In the pig market, at present, the pig market presents a weak and stable situation, from the feedback of the market grassroots, in the northern region, the market bullish mentality is strong, and the breeding end has a certain sentiment of reluctance to sell, however, the southern market, affected by the precipitation weather, the group farm pig goods are under pressure, and the wholesale market has a certain "bad market" phenomenon, the rhythm of purchase and sales is blocked, and the large factories are mainly based on stable quotations!
At present, the hog market is intertwined with long and short, and the specific analysis is as follows:
Positive factors: (1), close to May Day, the market bullish mentality still exists, the breeding end of the small and medium-sized pigs to be raised to be higher sentiment, the group pig slaughter rhythm slowed down, shrinkage and pull up the mentality still exists;
(2), slaughtering enterprises before the festival to stock up on the good is about to be cashed, affected by the May Day holiday, the downstream market residents household consumption and catering dine-in consumption demand or will be greatly increased, slaughtering enterprises before the festival to concentrate on the purchase of pig stocking demand, which has a certain support for the market;
(3) The pig production capacity has accelerated, the market has increased its confidence in the long-term pig price, and in some areas, there is still an opportunity for the second breed to enter the market at a low level.
(4) The cost of feed is low, the pressure of breeding loss is reduced, the market slaughter rhythm is more flexible, and the price mentality is strong;
Negative factors: (1), the temperature in the north and south regions has risen significantly, the market has weakened for the fat pigs, the downstream market has just turned bad, the domestic fat pig prices have continued to decline, the price spread of standard fat pigs has been loosened, the mentality of the breeding end has been reduced, and the slaughter sentiment of medium and large pigs is strong;
(2) The festival effect is slow to cash, the supply and demand of downstream white strips are deserted, the orders of slaughtering enterprises are small, the benefits of pre-holiday stocking have not yet been realized, and the performance of consumption constraints is more prominent;
(3) Affected by extreme precipitation weather in the southern region, the purchase and sale of live pigs are stagnant, and the breeding end is facing the phenomenon of passive pressure on the fence, and affected by precipitation and high temperature, the risk of disease in pig farms may increase, and the breeding end may have the pressure of concentrated pig sales;
(4) The price spread of standard fertilizer has narrowed, the market's concern about "slaughtering cattle" has become stronger, and the breeding end still has the mentality of slaughtering at high prices!
Therefore, based on many factors in the market, the stage of the pig market shows a cautious performance of purchase and sales, the price is stable, from today's market feedback, some large factories in the northern region have a certain amount of shrinkage and pull up the operation, however, the effect is not ideal, the market continues to stabilize the situation!
According to the quotation of slaughtering enterprises, by the market long and short interweaving, it is expected that on April 25, the average price of lean pigs outside the three yuan will remain at about 14.96 yuan / kg, the price of pigs fell 0.02 yuan, the market continues to be weak and stable, however, as the holiday approaches, pig prices still have the opportunity to rebound against the trend, however, the rise should not be overly bullish!