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Sources: All of the information stated in this article is based on reliable sources, and is detailed at the end of the article
sequence
India's general election is in full swing, and India, as a major country in Southeast Asia, will have more or less influence on the whole of Asia and even the whole world.
Therefore, the Indian election will naturally attract the attention of many countries in the world, and the entire process of the Indian election is indeed full of drama, and all kinds of mutations are caught off guard.
However, this sudden change is naturally not a good thing for Modi, who currently has a high approval rating, and the successful rise of the pro-China faction in neighboring Malaysia has undoubtedly given Modi another blow to the head.
So will Modi be able to come out on top in this Indian election and realize his dream of a third term, and where should he go from here in the face of such a complex situation in South Asia?
India's general election has been full of twists and turns
For the Indian people, the main concern now is definitely the current Indian general election, which has officially swept the whole country since April 19.
There is no doubt that India's next prime minister is definitely closely related to the Indian people, whether it is economic policies or related subsidies, the impact of the new prime minister on the people must be the most intuitive, so people are naturally very concerned about this Indian election.
In addition, the Indian general election is indeed the result of the joint voting of every voter, and unlike many countries that simply follow a formality and the result is set, the Indian general election is a part of which every voter participates.
This is commendable in India, but such a high degree of freedom means that a much larger election process is needed, and the Election Commission of India has deployed 15 million staff members to ensure that the election runs smoothly.
Not only that, the Election Commission has also set up 1.05 million polling places and 5.5 million electronic voting machines across India.
But the "bigness" of India's general election is not limited to these aspects, it is also very large in terms of voters and electoral activities, and the scale of the Indian political parties as the electees is just as large.
According to incomplete statistics, there are as many as 2,600 political parties participating in the elections in India, and even if India has a very large number of political parties and population, the number of political parties is very exaggerated, and the same is true when looking at the whole world.
However, it is clear that the vast majority of these 2,600 political parties are here to join in the fun, and there is no hope that they are here to "focus on participation".
Among them, the current Prime Minister Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has the highest voice, compared to the popularity of the BJP, which is absolutely overwhelming for other parties, because the gap is too wide to put it bluntly, there is no comparison at all.
Modi's popularity in India is obvious, Modi's popularity in India is very high, with a support rate of up to 70%, Modi has been India's prime minister since 2014, and has now been re-elected for two terms, and this election is the third one.
To be honest, Modi has such a support rating in the country, and other political parties can basically say "bye-bye" directly, and there is basically no need for the entire general election to continue, and Modi's third re-election is almost a certainty.
This situation is obviously bad news for other parties, even the "second largest party in India", the National Congress Party, has no ability to compete with Modi, and at this point, many parties have decided to join forces to "fight Modi".
As a result, the entire Indian general election directly ushered in a sudden change and became a polarized situation, with a stronger "ruling coalition" on one side, mainly led by the Bharatiya Janata Party, and on the other side a "opposition coalition" led by the National Congress Party.
The positions of the two parties are very clear, and it is obvious that the relationship between the two parties is hard-hitting, and the Modi BJP was originally the dominant party, but now it has become a state of antagonism, which is probably the last thing Modi wants to see.
But this is not the end, not only the situation in India has suddenly changed, but also the situation in South Asia outside India has begun to change abruptly, leaving Modi in a dilemma in an instant.
A wave of unevenness has risen again and again
The general election campaign on the Indian side is in full swing, and India's neighbor Maldives is not idle, and at the same time, the Maldives side is also holding parliamentary elections, which is really a very coincidental time.
On April 21, elections for parliamentary seats began in the Maldives, with a number of parties vying for the remaining 93 seats.
I thought that the election would be like the Indian general election, but I didn't expect the election process to be very smooth, and the final result was directly one-sided, with the ruling party led by the current president of the Maldives winning more than 60 seats.
This result is indeed a bit surprising, considering that on the Maldives side the gap between the two sides is not that big, but the ruling party directly won the elections in almost all cities.
The opposition party suffered a direct blow, not only ushered in a crushing defeat in the head-on election, but even handed over the seats of the previous term.
Originally, this incident did not have any impact on India, but the ruling party in the Maldives is all pro-China, and President Muiz is very "favored" to China, and has always advocated strengthening cooperation with China.
Given the special relationship between China and India, coupled with India's attempt to interfere in the internal affairs of the Maldives, the crushing victory of this wave of pro-China factions in the Maldives means that the relationship between India and the Maldives will go further and further.
As the saying goes: "Many friends, many paths", Modi naturally understands this truth, otherwise he would not have suddenly softened his attitude on the eve of India's general election and took the initiative to show goodwill to China, hoping to solve the Sino-Indian border issue as soon as possible.
Modi's maneuver is unusual, in order to stabilize his position in South Asia and even Asia, which is obviously only good for Modi's third re-election.
epilogue
To be honest, Modi's series of "riotous operations" are actually "paving the way" for his third consecutive term, and according to Modi's previous approval rate, Modi's move is really good.
But Modi would never have thought that the sudden change in the situation in India was already big enough, and now the situation in South Asia has changed dramatically, and Modi is in a dilemma in an instant, and this sudden change is really enough for Modi to drink a pot.
However, in the final analysis, such an accident is the "bane" planted by Modi himself, and if Modi does not interfere in the internal affairs of the Maldives, perhaps there will be no such thing as a "pro-China faction", and Modi will naturally not fall into this situation.
At such a critical moment, it is still unknown what Modi should go in the future, and I hope Modi can understand that the direction of India's election all depends on his attitude towards other countries, and I believe that Modi will make the right choice!
Information sources:
Global Times 2024-04-22 Foreign media: "Pro-China faction" won a landslide victory
Shangguan News 2024-04-18 Depth | India's general election starts tomorrow, Modi's third term is in sight?
Rule of Law Daily-Rule of Law Network 2024-04-22 India's general election kicks off Modi's campaign promises have been accused of avoiding reality and making false ones
Huanqiu.com 2024-04-19 Tensions between the government and the opposition are intensifying, and the confrontation between the north and the south is difficult to eliminate! India's general election today puts Modi's ambitions to the test