#布林肯再访华 What will be the clash ##布林肯4月24日至26日访华 in the talks#
Text/Fat guy eggplant
According to a number of foreign media reports on April 23, the United States recently announced that Secretary of State Blinken will pay a three-day official visit to China starting on Wednesday. This is the second time that a senior U.S. government official has visited China since Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen visited China earlier this month, and it will also be Blinken's second announced visit to China in less than a year.
However, before the Blinkonians arrived, his "warning" to China arrived first, and it was quite menacing.
(Blinken will soon start his visit to China)
Taiwan media broke the news that during Blinken's visit to China, he will make a clear request, that is, during the inauguration ceremony of Lai Qingde, the new leader of the Taiwan region, which will be held next month, the mainland should refrain from taking any "provocative measures".
Blinken reportedly asked Chinese mainland to "exercise restraint" during the inauguration scheduled for May 20 because the period is "important and sensitive." He expressed the hope that all countries would contribute to peace and stability and show professionalism and restraint by refraining from any action that could exacerbate tensions.
(Lai Qingde, nicknamed "Lai Pi Dog", will take office next month)
Although this is only a "foreshadowing" by the Taiwan media, to a large extent, it still represents the attitude of the US State Department and even the entire US authorities towards the current cross-strait relations. However, there is no doubt that this statement by the US side is wrong, because how the situation in the Taiwan Strait goes depends entirely on whether the US side and the Taiwan authorities adopt a provocative attitude.
First of all, the PLA's patrols in the Taiwan Strait can be called provocations? That can only be called defending the security of its own territory. Second, whether or not the PLA will cruise the Taiwan Strait when Lai Ching-te is "taking office" will inevitably depend on the actions of the other side -- if the Taiwan authorities can abide by the "one-China" consensus, peacefully resolve the Taiwan Strait issue, and realize the peaceful reunification of the two sides of the strait, why should the PLA wander around the Taiwan Strait every day with nothing to do?
(The People's Liberation Army patrols the Taiwan Strait)
As for Blinken's visit to China, his "advance statement" may also have a negative impact on the next dialogue between China and the United States, and there may be more differences between China and the United States on the situation in Taiwan.
It is reported that Blinken is expected to visit Beijing and Shanghai during his three-day visit to China, and meet with a number of senior Chinese officials, including Foreign Minister Wang Yi. In the information released by the US side, it is clearly stated that the Taiwan issue will be the focus of Blinken's communication with the Chinese side. Of course, the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Gaza crisis are also among Blinken's "topics for dialogue". It is foreseeable that China and the United States will engage in more intense political confrontation in this dialogue.
(Blinken will talk to Wang Yi)
Overall, however, the prospects for this dialogue are promising. First, the ultimate goal of the US visit is to develop new channels of communication with China and to prevent the strategic competition between China and the United States from turning into a strategic conflict, especially on the Taiwan issue, through a number of restrictive means, including the new security dialogue mechanism.
In this regard, China and the United States can achieve a certain degree of convergence of interests, because for the current China and the United States, a military conflict of a regional and even global nature is something that neither side wants to see nor bear. Therefore, although this dialogue is unlikely to resolve the conflict between China and the United States, and Blinken is not here for it, through this dialogue, the possibility of conflict between China and the United States will be further reduced.
(PLA exercises in the East China Sea)
It is worth mentioning that with Blinken's upcoming visit to China, the attitude of the DPP authorities seems to have changed. Lai Ching-te, the notorious "leader of Taiwan independence," made it clear that he "hopes that the two sides of the strait can move from confrontation to dialogue." Rosenberg, chairman of the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT), also said that Lai Qingde has recently shown an obvious willingness to "hope for dialogue with the mainland," but the two sides of the strait have not yet reached an agreement on this.
Some analysts have pointed out that the United States may also be warning Lai Qingde not to act rashly, and Lai Qingde himself is very clear that once he "crosses the line," the mainland will not be able to sit idly by and ignore him. Therefore, although the United States and Taiwan may still have their own "ghosts" in the short term, we can still expect that during Blinken's current visit to China, China and the United States will be able to reach certain results on the situation in the Taiwan Strait.