Hello everyone, I'm Xiao Li. Many people see that the current trams are constantly reducing prices, getting cheaper and cheaper, and feel that it may be the most suitable time to start, but after all, the tram is a product in development, and the speed of its replacement is too fast, just like a mobile phone, it has been updated a wave a year ago, and a wave of updates has been updated after a year, and you can't catch it at all. Don't change the tram this year, if you want to sell the petrol car, don't worry, you may thank me next year.
- The first reason is that the price of the train will continue to be reduced
At the end of last year, I posted an article saying that the price of trams will continue to drop, don't rush to change trains, don't rush to change trains before the year. As a result, just after the New Year, the price war of new energy vehicles started, and the most injured after the price war was the group of car owners who bought a new car and went home for the New Year. The car bought by hundreds of thousands of yuan will directly lose 20,000 or 30,000 yuan in the New Year, which is really a loss. After the Chinese New Year, the price of new energy vehicles has been reduced, and another wave of people have started, but it has not been long since they started to find that there are more and more car companies that have reduced prices, and the prices are getting more and more fragrant. In the past, BYD cut prices, after Chang'an cut prices, and now there are Xiaopeng prices. On the other hand, looking at the tram I just bought, it seems that it is not as good as others, and I regret it.
And this year is only the first year of the price war, the price war of trams is not like oil cars, and the price reduction of oil cars has basically bottomed out, and there is no way to reduce it. But the tram is different, there is still a lot of room for the price reduction of the tram, like the car of Xiaopeng, which has dropped by 70,000 or 80,000 yuan in one go, what is this concept? It means that if you bought this car last year, you will directly lose 70,000 or 80,000 yuan. The electric car still has a lot of room for improvement, the cost of the battery, as well as the production cost of the manufacturer can still be optimized, so that the price war will be fought for another year, and it may be more fragrant to wait until next year.
- The second reason is that the battery technology revolution is getting closer and closer
Previously, I introduced to you the difference between solid-state batteries and ordinary ternary lithium batteries in the article, and also explained why solid-state batteries are so difficult to mass-produce. In fact, solid-state batteries are now getting closer and closer to mass production, and the previously released Zhiji L6 has announced that it will be equipped with solid-state batteries in the future, while other companies have advertised that they will release solid-state batteries. To be honest, let's not talk about whether solid-state batteries can really be mass-produced in the short term, but we have a saying that there is no wind and no waves, and it must be that there has been a new breakthrough in solid-state battery technology. According to the speed of battery development, even if the all-solid-state battery can't be made after a year, at least a semi-solid-state battery can be made, and at that time, as long as it goes through one or two generations of iterations, the price will definitely begin to fall, and the tram will become safer at that time.
Today's ternary lithium batteries are prone to thermal runaway problems, and once they burn up, it is difficult to extinguish the fire unless the battery is completely burned out. Even if the thermal management system of the battery is done well, the battery may be used for a long time due to the accumulation of excessive lithium dendrites, which can puncture the separator and cause a short circuit inside the battery. Therefore, waiting for solid-state batteries to come out is the best time to start.
- The third reason is to let the "bullets" fly for a while
New energy vehicles are only explosive growth this year, but what is it, it still needs to be verified by the market, and now people who buy new energy vehicles cannot be said to be the first batch of people to eat crabs, but many of the new energy vehicles are made by new forces of Internet car manufacturing, and traditional car companies have only begun to exert force in the past two years. At this juncture, we can only know whose car lasts longer, whose car configuration is better, and whose car price is lower. But it is still unclear what the quality of the car is and what the failure rate is. When more and more people buy new energy vehicles, the market ownership of new energy vehicles will become larger, and various problems will be exposed to the greatest extent.
And after a year of explosive growth, the entire industry of new energy vehicles will definitely become more and more perfect, after the competition is great, the overlord clause of the 4S store will be reduced accordingly, and then buy after a year may not need to be maintained in the 4S store?
The above is the reason why it is not recommended that you sell your oil car for new energy vehicles this year, if you think what I said is useful, don't forget to like and support, thank you.