Seeing the supreme leader of Hamas killed in Iran, Iran's face could not be hung up. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Ali Ali ordered a direct attack on Israel. Will Iran's retaliation provoke a full-scale war between Israel and Iran?
Let's talk about the conclusion first, there is a high probability that it will not. But sporadic missile attacks and assassinations between the two countries will continue.
After all, Iran and Israel are a thousand kilometers apart, and the two countries are separated by Iraq, Syria, and Jordan. Iran's air force, navy, and missile forces are not at a good level, and even if they want to fight Israel, they are beyond the reach of the whip. Although Israel is an enemy of Iran, its main purpose is to make Iran no longer support various anti-Israel forces, and it is not aimed at overthrowing the Iran regime. Therefore, Israel will also refrain from restraint. Individual high-ranking officials of Iran can be assassinated, but there will be no large-scale attacks on Iran.
After the bombing of Hamas's supreme leader Haniyeh, the whole of Iran was outraged and demanded revenge against Israel.
However, if Iran wants to retaliate against Israel, the first thing to do is to first eliminate the Israel forces that have infiltrated Iran. According to relevant media, Israel's killing of Haniah, the supreme leader of Hamas, was a "spike" anti-tank missile fired from a building near Hania's residence, and the missile directly hit Haniyeh's bedroom.
So the question is, how did Israel accurately grasp Hania's whereabouts and residence, and did Israel's intelligence agents infiltrate the most central areas of Iran? Also, the range of the "Spike" anti-tank missile is only a few kilometers, where did Israel launch the missile, why Israel was able to bring the missile to the Iran capital, why was it able to successfully launch a missile to kill the Hamas leader.
All this shows that the level of Israel's intelligence system is indeed the best in the world, while Iran's internal security system is a large sieve full of loopholes.
In March, after Israel killed Zahedi, a senior commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps, Quds Force, Iran launched a massive retaliatory campaign against Israel, launching hundreds of missiles and drones to attack Israel itself. Although the vast majority of missiles and drones were intercepted by Israel and NATO countries, the damage caused to Israel was not significant, but it was enough to demonstrate Iran's determination.
Now that Iran's supreme leader has directly ordered a strike on Israel, Iran will certainly take a series of actions against Israel, including missile and drone strikes, assassinations, bomb attacks, and so on. At the same time, Iran will support Hamas, Allah, and the Houthis even more vigorously to wreak havoc on Israel.
There is an old Chinese saying that when it is time to retrigate grievances, it is only appropriate to use it in the Middle East. Perhaps, even in another 50 or 100 years, the various factions in the Middle East will continue to fight each other. This is because there is no solution to the problems of the Middle East.