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Oil price adjustment, next Monday, the domestic gas station 92/95 gasoline price will open the price adjustment node, the oil price is expected to be lowered, however, still facing the risk of "stranded" adjustment!
According to the data, according to the domestic oil price adjustment, every 10 working days based on the change level of crude oil in the three places, the domestic gasoline and diesel price adjustment range is more than 50 yuan/ton, and the price adjustment is carried out according to the plan, and the rise and fall range is less than 50 yuan/ton, and no adjustment will be made!
According to the feedback from the domestic market, at present, the end of the current round of pricing cycle for 8 working days, the rate of change of crude oil is -1.88%, the price of gasoline and diesel is estimated to fall by 85 yuan/ton, and the conversion price of 92/95 gasoline is estimated to fall by 6~8 cents per liter, and oil prices are in the range of a narrow decline!
However, from the market feedback, close to the price adjustment node, international crude oil prices strengthened again, among them, on April 25, U.S. oil rose by $0.76 to $83.57, cloth oil rose by $0.99, up to $89.01 per barrel! As of 19:45 on April 26, U.S. oil rose by $0.56 to $84.13 per barrel, an increase of 0.66%......
Recently, the United States has increased aid to Israel and Ukraine, which has further exacerbated the escalation of geopolitical tensions and has strong support for the crude oil market. However, due to the US economic data less than expected, the level of manufacturing has fallen sharply, which has exacerbated the market's concerns about crude oil consumption demand, and the international crude oil market is long and short.
In the domestic market, according to institutional data, on April 27, the price of 92/95 gasoline at gas stations in various provinces and cities was implemented after the rise on April 17, and the price of 92 gasoline was generally around 8.1~8.4 yuan/liter, and in some areas, the price of 92 gasoline was in the "9 yuan/liter era"!
Attached: On April 27, the price of gasoline No. 92/95 at gas stations in various provinces and cities!
At the same time, in the domestic pig and egg market, at present, pig prices are under pressure to fall, the market decline has expanded significantly, the supply and demand sentiment has deteriorated, and the breeding end has a higher subscription mentality. In the egg market, the purchase and sale are relatively cautious, and the egg price is showing a sideways and stable situation! The specific analysis is as follows:
In the egg market, from the analysis of institutional data, at present, in the domestic production and marketing market, the wholesale price of eggs is 3.28~3.33 yuan / catty, and the market is showing a sideways stabilization situation!
On the one hand, consumer demand is in the off-season, the May Day holiday, school and dine-in demand weakened, however, the festival has obvious uncertain factors, which also causes the downstream market to stock up cautiously before the holiday, the market is mostly based on the use of pick-up, the downstream market purchase and sales are relatively deserted, in particular, the temperature in the north and south is rising, the south has entered the rainy season, egg storage is difficult, and there is pressure to stock all aspects of production and marketing!
On the other hand, recently, affected by the holiday factors, the elimination of chickens slaughtered slightly increased, however, due to the number of new laying hens at a high level, the level of laying hens is high, the pressure on egg supply still exists, in particular, the demand for poor stocking, poor replenishment demand of food enterprises, passive backlog of inventory in all aspects of production and marketing, and the market has a certain price reduction operation, which also causes the market quotation in the sales area to be less than the quotation in the production area!
Personally, I believe that at present, the price of eggs is at a stage of trough, the breeding end has a certain price sentiment, and the demand to follow up in general, some areas, by the festival or there is a short-term replenishment of demand, however, due to the loose supply pattern, the market or will maintain the situation of stagnation, the pre-holiday market stability and small movement of the situation or will be highlighted!
In the pig market, recently, pig prices showed a stable and weak trend, previously, the stalemate of the market is more prominent, the breeding end of the slaughter sentiment differentiation, bullish, bearish sentiment coexists, and slaughtering enterprises are mostly based on sales, the operating rate is weak, and the pig price trend is slightly weak!
Judging from the latest feedback from the market, as the holiday approaches, the bullish confidence of the breeding end has weakened, and the social side and the group pig enterprises have shown a double increase in performance, in particular, the early stage of the fence and the second pig source into the centralized slaughter stage, the market for the standard fertilizer price difference upside down, the prospect of fat pigs is worried about heating up, the breeding end of the slaughter is accelerated, the difficulty of the group pig enterprises to slaughter increases, and the large factory has a certain amount of price reduction operation!
However, due to the small number of orders from slaughtering enterprises, the pre-holiday benefits have not yet appeared, the market supply is strong and the demand is weak, the slaughterhouse price support is strong, and the domestic pig price is weakly adjusted, from the market feedback, today's foreign three-yuan pig price fell to 14.86 yuan / kg, down 0.08 yuan compared with yesterday, and the price of the north and south markets showed a comprehensive downward trend!
Now, the festival is imminent, the slaughterhouse started less than expected, the breeding end of the increase to sell pigs, but, with the low price of pigs, the northern region of the breeding end of the pressure is not large, the mentality of the factory resistance to price reduction has become stronger, the market sentiment has changed, it is expected that in the next 1~2 days, the decline in pig prices or will slow down, guided by emotions, pig prices or have a trend of stopping falling and rising! However, due to the slow pace of slaughter of pig enterprises in the southern group, the risk of disease caused by precipitation in the early stage surged, and the price of pigs in the south still has downward pressure.