Real estate has been going downhill since the beginning of 2022, and even if it has made many adjustments, it still can't be stopped, and now 2024 is almost five months old, and real estate still shows no signs of improving.
As a senior business tycoon, Wang Shi has twice accurately predicted the direction of real estate, and now let's take a look at what he said half a year ago, and he may have succeeded in predicting again.
What did Wang Shi say half a year ago? Why does he always predict success?
All of the statements in this article are based on reliable sources and are reproduced at the end of this article
Advanced future prediction capabilities
More than five months have passed in 2024, China's real estate outlook is still not optimistic, housing prices continue to decrease, people's desire to buy houses has reached a new low, China's real estate development for more than 20 years, or the first time there has been a sharp decline in this situation, is it possible that real estate really has no future?
In China's real estate industry, there is such a very bold person, he is Wang Shi, the future trend of real estate is unpredictable, but he has a very long-term vision, many times accurate prediction of the situation, he is very confident, the company is also relying on his accurate speculation to do bigger and bigger.
Therefore, Wang Shi's prediction of real estate is very critical, it is very likely to accurately predict the future, only by understanding the ideas of this kind of giants, we can really keep up with the pace of real estate, the main person does dare to say and do, and there has been more than one miracle of "words and words".
As early as 2007, the real estate at that time can be said to be the leader of the leader, as long as there is money to do, it will be able to make money, looking at the increasing number of transactions, coupled with a steady stream of buildings rising from the bottom, no one will say that real estate will go downhill at that time, but Wang Shi dares.
Under the boom of speculation and selling houses, developers have poured into real estate development projects, buildings have been sold out, and everyone has taken out loans to buy houses, for fear that they will not be able to catch up with this big boom.
Such a bold statement makes people feel that Wang Shi is "out of his mind", you don't want to make money and delay others to make money? Many people take this sentence as a joke, people with golden eyes can't be persuaded, and everyone knows what happened after that, the state continues to introduce policies to control real estate, to prevent the rapid expansion of real estate leading to adverse effects.
In fact, everyone has also discovered that the introduction of policies is not to suppress the real estate industry, but the real estate has been speculated out of their original purpose, the house is nothing more than a place for people to live, if it is really speculated to the point that people can't afford it, then what is the point of buying and selling a house?
After a few years, in 2014, another force of speculation rushed into the real estate market, a large amount of capital investment, large-scale hoarding of house purchases, in order to raise housing prices.
This method is very shameful, it can be said that it has maliciously destroyed the market price, if the real estate industry does not prevent this situation from happening, then the entire industry will be affected badly, and at this time Wang Shi stood up again, he directly pointed out the impact of speculation on real estate.
The house should be lived, not used for speculation, this idea is also talked about, it can be said that Wang Shi's words really stabilized the hearts of the people, so that people still have a glimmer of hope for real estate, only real estate as a house rather than commercial value, we people can afford to live in a house.
And the official attitude is also very clear, that is, "housing not speculation", speculation was strictly stopped, these two important decisions prove that Wang Shi does have a unique view of real estate, his thinking is more towards the people, so in today's downturn situation, people once again set their eyes on Wang Shi.
Wang Shi's prediction for the future of real estate
All walks of life have their own peaks and downturns, real estate has been going downhill since 2022, many people also feel from the bottom of their hearts that real estate is hopeless, many investors withdraw their capital and run away, leaving a bunch of unfinished buildings, Evergrande is an example.
Further afield, Japan's real estate bubble economy is also a good example, if China's real estate is not handled properly, it may really follow in the footsteps, the real estate situation is indeed not optimistic, in this context Wang Shi finally expressed his opinion again at the end of 2023.
He has a hunch that the real estate situation will continue like this in the short term, and the road to adjustment will not be completed in one or two days, and it will take three to five years to be optimistic, and it may take longer for the entire industry to return to a stable period, and there will be more problems in the follow-up, which will be exposed one by one in the adjustment process.
And now China's most important problem to deal with is the "unfinished building" project, whether it is continued construction or breach of contract needs to be considered in the long run, even so, but it must be put on the journey this morning, these problems alone are our people think about it and feel very headache, let alone the high-level ones.
Problems must be solved, in the process of solving these problems, real estate can not avoid waves of reshuffle, small and medium-sized enterprises may be more severe, may be swallowed up or directly declared bankrupt to leave the real estate stage, want to avoid this situation must be prepared.
Only by constantly improving their own business model can they survive the storm they are about to face, and in Wang Shi's eyes, if they want real estate to rejuvenate, it must be the joint efforts of many parties, but it is not okay for people in the circle to toss around, the most important thing for the official to intervene, and what they have to do is to completely obey the command.
Does the optimism of the real estate trend have anything to do with the people?
It has been almost half a year since Wang Shi put forward this point of view, judging from the official action, there is indeed a trend here, and stabilizing real estate is indeed not a rush to achieve results, and everyone must cooperate to produce qualitative changes, and the continuous decline of real estate will actually have an impact on many industries.
For example, the home appliance industry, such as the decoration industry, Chinese do not buy a house, naturally do not need decoration and naturally will not have a large number of people to buy household appliances, this is only a superficial industry, which involves other industries, large and small, once the real estate "hard landing", the consequences are certainly not optimistic.
In order to avoid this from happening, all of us should be prepared, which can also see how important the real estate industry occupies the entire business empire, and it is really not a joke to move the whole body, China's real estate is undergoing unprecedented adjustment and reform, and may still stand at the top of the real estate in the future, but it will definitely not usher in the peak again.
Now we can only pray and wait silently, praying that everything will turn around, waiting for real estate to return to its former throne.
Information sources:
Interface News: 2023-12-22 "Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development: Adhere to the Positioning of Housing for Living, Not Speculation, and Adapt to the New Situation of Major Changes in the Relationship between Supply and Demand in the Real Estate Market"
China Real Estate Network: 2023-12-01"Wang Shi: Happy to watch China's real estate market also needs a 3~5 year adjustment period"