Caniggia use the speed to rush it, if you can find an opportunity to shoot a kick, if you can't come back to defend and wait for the next opportunity. It doesn't matter if you really don't have a chance, drag in the penalty shootout, anyway, Goyetia can save.
But unfortunately, the semi-final opponent is the host Italy, and there is no doubt that the host is running for the championship. Despite a brutal 120-minute victory over a penalty shootout, Argentina once again reached the final, paying the price of a four-player suspension. The four men are left-back Orati Kochea, midfielders Batista and Giusti and striker Caniggia.
In fact, even if the 4 main players can play, Argentina's strength is far from being able to compare with 4 years ago, and it is still at a disadvantage compared to Germany. Of these four men, the first three were all in the final four years ago, objectively speaking, Batista and Giusti can also be replaced, while Orati Kochea's inability to play has caused Argentina to lose its left-wing attacker, And in the semifinals, Caniggia's back-of-the-head header came from Orati Kochea's left cross, and if he enters the penalty shootout, Oraticochea is still a stable free thrower. And Caniggia's inability to play is that Argentina's already weak offensive line has completely lost the ability to score goals, and de Sotti, who replaced him, has a mediocre strength and does not even play much role in containing the German defense. So for Germany, it only takes 2 people to lock up the old horse that is not at the top, there is no need to worry about conceding the ball, and the rest is to think about how to break through the Argentine defense to score.
But the problem is that Germany has already lost two consecutive World Cup finals, and lost four years ago when a clever pass from the old horse penetrated the defense before the finale. Once bitten by a snake for ten years afraid of the well rope, although the strength is obviously superior, Germany is also very conservative and cautious.
The course of the final gives several feelings: dull, tedious, one-sided, the referee's botched performance. This ball can hardly pick out any wonderful scenes, so let's analyze a few questions, 1 If it can drag in the penalty shootout, how many chances will Argentina have? 2If the four main players can play, will Argentina have a chance to win? 3 How clumsy the level of refereeing is.
First of all, if Argentina wants to win, the score in those 120 minutes must be 0:0, because Argentina has almost no chance of scoring, only waiting for a penalty shootout. But personally, I don't think it's a big win if the ball goes into the penalty shootout. Speaking of Goyetchea, his judgment when saving penalties is indeed very strong, and he can judge the direction of 7-80% in every penalty shootout, but his physical explosiveness is insufficient, so he is powerless to face a penalty with a particularly sharp angle. In the two penalty shootouts of the Copa America in 1993, Argentina's opponents Brazil and Colombia were all free throws in the first five rounds, and they were only saved by Goyetia in the sixth round, which shows that Goyacea's ability to save penalties is strong, but it is not invincible. On the German side, goalkeeper Irgna's ability to save penalties is a little worse than Goyechea's, but the 5 penalty shoot-outs that Germany may play, that is really a fantastic lineup: Bremer, Mateus, Litbarski, Reuter, Hasler. In the face of such 5 penalty shooters who can often shoot the ball into the dead corner, the possibility of Goyetia saving 2 is not very likely, of course, it is unlikely that all of them will be saved, and the probability is to save 1. Argentina's main penalty shooters in 1990 are: Serizura, Bruchaga, Maradona (although he conceded a penalty against Yugoslavia, the old horse still had a high penalty shooting rate), Orati Kochea, de Sotti. In the final, Orati Kochea could not play, Bruchaga was replaced early, Argentina had lost two very stable penalty shooters, and DeSoti, although he was hit in a penalty shootout against Yugoslavia, played the ball quite wide. In other words, argentina only have two stable penalty shootouts, Serizula and Maradona. There is also a factor, when playing penalties, if the physical energy is seriously overdrawn, it will also lead to technical deformation, and from the scene point of view, Argentina's physical fitness should be at a disadvantage, so the ball into the penalty shootout, Argentina's chances of winning are less than 40%.
Let's make another assumption, if the 4 main players can play, will Argentina have a chance to win? Personally, I think there should be, and the odds should be in the five-to-five. First of all, if Orati Kochea can play, the attack and defense on the left side will be greatly improved, Argentina's first red card Monzon, and the penalty obtained by Germany, are broken through the defensive line from the left side, replaced by the experienced Orati Kochea, it is likely to be avoided. Secondly, the two midfielders can play, and the control of the midfield will also be somewhat helpful, even if they can't compete for Germany, they will not fall into the overall disadvantage. More importantly, if Caniggia can play, the pressure on the German defense will increase sharply, and it will not be possible to unscrupulously throw in the front field, and there will be no 24:1 gap in the game. Of course, Germany is still the dominant side, and the game has a high probability of dragging into a penalty shootout 0-0. Entering a penalty shootout in this way would be very different from the previous situation. First of all, the presence of the threat of Caniggia will change the physical comparison between Argentina and Germany, and it is likely that Lardo does not need to replace Bruchaga to strengthen the defense, and Orati Kochea is also there. Thus entering the penalty shootout, Argentina's appearances will be: Serizura, Bruchaga, Orati Cochea, Maradona, De Sotti or Caniggia. With 5 penalty shooters, there is no huge gap in physical fitness, and with Goyetchea, Argentina's chances of winning the penalty shootout should not be less than 50%.
Finally, look at this level of clumsiness, the desire to perform is still so strong, the referee Mendes, who feels that his wrist is bigger than Maradona, show his face first, the one in the middle.
In the middle is referee Mendes
The protagonist of this game is not Maradona nor Mateus, but this one, to see some key scenes of the penalty.
Note: First of all, as an Argentine fan, I am not trying to express that the referee deprived Argentina of the championship, because Germany did show stronger strength in the final, and there was a penalty referee who should have been awarded to Germany.
In the 58th minute, Augenthaler received the ball and burst into the box, where he was shoveled to the ground by Goyetchea, an undisputed penalty, and the referee stepped forward to signal the game to continue.
In the 63rd minute, Monzon flew to shovel Klinsmann, and Klinsmann fell to the ground exaggeratedly, which was only a yellow card action at the time, but Mendes took out a red card. So far away, can you see clearly?
In the 77th minute, Calderon was tripped by Mateus in the penalty area, which was another penalty, and the referee was still so close that he still signaled for the game to continue.
In the 83rd minute, Worrell fell to the ground after physical contact with Saint Sini, and watched a little movement on Saint Sini's hand, but The moment Waller fell to the ground was obviously exaggerated. It was a penalty that could be judged or not, and most of the similar situations tended to be unjudged, but Mendes decided. Notice that this time Mendes was far away.
In the 87th minute, De Sotti locked his throat against Coral and was sent off by Mendes with a red card.
This time it was also far away, and this red card was no problem, and it was the only time in the 5 key penalties that it was correct.
With all due respect, I strongly suspect that Mendes is farsighted and needs to wear farsighted glasses...
Of Mendes' five key penalties, four were misjudgments. Of the four miscalculations, 1 west Germany suffered losses and 3 Argentina suffered losses. Through careful analysis, I personally feel that FIFA and the referee deliberately persecuted Argentina's claims, at least in this game, can not be completely hammered.
In addition, I don't think it can be analyzed in this way: Germany should give 1 penalty, Argentina should give 1 penalty, and there is a red card that becomes a yellow card. Because the game is changing rapidly, as long as one detail changes, the whole process will change completely. After all, under normal circumstances, it is Germany that should get the penalty first, and the score is likely to be 1:0 long ago, in which case argentina is difficult to equalize.
Although it cannot be completely said that Mendes blackened Argentina's championship, his poor level of law enforcement did ruin an unattractive final, which is an analysis of this final.