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The melee escalated overnight, and Iran issued the strongest warning that if Israel moved, the regime would cease to exist

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The Middle East melee escalated overnight, and Iran once again issued the strongest warning, once Israel makes a move, its regime will cease to exist.

On the 23rd, Iranian President Raisi once again issued the strongest warning about the recent "conflict" between Iran and Israel during his visit to Pakistan, saying, "If Israel makes another mistake and attacks Iran's holy land, the situation will be different, and it is not clear whether this regime will continue." The simple translation of this sentence is that if Israel chooses to act against Iran again, then the Israeli regime will cease to exist. Recently, because of Israel's sudden attack on the Iranian embassy in Syria, the Middle East melee escalated overnight, Iran and Israel conducted a "round war", in the early morning of the 14th, Iran launched a retaliatory action against Israel, and the alarm sounded in many places in southern Israel, according to Iran, the most important air base in the Negev was attacked by Iranian Haibar missiles, and at the same time, Israel's base for attacking the Iranian embassy in Syria was successfully hit by Iran. Immediately afterwards, Israel's counterattack on Iran also began a few days later, and in the early morning of the 19th, explosions were heard in the Kajavaristan area in the northeast of Isfahan Province in central Iran. It is worth mentioning that Isfahan is also the center of Iranian nuclear research. Iran has vowed to fight back at its nuclear facilities if they are attacked by Israel. Fortunately, Israel did not attack Iran's nuclear facilities during the counterattack.

The melee escalated overnight, and Iran issued the strongest warning that if Israel moved, the regime would cease to exist

Of course, this does not mean that Israel will not attack Iran's nuclear facilities in the future. After all, up to now, the tension between the two sides has not been lifted. Earlier, the Chief of the General Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces, Bagheri, also stressed that the armed forces are on alert, and if the Israeli side takes action to attack Iran's interests in Syria, Iran will retaliate, and the next operation will be even larger. In this context, Raisi's reiteration of a stern warning to Israel is clearly necessary. How will the tensions between Iran and Israel evolve next? A brief analysis shows that there are at least three possibilities: First, after the two sides exchange strikes, they will resume their usual form of indirect military action, releasing belligerent rhetoric but not taking actual action, and second, Israel will launch a more sensitive attack on Iran. This model is possible, but in this case, the two sides will continue to exchange blows, but the scale should not be too large, and the level of tension will gradually decrease; third, there may be a full-scale war, and the United States and its allies may be dragged into the war by Israel. Although the probability of such a situation is not very high, it cannot be ruled out.

The melee escalated overnight, and Iran issued the strongest warning that if Israel moved, the regime would cease to exist

In fact, this "round war" between Iran and Israel is, in the final analysis, one of the spillover manifestations of the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict, and the fundamental way out of the current chaos in the Middle East is to fully implement the "two-state solution" and completely get out of the vicious circle of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. Dai Bing, Chargé d'affaires a.i. of the Chinese Permanent Mission to the United Nations, stressed that if the fighting in Gaza is allowed to continue to burn, its negative spillover effects will further spread and exacerbate regional instability. It is imperative to effectively implement Security Council resolution 2728 and to achieve an immediate ceasefire in Gaza. Although this is also the consensus and expectation of the international community, it is indeed difficult to achieve an immediate ceasefire in Gaza due to the interference and obstruction of the United States.

The melee escalated overnight, and Iran issued the strongest warning that if Israel moved, the regime would cease to exist

Earlier, the United States again used its veto power in the Security Council to veto a resolution admitting Palestine as a full member of the United Nations. Against the backdrop of the ongoing Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the intensifying humanitarian crisis in Gaza, the admission of Palestine as a full member of the United Nations is bound to allow Palestine to enjoy an equal status with Israel, which is to create conditions for the resumption of Palestinian-Israeli negotiations. It can be said that the admission of Palestine to full membership of the United Nations is more urgent than ever before. The behavior of the United States can only show that it supports the "two-state solution" on the surface, but in fact it is rejecting the "two-state solution". Under the turmoil of the United States, it is really difficult to predict how this Middle East melee will end.

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