In early April, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in mainland China exceeded 50% for the first time, reaching 50.38%.
In other words, with this as a tipping point, the buyers of petrol cars have become a minority, and more people have begun to throw themselves into the arms of electric cars – a full 11 years earlier than the state set its 2035 plan.
However, it is strange to say, everyone says that the tram is not yet mature, how did such a result come so quickly?
Some people believe that the reason for the subsidy is that without the support of the state, the tram simply cannot get up.
However, the chip industry, artificial intelligence, the metaverse... There are many state-supported projects, why are new energy vehicles running out?
consulted some insiders, and they said: In fact, it has nothing to do with subsidies, mainly because three reasons are too helpless and too heart-wrenching.
The first is that oil trucks are becoming less and less economical
When it comes to this, I believe many people have a handful of snot and tears.
After all, in 2000, the oil price was only 3 yuan/liter, but now, it is as high as 8 yuan/liter, which means that it is almost 0.6 yuan per kilometer.
As for the tram, the cheapest electricity is only 0.31 yuan, and according to the energy consumption of 15 degrees per 100 kilometers, it is only 0.05 yuan per kilometer, which is simply outrageous.
Although many people will be stubborn and say that "the tram saves fuel but does not save money", who has never driven a gas car to buy a tram, and who can be deceived?
Therefore, many riders say:
"Please stop slandering the tram! I have used the gas car for 4 years, and the 95# oil has been added for 4 years, the house is gone, and the family is also broken.
I don't want to burn money, I just want to be cheap.
Who has so much money? Can you guarantee that the price of oil will not rise again for the rest of your life?"
This is indeed the case, because the price of oil in China is not too high, compared with the price of 16.037 yuan/liter in the Netherlands, it can only be regarded as a drop in the shadow.
Who's to say that in a few years, we won't be at this price, or that it's even more outrageous?
I'm sure many people are pessimistic about this.
The second is that the oil car companies are too insincere
Friends who have experienced the era of gasoline cars and bought high-end trams at the same time must know what I am talking about.
Let's talk about it openly, it's 2024, and oil car companies are still engaged in the top 5 killer features of Asian Dragon, which is almost laughing to death.
What's even more outrageous is that at the beginning of this year, Lexus stores were also on the hot search due to price increases.
And what is the train doing here?
Heap configuration, heap parameters, heap performance... As long as the consumer needs it, all the brains will be given to you.
In Zhou Hongyi's words:
In the past, such a configuration was the patent of luxury cars, but now domestic cars, even if they are three or four hundred thousand models, have taken it as a standard configuration, and any domestic MPV can kill it in seconds. ”
This is the cruel and extremely cruel reality.
Don't think that the tram will only fix these empty things, what about the engine, the turf, the transmission?
However, the gap in these aspects will only be wide.
According to the professionals, what is the 1.5 self-priming, 1.2t, 1.5T weak internal combustion engine - in this era, only the motor is powered.
At the same time, nearly a million oil trucks, with first-class engineers to do the drivability, is not as good as the default parameters of the tram.
Just say, how do you compare?
To put it bluntly, the oil truck is really not advanced, and it has reached its final form, and the thermal efficiency and acceleration are just like that, because the speed is not easy to control, and a gearbox is added in one move.
But the tram has no such obstacles at all!
Finally, the innate gap is too large to make up.
What is the innate gap, in the case of tigers, it is very vivid, not only fast, strong, but also particularly agile.
The same is true for trams compared to petrol cars!
In fact, in the last century, everyone was also optimistic about the tram, only because the fuel cost was too cheap at that time, dozens of times cheaper than the electricity bill, the tram was replaced.
But feng shui takes turns, and now the electricity bill is not only cheap, but also the congenital nature is particularly strong, so it naturally begins to reverse.
This is not nonsense, after all, the thermal efficiency of the engine is at most 45%, and the efficiency of the motor is easily 95%; The strong thing is that the tram doesn't need a gearbox at all, and the whole thing is redundant, and the strong thing is quieter, more intelligent...
Can oil trucks catch up in this regard? It's not impossible, but the effort and the gain are basically not proportional.
Otherwise, car companies around the world will not start the electrification transformation one after another, right?
All in all, it's not that the oil truck is not powerful, but that the objective reality is too heart-wrenching.
After all, on the one hand, car companies still have historical baggage, and they still want to make a lot of money on oil cars, which is insincere; on the other hand, the innate quality cannot be compared with electric cars.
As a result, there has been a reversal in the auto market.
And can that change? Surely not!
Because the world is transforming to this aspect, Europe and the United States have not given up on electrification, but have slowed down: in one year last year, Ford spent $4.7 billion on electrification reform, how could it be easy to give up!
To put it bluntly, as things stand, it's only a matter of time before electricity replaces oil – and acceleration will get faster and faster.