The US media has always been hesitant to fabricate false analyses and reports on China, sometimes propagating the theory of the China threat, sometimes singing about China, and thus dividing themselves very much.
Before Blinken's visit to China on June 18, 2023, the American media Bloomberg published an article that sang the praises of China, with the title literally translated as "China Should Listen to What Blinken Said", which has a sense of encouraging Blinken to "don't be cowardly, just do it".
Screenshot of related article
The core point of Bloomberg's article is very simple, that is, the United States talks to China from the perspective of strength, and China can either agree to the United States and choose to make concessions, or wait to be destroyed.
Evaluating this matter from an objective point of view, we can describe this statement of the United States in two words, that is, abstract.
The United States wants the conditions that China agrees to
First of all, we need to understand what the United States wants China to agree to, which can be summed up in two points, one is that China will give up industrial upgrading, and the other is that China will let the United States suck blood.
In fact, the current contradiction between China and the United States is, in the final analysis, only a contradiction of "money".
For example, the issue of China's Taiwan, the Middle East, and even the game between China and the United States in the international situation are actually the appearance of the contradictions between China and the United States for "money."
Conceptual diagram of the U.S.-China game
To say something that many people can't understand, in fact, China does not reject being the second largest in the world, and can even accept that the United States will continue to be the boss and continue to use the world economic and trade system with the dollar as the core.
Because in this system, the mainland can still make money, and if the United States becomes the world hegemon, it will become the world's policeman, and it will have to assume the responsibility of stabilizing the world situation. In this way, China can make money without having to pay the cost of maintaining world stability.
But all of this is premised on the fact that the United States also follows the world order it has constructed.
Under this world order, China is like a fish in water, relying on years of hard work to accumulate capital and begin industrial upgrading. After China's industrial upgrading, it will be able to make more money under this world order.
Conceptual diagram of industrial upgrading
However, when the United States saw that China was like a fish in water under this world order, it was not happy again.
This is because, according to the assumption of the United States, the Western world, led by the United States, can squeeze almost all of the surplus value of the third world by squeezing the third world countries to the limit and squeezing out the "dollar tide" every few to decades.
In this way, it is difficult for the third world to accumulate capital and to carry out industrial upgrading.
Relying on independent sovereignty, financial control, a solid industrial foundation, and an industrial scale large enough to affect the world's economic and trade balance, China has really accumulated enough capital and the ability to carry out industrial upgrading in the 20 years since its accession to the WTO in 2001.
However, after China completes its industrial upgrading, it means that the United States will no longer have the opportunity to make a large profit in the global industrial division of labor by relying on its technological superiority.
In short, before China's industrial upgrading, the United States could make the most money by making chips.
After China's industrial upgrading, Americans can only enter factories to make screws, and the money they make is much less than before.
Therefore, when the United States cannot play China under the world order that it has constructed, it begins to play the scoundrel.
On the one hand, it demands that China stop industrial upgrading, and on the other hand, it demands that China deregulate its finances, so that it can use its dollar hegemony to suck blood on China and take away China's "surplus value", so that China will completely lose its ability to upgrade its industry.
Concept map of dollar hegemony
Hirohiro Nakami
Seeing this, some people may wonder, is the United States losing its mind? Why such a request?
Judging from the description of this article published by Bloomberg, the United States is in other words, the United States believes that its strength is stronger than China, so China must accept American conditions.
So is the United States really stronger than China? This is where the United States makes this statement abstract.
By 2023, the United States will suffer from both economic and military confrontation.
Economically, the trade war between the United States and China has been going on for several years, and China's economy is still growing positively, but at a much slower rate than before the trade war.
But compared to China, the situation in the United States is much worse. The scale of the U.S. debt continues to rise, and domestic inflation cannot be suppressed.
Compared with foreign trade, China's foreign trade surplus in 2023 is about 800 billion US dollars, and the United States has a deficit of about 770 billion US dollars.
In other words, in 2023, China will have more than $800 billion more in its hands when doing business abroad, and the United States will have $770 billion less.
It can be said that the U.S. economy is doomed to end, both in terms of economic hematopoietic capacity and debt problems, and it is completely at a disadvantage in the Sino-US trade war.
The hegemony of the dollar is doomed
Militarily, the United States is indeed stronger than China in terms of military strength on paper, but China's industrial scale is hundreds of times that of the United States. If China and the United States go to war, the United States will lose unless the two sides are acting like a "point to point."
To fight a war is to compare the productive forces, and the productive forces of China completely crushed the United States.
Therefore, in contrast, it should be China that says "speak to the United States from the perspective of strength".
The most paradoxical part of this is that the United States also knows that it has suffered a lot in the confrontation with China, but on the contrary, China's comprehensive national strength has begun to surpass that of the United States, but the United States still publishes this article, still stating that it is stronger than China.
As for why the United States is doing this, it can only be said that it is the arrogance of the Americans.
Concept map of American hegemony
What happened to the United States and what the United States was like
Therefore, China naturally did not agree to the request of the United States, and then we saw a very ridiculous scene.
On the one hand, the United States is showing its strength to China and asking China to agree to its conditions in a threatening tone, and on the other hand, the United States is sending high-ranking officials to China twice in three days.
In 2024, the United States sent Commerce Secretary Raimondo, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, and Secretary of State Antony Blinken to China.
In June 2023, Blinken did not negotiate any results in China, and in 2024, there will still be no results.
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken
What is even more ridiculous is that the United States has not only failed to take advantage militarily and economically, but has also been constantly "beaten" in the international game.
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict has been going on for months, and the United States has been draining its influence in this incident.
In this case, the Chinese side is calling for a two-state solution for Palestine and Israel to demarcate the 1967 border line, and it is also promoting reconciliation between Hamas and Fatah, directly putting the United States and Israel on the fire.
Israeli-Palestinian conflict
Looking at what the United States has encountered in the international game, and then looking back at Bloomberg's article "China Should Listen to What Blinken Said", it can only be said that people can't help but laugh.
Resources:
【1】彭博社·《China Had Better Listen to What Blinken Has to Say》
[2] Global Network, ""Solving the Situation" Blinken Starts His Second Visit to China in Office, What Is the Possible Outcome of Sino-US Talks? 》