Originally, Hamas was still negotiating with Israel on the "release of the hostages," and the Middle East might blow a "peace wind," but after the Israel Cabinet authorized the attack on Lebanon and the assassination of Hamas's supreme leader Haniyeh, the entire Middle East was immediately covered in clouds, and the atmosphere of the war became more and more intense. According to reference reports, on July 31, Western countries such as United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Australia have urged their citizens to "leave Lebanon immediately", United States also raised the travel advice for Lebanon to "level four", that is, "do not travel", and made it clear that tensions between Israel and the Allah Party are likely to escalate seriously.
Against this backdrop, United States another action has also attracted attention. On the same day, United States United Airlines and Delta Air Lines suspended all flights to Tel Aviv Israel until further notice, citing safety reasons. What should we think about this? Let's talk about three topics.
First, the West's warning may be a bad omen.
We found that before the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, United States also took the lead in issuing a "leave" warning to its own citizens and urging United States citizens in China to "not go to Ukraine". As a result, in less than a week, the war between Russia and Ukraine began. Since then, air and ground transportation have been largely paralyzed, and many citizens of third countries have been forced to stay in Ukraine and endure the war with the Ukraine people.
Fortunately, Russia only targets military targets in its strikes, but even so, many people have not escaped the "suicide" strikes created by Ukraine for propaganda and blame Russia.
However, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is a different story, because the "protagonist" here is not Russia, but Israel, and Israel is known for its "attacks on civilians", which has killed nearly 40,000 civilians in Gaza. If Israel goes to war with Lebanon or Iran, third-country citizens remaining in Lebanon risk becoming "hostages" of Israel's clamping down on other countries, just like Gaza. Therefore, at this most sensitive moment, the joint "departure" warning of Western countries may be an ominous omen, indicating that a war in the Middle East is coming.
Second, will the powder keg in the Middle East explode?
If the international community's prediction of the situation in the Middle East was relatively "peaceful", then after the Israel cabinet authorized the fight against Allah and the assassination of the Hamas leader, all this has become unknown. On the one hand, Allah has acted to pressure Israel against its massacre of civilians in Gaza, and now Israel has not only turned its guns on itself, but has also just killed Allah's "number two", and in this context, the expansion of the conflict between Allah and Israel is basically inevitable.
On the other hand, after Iran was bombed by Israel's embassy in Syria in April, although the "red line" was trampled, it only made a "symbolic" counterattack, attacking Israel itself with drones and missiles, but with the help of the United States, Britain and France, Israel did not suffer any major losses. Iran does this because it does not want to expand the conflict into a full-scale war or even detonate a powder keg in the Middle East.
However, Israel did not give this face, and in less than four months, it once again stepped on Iran's "red line" and killed Iran's guests in Iran's home.
The latest news shows that Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has spoken to "directly attack Israel and avenge Hania." If Iran does not do this, it will not be able to raise its head in front of its allies, because Haniyeh believes that security is guaranteed, so he attended the inauguration ceremony of the new president of Iran, but was assassinated in what he considered to be the "safest place", and if Iran does not show its "attitude", its international influence will also be greatly reduced. However, if the powder keg in the Middle East is indeed detonated, it will bring danger not only to regional countries but also to the world.
Third, why is Israel stirring up trouble everywhere?
It has been observed that the situation in the Middle East has changed dramatically after Israel Prime Minister Netanyahu's visit to the United States, and I am afraid no one will believe it if there is no connection in it. So why is Israel going to war everywhere?
First, Biden's term of office is only half a year away, and Trump, who may come to power, is "against war", in this context, Israel can only make things bigger and drag United States into the water first; Second, according to Israel's idea, it wants to completely occupy Gaza and take it into its pocket, but the international community does not agree, and United States is almost unable to withstand the pressure, so Israel simply does not stop, fights Hamas, Allah, provokes Iran, and even "scolds" Turkey, hoping to use force to get all the interests of the Middle East at once.
However, if a full-scale war breaks out again in the Middle East, will Israel really still exist?