laitimes

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

author:Chinese meteorologists

However, before you set off, you must read this article, because in the next few days, the central and eastern parts of the mainland will usher in a large-scale heavy rainfall and strong convective weather process, which may bring inconvenience and even danger to your travel.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

First, a wide range of heavy rain brewing intensified

On the first day of the holiday, May 1, a strong cold air from north to south affected the mainland, not only dispersing the rain in the south of the Yangtze River, but also causing the temperature in the hot Guangxi, Hainan, and Leizhou Peninsula in Guangdong to drop sharply, while the heavy rainfall in South China shrank to a small part of the South China coast.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

According to the 24-hour temperature change data on the afternoon of May 1, while the sunny Yangtze River north of the Yangtze River warmed up, on the afternoon of May 1, the temperature in southwest, south China, Jiangnan and other places generally dropped by 4~8 degrees, of which the temperature in central and western Guangdong, Guangxi, Hainan and Yunnan dropped by more than 10 degrees, and even the temperature in some parts of Guangxi dropped significantly, and the cooling range of many stations reached more than 15 degrees.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

For example, in Chongzuo, Guangxi, the highest temperature on April 30 once exceeded 41 degrees, but at 15 o'clock in the afternoon of May 1, the temperature in Chongzuo was only 24 degrees, and the temperature dropped huge before and after.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

But this does not mean that the heavy rain in May will come to an end, the forecast of the Central Meteorological Observatory pointed out that from the 1st to the 2nd, most of the central and eastern parts of the mainland will be dominated by fine weather, but from May 3, there will be a large-scale heavy rainfall and strong convective weather process in the central and eastern regions, which will last at least until May 5. Heavy rainfall and convection refer to weather phenomena such as large amounts of precipitation and strong thunder, lightning, gales, hail, etc., which occur in a short period of time, usually due to the interaction of warm and humid air currents and cold air.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

Second, the four provinces may have another heavy rainstorm!

The forecast of the Central Meteorological Observatory pointed out that during the day from 3 to 5 May, there will be moderate to heavy rain in the eastern part of southwest China, Jianghan, Jianghuai, Jiangnan and southern China, of which there will be heavy rain in some areas of Jiangnan and southern China, and heavy rain in central and southern Hunan, central and southern Jiangxi, central and northern Guangxi, and central and western Guangdong; the cumulative precipitation in some areas will be 80~160 mm, and the local precipitation in central and northern Guangxi and central and western Guangdong will reach 250~350 mm. For example, it can be seen on the precipitation forecast map that starting on the evening of May 3, a wide range of heavy rain will cover Jiangxi, Hunan, Fujian, Guangxi and Guangxi, and heavy rain will occur in Guangxi and Jiangxi provinces.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

In the past April, the impact of heavy rainfall and severe convective weather processes was wide-ranging, intense and long-lasting, which is rare in recent years. As of 20 o'clock on the evening of 30 April, the precipitation of the Longmen National Station in Guangdong this month was as high as 1,291.1 mm, making it the champion of the mainland's national meteorological station in April! Since the mainland had meteorological records, the national meteorological station in April has never had such an outrageous amount of precipitation, and it was completely rained in the manner of dragon boat water in May.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

3. Local super level 11

In addition, the Central Meteorological Observatory also pointed out that from May 3 to May 5, in addition to the strengthening of large-scale rainfall in the south, there were 8~10 thunderstorms and windy weather in the central and western parts of Inner Mongolia, the eastern part of the northwest region, the eastern part of the southwest region, the central part of the Yangtze River, and South China, with local levels above 11.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

Severe convective weather refers to the disastrous weather with short-term heavy precipitation, thunderstorms and strong winds, tornadoes, hail and squall lines, which are characterized by short duration, strong localization, strong factor changes and great destructive power. When the cold air from the north invades the warm and humid air mass in the south in an appropriate way, it will form a particularly strong vertical movement in some areas, that is, the strong convective weather system, so that the water vapor and energy accumulated in the air can be released in a short time, so that the strong convective weather such as strong thunder, thunderstorms, strong winds and even hail will be formed.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

The reason for the frequent occurrence of strong convective weather in the south recently is that around April this year, the subtropical high is stronger, and the warm and humid airflow in the north of the subtropical high is more active.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels

There is no doubt that although the rain and strong convection in the south have weakened for a short time, in the second half of the May Day holiday, there will still be a wide range of heavy rainfall and strong convective weather in the south again, and there may be short-term heavy precipitation, thunderstorms, strong winds or hail, etc., which need to be taken precautions.

Large-scale heavy rain is brewing and strengthening, and the four provinces may have another heavy rain! Authoritative forecast: local more than 11 levels