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April is coming to an end, domestic pigs and grain, due to the phased production and marketing mismatch pressure is not reduced, a variety of agricultural product prices downward, among them, in the pig market, pig prices fell sideways, however, large factories have a certain shrinkage of the mentality, it is expected that pig prices will stop falling and pick up. In the grain market, corn and wheat have fallen in piles, corn has been under supply pressure and demand is insufficient, spot quotations have not stopped, and the wheat market has weakened slightly, but the rise is still facing multiple pressures! The specific analysis is as follows:
First, wheat prices fell in a narrow range!
In the wheat market, a few days ago, under the guidance of emotion, due to the policy wheat concentrated rotation, and the lack of good demand, the wheat market broke down, the price of many ground enterprises fell below 1.3 yuan, and the price of some enterprises fell to 1.27 ~ 1.28 yuan / catty!
On the one hand, the bran is not in good condition, and the bran quotation of mainstream factories has fallen to 1300~1400 yuan/ On the other hand, the wheat rotation is still continuing, and the policy wheat supply level is relaxed, although the rhythm of grain storage rotation may weaken, and the pressure on wheat supply may gradually reduce, but the pattern of phased supply easing is more obvious!
Therefore, based on many factors in the market, at present, the wheat market continues to be stable and weak, from the market feedback, Shandong, Hebei, Henan and Jiangsu Anhui and other places, some enterprises, wheat quotation fell 0.5 ~ 2 points / catty, the mainstream wheat quotation fell to 1.29 ~ 1.34 yuan / catty, among them, Shandong Heze Tianbang and developed flour quotation fell to 1.28 yuan / catty!
Second, the price of corn has generally fallen!
In the corn market, recently, the performance of corn in the producing areas is more divergent, the bottom of the Northeast corn support is strong, the price is weak and stable, and the sporadic enterprises are affected by the narrow decline in the supply of grain, but in the Shandong market, the volume of deep processing has surged, the risk of corn selling pressure still exists, the demand is insufficient, and the price is weak!
At present, Heijiliao and Inner Mongolia region, the progress of corn grain sales in the production area is about 9 and a half, the grassroots surplus grain bottoms out, and the grain storage continues to increase, but the quality of the grain source is strict, and the quotation is more accompanied, some traders' sentiment is slightly deviated, in particular, the corn upside down phenomenon in the production and marketing market is obvious, the Northeast grain source is not smooth, and the quotation of some enterprises is slightly deviated!
In the North China market, Shandong, Hebei and Henan and other places, the progress of corn grain sales is generally in 8~9 percent, affected by weather factors, the grassroots surplus grain to speed up the market, and traders have high inventories, with the receipt of hair, the production area of corn circulation is smooth, the arrival of enterprises in front of the goods is relaxed, the factory to see the car to give the price, most of the corn quotations fell!
Among them, in Shandong, the arrival of deep processing in front of the door is about 1130 cars, and the price range of most of Shandong deep processing is 0.3~1.5 cents/jin, and the listing price of mainstream corn in Shandong has fallen to 1.1~1.2 yuan/jin!
Personal analysis, due to the loose surplus grain at the grassroots level, the corn supply pattern is sufficient, and the demand is under pressure, the enterprise inventory is sufficient, the consumption capacity of feed and deep processing enterprises is poor, the corn market is facing severe pressure of production and marketing mismatch, in the short term, the market may maintain a weak trend!
Third, the price of live pigs is stable and weak!
According to data analysis, on April 25, the price of pigs in the three yuan was 14.96 yuan / kg, the price of pigs fell in a narrow range, the domestic market is mainly stable and small, the mainstream area, the price of slaughtering enterprises is adjusted in 0.05 ~ 0.1 yuan, and the pig price hovers around 14.1 ~ 15.95 yuan / kg!
At present, the logic of supporting the rise in pig prices, on the one hand, due to the reduction of pig fattening loss pressure, the profitability of mainstream farmers has improved, the breeding end of the bullish mentality of the market still exists, the mentality of small and medium-sized pigs is not high, and the group pig enterprises monthly slaughter plan is reduced, the mentality of stable price and wait-and-see still exists, and the breeding end has a certain price operation; ！
However, because the consumption is still in the early stage, the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises has been boosted to a limited extent, and the domestic weather has weakened, the price spread of standard fertilizer has narrowed, and the market demand for fat pigs has deteriorated.
Therefore, under the pressure of long and short, pig prices are under weak pressure, it is expected that in the next 1~2 days, under the guidance of emotions, the breeding end shrinks the price, superimposed, the slaughtering enterprise stocking cycle is coming, pig prices or will stop falling, however, due to the supply pressure still exists, it is expected that the pre-holiday pig price rebound will be limited!