1
Recently in the Western world, two big things have happened.
The first thing is that on June 28, the first debate of the presidential election was held in the United States. The result of the war of words between the two old men was that the aggressive Trump triumphed over the chattering old Biden.
After the game, the duo's support was 67% to 33%, and the gap widened to a staggering 34%. Trump's return seems inevitable.
Biden's poor performance has made the Democratic Party panic, and some bigwigs have tearfully said that they want Biden to endure the party and take the initiative to withdraw from the election - let's ask for another high-mindedness!
Another thing is that on June 30, early elections to the National Assembly were held in France.
For this election, Uncle Tao made a prediction as early as when Macron announced his decision (please see "Europe Changes, Macron Bets, and the West's Retribution Comes"), which is his big gamble, and he will definitely lose badly.
Sure enough, when all parties bought and left their hands to unveil the cup, Macron's far-right National Alliance, which had to be strictly guarded, won 34.2% of the votes, ranking first; The Pan-Left Alliance's New Popular Front also picked peaches, winning 29.1% to become the second most; Macron's own camp, which was originally the largest party, fell to third with only 21.5% of the vote.
Although according to the French electoral system, a second round of voting will be held next Sunday (July 7), and there is a possibility that the first and second positions in parliament will change at that time, it is now certain that Macron lost the bet.
Marc shouted that the far-right came to power as a wolf, and the French wanted to vote for the National Rally; Macron also scolded the left as "anti-Semites" who support Palestine, and voters were even more excited to hear it, and successfully achieved reverse canvassing.
After seven years of governance by Brother Xiaoma, France has not grown in other skills, and the rebellious heart of the voters is getting stronger and stronger.
Macron's fiasco has made European countries scold the young president for being too impulsive and inadequate, and the reality of Trump 2.0 is approaching, which makes the entire Western world wail and have a sense of fear of the coming of the end.
Sweet, how did the country become like this?
Uncle Tao can explain this.
2
Trump has been working for four years, and everyone understands his routine, which is very simple: stop slapping your swollen face and being fat, seeing that the national debt is up to the sky, hurry up and put the money that can be harvested into your pocket!
Therefore, he punched the European nursing home and demanded that NATO countries quickly increase their military spending to more than 2 percent, first, to pay for American arms, and second, to support themselves, and not just to expect the American boss to work and save you.
Then kick the kindergarten in Japan and South Korea, it is not impossible to continue to cover Lao Mei, the protection fee has to rise, and it has to be talked about once a year, how much it will rise depends on your attitude and our family's mood.
This kind of shameless style of asking for money not only makes the establishment unbearable, but also makes the American people break their defenses: Is my great America really at the point where the mountains and rivers are exhausted, and even the allies have to loot?
Therefore, in the 2020 election, under the call of the old Biden, the Americans who have been strong all their lives drove away Trump, a businessman who got into the eyes of money.
Biden's idea is also very simple: I'm okay, help me up and try!
The four years of old Biden have been four years of return to the glory of US imperialism, and all kinds of hegemonic means have been filled and used to the extreme.
The war is on fire, the sound of Ukrainian artillery is shaking the sky, Europe is dragged to soar energy costs, and industries have moved out. Before he gave up, he went to East Asia to open another table, and the Philippines was so hot that he rushed to Dongda and jumped up and down, until he was slammed a few times with a selfie stick, and he had a little reminiscence.
Financial harvesting, the US dollar interest rate hike synchronized with the war between Russia and Ukraine, gritted its teeth and stood up until now, except for Argentina's opening of the door to thieves, developing countries have not been blown up, but the exchange rate of its ally Japan has plummeted, and its own banks have also continued to report the news of bankruptcy and collection.
Industrial transfer, it took a lot of effort to get the chip industry in Japan, South Korea and Frog Island back to the United States, but after TSMC's factory construction started lively, it has not been put into production until now. No matter how much you step on the brakes, you can't stop the rotation of the earth, and the long-term shift from real to virtual has become a hollowing out of the manufacturing industry, which cannot be reversed by a few axe policies of coercion and temptation.
To say that Biden's policies have not worked at all is obviously not objective. With the help of AI, the market value of Nvidia's stock once rushed to the first place in the world. In the context of global economic turmoil, dollar-denominated wealth seems to have no other place to go except to flow back to the United States and to the stock market, pushing the US stock market to a new peak.
But are ordinary Americans getting the benefits?
Looking at the numbers alone, it should be yes, GDP is growing steadily and the employment rate is improving. But why does Biden's approval rating keep falling?
Is it because the conscience of the Americans is bad and they can't see how hard Bai Ge works?
Neither is it either, it can only show that one of the US statistics and Biden's approval rating must be lying.
Therefore, Trump rose up strongly and staged the return of the king. Even if Biden and the Democratic Party play all their tricks and let the king be entangled in lawsuits, they still can't stop the general trend.
The American people don't care about the rise of the United States as a great power, they just want the happiness of a stable small people.
The current situation in the United States is that the elite at the top is still intoxicated with the dream of empire, fantasizing that they can still call the wind and rain, and that a snap of their fingers can decide the life and death of half of the world's people.
But in fact, the allies followed it and shouted, not only did they not get the benefits, but they also had to post a lot. Da Mao, Hamas, the Houthis, and even the thick-eyed Saudi Arabia dared not sign the security agreement, essentially ending the petrodollar.
