24 years lotto probability officially announced! The Rockets best occupy the top 4 and two spots, and the team notes the Houston plan to expose the Suns are down

Pot basketball

2024-05-11 18:14Posted in Liaoning Sports Creator

On May 11, Beijing time, the NBA officially announced the probability of the 24-year lottery, and determined that the 24-year lottery draft draw ceremony will be held in Chicago on May 12 local time (3 a.m. Beijing time on May 13), and after the draft pick is determined, the first round will be held on June 27, and the second round will be selected on June 28.

According to the NBA's official probability, the Pistons and the Wizards have the highest probability of a first-round pick at 14%.

The Hornets are third (13.3% probability), the Trail Blazers (13.2) and Spurs (10.5) are fourth and fifth, respectively, and the rest of the teams have less than a 10% chance of being drafted.

The Rockets have two first-round picks, one for the Nets and the Rockets (the top four are protected, if not the top four, they are sent to the Thunder).

Among them, the Nets have a high first-round pick, ranking eighth in the league, with a 4.5% probability of getting the top pick and a 20.27% probability of getting the top four picks.

However, due to the high ranking of the Rockets, the probability of drawing the top four is only 7.11%, of course, ideally the Rockets will win two first-round picks with the top four picks.

TA Rockets reporter Kelly Iko revealed that Rockets coach Udoka will represent the team in the lottery for the second year in a row.

When he first became the head coach of the Rockets last year, he represented the Rockets in the 2023 lottery draw, when the Rockets had a 14% probability of winning the first pick, but in the end only got the No. 4 pick, and then selected Amen Thompson.

At the same time, the American media "Houston Chronicle" Rockets reporter Fagan wrote an article exposing the Houston plan, during which the Suns were looked down upon.

Fagan said the Rockets, like other teams, want to pick a top-four pick.

But unlike other teams, the Rockets are already in the second phase of the rebuild, and they are more interested in adding a pool of future first-round picks than adding another 1-2 high-pick young rookies to their existing roster.

Therefore, the Rockets are hoping that the team will have the good fortune to trade these two first-round picks for more future assets.

And the Rockets have already made some moves, as early as January at the beginning of the year, Rockets general manager Stone contacted the Nets, hoping to exchange the Nets pick in his hand for the Suns draft pick in the other party's hand.

At that time, the Suns had just formed the Big Three of Durant + Beal + Booker, and the future seemed promising, but the Rockets were optimistic about the future of the Suns at that time, and the facts proved that Stone was very visionary.

The Rockets traded back multiple first-round picks to the Nets in the Harden trade, while the Nets traded Durant with the Suns in the previous process.

The Rockets' choice is not surprising, partly because 2024 is a recognized draft year, and there aren't too many young players worth betting on for the Rockets.

On the other hand, the Rockets already have too many high-quality young players on the roster, and they have already passed the first phase of the rebuild, and there is no longer the patience and opportunity to develop young players.

Before the start of this season, the Rockets concluded the first phase of the rebuild, bringing in a number of high-quality instant forces.

Six young stars have also made great strides this season, with Shin Kyung playing at a quasi-All-Star level this season and Jalen Green also playing perfectly after Shin Kyung's injury.

As for Ethan, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson and Whitmore all cashing in their talents in their respective roles, the Rockets also value these six rookies so much that there is no need to bring in other young players.

View original image 113K

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

•