With the sudden multiple risk factors and a series of blockbuster data announcements, will A-shares fall next Monday?

1. During the weekend, the news that will affect the trend of A-shares next week is not calm, it can be said that it is turbulent, let's take a look at the specific news.

1. The resumption of normal review of A-share IPO may mean that the issuance of new shares will make a comeback. A-shares are currently facing the pressure of insufficient trading volume, and the issuance of new shares will inevitably divide the liquidity of A-shares, and market expansion is inevitable, and the unit trading volume will continue to decrease, which I analyze and judge will have a certain impact on the trend of A-shares next week.

2. According to the after-hours news on Friday, 9 brokerage fines have landed, four of which are leading brokerages, including CITIC Securities, CICC, etc. The trend of the securities sector was originally weak, with a cumulative decline of 2.09% since the beginning of this year, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices rose by 6.04% and 2.17% respectively.

3. The United States may announce tariffs on our electric vehicles and semiconductors as soon as next Tuesday evening, which will have a greater impact on the trend of A-share new energy vehicles and semiconductors, wind power, photovoltaics, energy storage and other sectors.

2. Today, we have released a series of blockbuster data, CPI and PPI have their own strengths and weaknesses, but the data on the scale of loans and social financing have weakened, which I estimate will have a certain impact on the trend of A-shares next Monday.

3. On Friday, A-shares stopped the rally, judging from the daily K-line pattern of the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices, it has begun to show an inverted V-shaped top state, or the next may enter the right track of the inverse V-shape, and we must not turn a blind eye to the risk factors.

Fourth, overall, I am not optimistic about the trend of A-shares next week, and the preliminary judgment is that the possibility of A-shares falling next Monday is greater, and new energy vehicles, securities, semiconductors and wind and solar storage and other sectors will be the main drivers of the market decline, please be cautious. Of course, this is only my initial opinion, and I will express my opinion at 8:00 a.m. next Monday, hoping that there will be new factors to support my shift to a bullish view.