Thousands of years of hegemony, wind and rain.
Even if the capital tycoons make a lot of money, but the ordinary people can't get the soup, it is better to let the king come back and work for another four years. At least he can get the money back, and he is really willing to share it with the people.
Americans are already impatient with the nonsense of Biden's gang, so change their thinking.
Worship the Great Sage, receive the supernatural powers, and wait for your people.
3
Macron is at the vanguard of Europe's white-left ideology.
Although Europeans are now the henchmen of the United States, they have a strong sense of superiority psychologically, even if the economy of the culture cannot be fought, and the military of the military needs to be protected by others, but I have morality.
You see, I shouted the slogan of environmental protection louder than anyone else, and even a global model such as an environmental protection girl appeared; The position is very resolute, drawing a clear line with the aggressor Russia, and the gas pipeline was blown up by forces that cannot be said, and I did not say a word; The protection of sexual minorities is even more at the forefront, gay presidents, prime ministers, prime ministers, endlessly, have you ever had a gay president in the United States? Even if you are raped by refugees, you have to say that you are willing to do so, so as not to chill the hearts of your refugee brothers......
Macron believes that as the leader of Europe, he has the responsibility to pull Europe's position up again, so he shouted that Europe is independent and wants to send troops to Ukraine, and what the Americans dare not do, the Europeans will do it.
Did the French buy it themselves?
Obviously not buy, otherwise they would not have voted for the far right.
Supporting Ermao and Da Mao's duel made the Gallic people with a sense of justice excited at first, but after the war dragged on, they found that where was this consuming Da Mao, it was obviously consuming their own rhythm. Ukraine is losing and retreating, and Russia is fighting more and more energetically. The whole of Europe has been flooded by high energy bills, and a large number of refugees have rushed in to grab jobs.
In the face of practical difficulties, Macron's government has no way to do anything except give the people chicken blood, and from time to time cosplay De Gaulle to put a little high-profile.
The so-called far-right, who was scolded twice by Macron in three days, actually just said a few words: If you can't win a war with Russia, then try to make peace; Instead of giving up jobs to refugees, it is better to leave them to your own nationals; All kinds of environmental protection animal protection are better than real bread in your hands......
If even such the most basic propositions can only be put forward by the far right, who are regarded as devils, then it is better to make a deal with the devil and pull back France, which is overly excited.
Therefore, Brother Pony's trick of wolf coming that he tried many times finally couldn't be played this time. The wolf really came, and he tore the little fresh meat cabinet that Brother Xiao Ma had just replaced with nothing left.
The direction of the wind changed, and the pig that had been in the wind fell down heavily, and the new pig was eager to try, anxiously waiting to soar into the sky.
4
Trump's return and Macron's defeat are actually the same thing.
It shows that the West has lost its ability to fully control the world and has had to move from global expansion to total contraction.
Some people may say that it is not new for the left and right in Western politics to take turns in the country, and this time it is just a repetition of the historical cycle, and it is not a big deal.
However, they deliberately ignore two important contexts:
First, the war affecting the whole world is still continuing, whether it is Russia and Ukraine, Palestine and Israel, it is impossible to judge who wins and who loses in the end;
Second, the US dollar interest rate hike is still ongoing, but it has not achieved the goal of crushing the world's important economies, paying huge costs and not getting enough benefits.
All this shows that the knife technique that the United States has led the West to wield to the world is still skillful and sharp, but the knife in its hand has become blunt and cannot cut the flesh.
The purpose of fighting a war, whether it is a personal war or a proxy war, is to create chaos and drive capital to the "safe" mainland of the United States, and the US dollar interest rate hike is to accelerate this process.
But after stirring hard, he and his allies can't get enough benefits, and finally make the people lose patience, doesn't it mean that there is a big problem at the bottom?
Don't just see that on the surface there is only a pitiful share of the use of the yuan, that is because there are only so many SWIFT systems controlled by the Americans, and who can say how much it has now come if it does not follow that system?
Don't think that we have signed so many currency swap agreements with countries around the world, just for fun.
In the end, the value of the currency is determined by the commodities that can be purchased, and if you can't buy it or don't allow it to buy it with sanctions, you are taking the initiative to die and want to waste the dollar.
If the dollar becomes waste paper, those financial products denominated in dollars will be wiped out.
Can we think of this prospect that those old money who have experienced hundreds of years of ups and downs can't think of it?
Is it firmly bound to the United States, believing that it will never be invincible? Or risk hedging, bet a few more treasures. Different forces will have different choices.
Some forces will also be anxious to push the US-led West to change its strategy, and since the blindly fierce style of play does not work, they will first withdraw their fists and think clearly before making a move.
Shifting from active offensive to active defense will be the keynote of the West in the future.
After Trump and the European right come to power, it is highly likely that the war will end quickly and begin to recuperate. In terms of trade, they will try to protect their own industries.
In this way, will they be able to lead the West to greatness again?
Hard!
If you don't put your mind to improving productivity, there's no point in spending more work.
The world is material, and the direction of the world can only be determined by the real economy, this truth that the Chinese have long recognized, do they recognize it?
If you don't recognize it, then keep walking.