This year, there have been waves of riots in the Philippines, although our coast guard has made full preparations. But there are many times of this kind of commotion, and there will always be times when you are overwhelmed.
There is a big gap in strength between China and the Philippines, and the reason why Marcos is not afraid is entirely because the United States is supporting him. Since the start of the "Shoulder-to-Shoulder-24" joint exercise at the end of April, the US aircraft carrier "Roosevelt" has been wandering around the South China Sea, assuming that it wants to escort the Philippines and prevent a sneak attack by the PLA.
With the support of the United States, the Philippines once again unleashed a wave of commotion after the exercise, and actually led 100 civilian ships to try to force their way into China's Scarborough Shoal. It is impossible for the Philippines not to understand this truth, but they still did it, relying on the "Roosevelt" to continue to operate in the South China Sea.
From May 15th to May 17th, this large-scale event in the Philippines not only did not achieve the expected results, but ended hastily on the 17th, and all the ships were evacuated in disarray, without the initial excitement at all.
It is worth mentioning that at that time, in addition to letting Philippine ships see the charm of the Chinese coast guard, the US aircraft carrier also quickly evacuated south. Therefore, the Philippine ship suddenly returned home, in addition to not being able to defeat the Chinese coast guard, it should also have something to do with the sudden withdrawal of the US aircraft carrier.
Philippine non-governmental organizations rely on the support of US aircraft carriers, but people actually turn around and run
It is clear who owns Scarborough Shoal, but because it is very close to the Philippines and rich in resources, the Philippines has always wanted to occupy the magpie's nest and turn Scarborough Shoal into a second Ren'ai Jiao.
However, China is not the China with very weak military strength in the past, and now we are definitely not a loophole that the Philippines can exploit in terms of military strength or comprehensive strength. Therefore, the Philippines wants to force its way into Scarborough Shoal through this method of large number of boats, trying to reproduce the Ren'ai Jiao model and illegally occupying Scarborough Shoal.
In response to the "gentleman's agreement" signed between China and the former Philippine President Lao Du, Marcos also directly tore it up, and in order to illegally occupy the mainland's islands and reefs, he didn't even want to save face.
In that case, what else is the Chinese side polite? not only directly dispatched several coast guard ships to build a heavy defense line, but even moved out of 052D to sit on Scarborough Shoal, so that the Philippine ships directly died down and did not dare to make a mistake.
In addition, there are thousands of fishing boats on the mainland that spontaneously go to Huangyan Island to guard the mountains and rivers, and it is estimated that the Philippines has never seen this big battle in several lifetimes.
At such a time, if the US aircraft carrier "Roosevelt" could stand firmly behind the Philippine ships, it is estimated that they would not have hastily ended this large-scale operation.
Moreover, the Philippine NGO "This is Ours" involved in this operation has always been funded by American institutions, and it is estimated that the United States has also given a lot of guarantees and benefits, so "This is ours" organization will launch this action, and even at the beginning it was very confident.
But who would have thought that the United States would be so unrighteous and that as soon as the Philippine non-governmental organizations took action, the US aircraft carrier "Roosevelt" urgently evacuated from the South China Sea and ran 2,000 kilometers overnight to the dock in Singapore.
The "big brother" who supported him is gone, and the defense line set by the mainland is so "hard," no matter how stupid the Philippine non-governmental organizations are, it is impossible for them to gamble their lives and continue to break into Scarborough Shoal.
Former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger once said: It may indeed be dangerous to be an enemy of the United States, but it is very deadly to be a friend.
The lessons of Japan and Ukraine are in front of the Philippines, and if they continue to do it, only themselves will suffer
The New York Times said that the Philippine operation is basically unlikely to shake China's control over Scarborough Shoal. It is impossible for Philippine civil society organizations not to know such a simple reason, so why are they still acting? It's nothing more than the idea of "biting people and responding to people".
Marcos's support was largely based on the hope that the operation would result in Filipino casualties so that he could invoke the U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty.
However, I did not expect that the aircraft carrier "Roosevelt", the biggest backer, would suddenly withdraw, and it is estimated that the Philippine non-governmental organizations were also blindsided at that time.
In fact, the United States has done too much of this kind of "selling teammates", and everyone should get used to it. Isn't Ukraine a lesson from the past? Before the war with Russia, he coaxed all kinds of nice words and promised that he would definitely help Ukraine defeat Russia.
But the result? After the start of the war, not only did the US military not end up, but it also made Ukraine owe a bunch of foreign debts. Now that Ukraine is empty of people and money, only the old, weak, sick and disabled are left in the country, Zelensky wants a truce, and the Russian side also shows the same meaning, but the United States is not letting Ukraine truce.
Another example is Japan, since it became the dog leg of the United States, it can be described as a loyal one. But the result? The yen exchange rate has fallen sharply, domestic inflation is serious, and many Japanese people are almost too poor to eat.
The Philippines is as blind as it sees, insists on immersing itself in its own dreams, and is willing to be a gunman for the United States. There is no doubt that you must be the one who suffers in the end.