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April is gradually entering the second half of the month, less than 1 week from the May Day holiday, recently, the domestic pig price shows a trend of ups and downs, the price is gradually entering the "quagmire", the long and short game is more obvious, however, due to the approaching holiday, the pig price inflection point is coming, the rise is ready to go, but, rationally, the end of the month pig price rebound or will be limited, sentiment will still be the most important part of the impact on pig prices!
From the analysis of market feedback, by the slaughtering enterprises to adjust the price of pigs, on April 25, the average price of lean pigs in the three yuan slaughter price was 14.96 yuan / kg, down 0.02 yuan from yesterday, the market showed a stable and weak trend, the north and south of the country, pig prices are stable and small, sporadic areas, slaughtering enterprise quotations are adjusted!
At present, the average price of live pigs in the country is similar to 14.95 yuan/kg in Shaanxi, in the north and south of the country, the price of live pigs hovers at 14.1~15.95 yuan/kg, the lowest price in Xinjiang, and the highest price in Guangdong! Among them, in the traditional high and low market, at present, in the Heijiliao region, the price of live pigs is 14.35~14.8 yuan/kg, in Shanxi and Hebei is 15.1 yuan, in Shaanxi and Gansu is quoted at 14.6~14.95 yuan, and in the southern market, the price in Sichuan and Chongqing is 14.7~14.75 yuan, Shandong, Anhui quotation at 15.25 ~ 15.35 yuan, Jiangsu and Zhejiang quotation at 15.45 ~ 15.7 yuan, two lakes quotation at 15 ~ 15.05 yuan, Liangguang quotation at 14.95 ~ 15.95 yuan / kg!
From this point of view, on April 25, the price of pigs adjusted, the market is stable and small The trend is more obvious, at present, the pig market is intertwined, the specific analysis is as follows:
First, the cost of feed is low, the profit of breeding is improved, and the price mentality is strong! Due to the low cost of feed in the stage, the market of soybean meal and corn is at a low level, the pressure of breeding and fattening is reduced, and the mainstream purchased piglets fattening and self-breeding have entered the stage of cyclical profitability.
At present, the domestic pig price is relatively stable, however, due to the warming temperature, the consumption capacity of fat pigs has declined, the standard fertilizer price spread has narrowed, the enthusiasm of the breeding end of the pig has weakened, the rhythm of the pig slaughter is positive, the average weight of domestic pigs slaughtered has slowly rebounded, the average weight of slaughter at this stage is about 123 kg, and the average weight of slaughtering pigs in some areas has reached about 124 kg, and the increase in fat pigs has been slaughtered, which has certain positive factors for pig prices;
Recently, the operating rate of domestic slaughtering enterprises is about 27%, and it is difficult to increase the orders of slaughtering enterprises, the purchase and sales of downstream white strips are relatively sluggish, the support of household consumption is insufficient, and the lack of new increments in catering consumption.
However, due to the arrival of the end of the month, from the latest feedback from the slaughtering enterprises, the operating rate of the sample slaughtering enterprises increased by 0.27 percentage points compared with the previous day, and the pre-holiday slaughtering enterprise stocking rhythm or will start, and the decline in pig prices is difficult to sustain!