Preface
Recently, the wheat market has attracted much attention, mainly because wheat prices have been falling, which has put some pressure on farmers and related enterprises. In this context, the market time of new wheat has also become a hot topic in the market, and people are speculating about how the market pattern will change after the new wheat is listed, and whether there will be a certain rebound in wheat prices. In the midst of everyone's speculation, the market time of new wheat is also quietly approaching, which also makes people full of expectations for changes in the market.
First, the enterprise replenishes the old wheat "reluctantly"
Before the new wheat goes on the market, in order to create a good purchase environment for farmers and related enterprises, the grain departments in various places have introduced a series of support policies, hoping to increase the purchase price of new wheat through certain subsidies, so as to encourage farmers to actively plant. Under the guidance of such a policy, although the time for the new wheat to be marketed has not yet arrived, the food departments in various places have begun to subsidize the relevant work, and among them, the most concerned is undoubtedly the work of enterprise replenishment.
The so-called enterprise replenishment is actually that the relevant enterprises purchase a part of the new wheat in advance, and then deposit it in the warehouse designated by the government in accordance with certain standards and requirements, and wait until the time for the state to publicly purchase the wheat arrives, and then transfer and purchase this part of the wheat in accordance with the unified arrangement of the state. For this kind of replenishment work, although it is to help farmers and related enterprises, but in the actual operation process, there are some "accidents".
Originally, the grain sector hoped to increase the purchase price of new wheat by replenishing the warehouses of enterprises, thereby indirectly affecting market expectations and allowing the price of wheat to have some support. However, in the specific operation process, it was found that more and more enterprises began to be "reluctant" and expressed that they did not want to participate in the replenishment work. Behind this, the main reason is undoubtedly affected by the current market situation, they are not sure whether the part of wheat they purchased in advance can have a better way out in the later stage, and whether they can get the expected returns.
It can be said that this part of the wheat replenished by the enterprise has actually become a "time bomb" hanging over the heads of major enterprises, and they do not dare to act rashly, for fear that their decision-making will deviate, and eventually it will bring certain losses to the enterprise. In such a situation, the replenishment work in some places is also progressing slowly, and even a certain "detention" situation has appeared, which has brought certain hidden dangers to the later work.
Second, after the new wheat is put on the market, the price will increase first and then decline
In fact, whether it is an enterprise or the food sector, everyone is full of expectations for the current wheat market, hoping that through certain policy guidance and market regulation, the price of wheat can improve, and it can also bring some help to related enterprises and farmers. In this context, the market time of new wheat has also become the focus of market attention, and people are paying close attention to what kind of "butterfly effect" the market will change after the new wheat is listed.
According to the relevant forecasts and analysis, it can be expected that once the new wheat begins to be marketed on a large scale, in the short term, it will undoubtedly be a "good" news for the current wheat market, and it will also bring a certain "boost" to the market's expectations, so that the wheat prices, which have been sluggish, have the possibility of rebounding and rising. Such a price increase is also helpful for the work of replenishment of enterprises, which can relieve their pressure to a certain extent, and can also make enterprises more "daring" to participate in the replenishment work.
However, it needs to be reminded that although the market time of new wheat arrives, the supply of wheat in the market will indeed "increase", and it will also bring a certain "boost" to the market's expectations, but this does not mean that the price of wheat will be able to "soar" all the way, but after a certain time node, there will be a certain degree of "fall" and adjustment.
In fact, in the current wheat market, whether it is new wheat or old wheat, its price is affected by many factors, and there is also a certain "time lag" effect, the market needs to have a long "digestion" cycle. Therefore, once the new wheat begins to be marketed, although there will be a certain price increase, but after that, it is still necessary to comprehensively consider the supply and demand relationship of the market, weather and other factors to be able to have a more accurate judgment on the price trend of wheat.
Third, it is difficult to fully predict the trend of wheat prices
It can be said that the price trend of wheat is a relatively complex issue, and it is also the result of the comprehensive influence of a variety of factors, among which the most important is the relationship between supply and demand in the market. In the current wheat market, whether it is new wheat or old wheat, its supply and demand are very large, and there is also a certain "time lag" effect, and market changes will not appear in the first time.
Among them, the market time of new wheat will undoubtedly have a certain impact on the supply side and demand side of the market, and it will also be directly reflected in the price trend of wheat. Generally speaking, once new wheat begins to be marketed on a large scale, it will undoubtedly be a "good" news for the current wheat market, and it will also bring a certain "boost" to the market's expectations, so that the price of wheat has the possibility of rebounding and rising.
However, it needs to be reminded that at the beginning, the price increase of wheat will not be particularly obvious, but will gradually "go higher", and after a certain time node, there will be a certain degree of "fall" and adjustment. This also has a certain relationship with the current market situation, after all, both the domestic market and the international market are facing certain "uncertainty" and "shock", and the price trend of wheat will also be affected to a certain extent.
Therefore, for the future trend of wheat prices, we do not have a way to give a "100%" accurate forecast, and can only make certain guesses and judgments after understanding the basic situation of the market. However, it is certain that whether it is new wheat or old wheat, its price trend will be relatively stable, and there will be no "sharp rise and fall", which will also give relevant enterprises and farmers a certain "stable" expectation.
epilogue
It can be seen that the current wheat market is attracting attention, not only because of the continuous decline in wheat prices, but also because the time for new wheat to be marketed is approaching, and the changes in the market are full of various "unknowns". In this context, both the food sector and related enterprises need to have a deeper understanding of the market, and they also need to be prepared to deal with various situations, so as to better "respond to challenges" and obtain certain "harvests" in the changes in the market.
Of course, for the majority of consumers and friends, although the changes in the wheat market will also have a certain impact on their lives, but there is no need to "worry too much", after all, whether it is new wheat or old wheat, its quality and taste are very good, I believe that in the future life, we will be able to taste a variety of delicious wheat food, but also can feel the rich "food culture".