laitimes

Missed opportunities, missed all

author:Kodama Historical Institute
Missed opportunities, missed all

Sentence / Kodama

All successful people in ancient and modern times are because they cater to the trend of history, and then actively integrate themselves into it and actively promote this trend, and finally run into the peak of life. However, in this process, it is particularly important to control the time point, and once you do not grasp the important time node, you may miss everything.

Since the Spring and Autumn Period, unification has become a major trend in history, and the annexation wars between countries are all catering to this trend. During the Warring States Period, this trend was just pressed the fast-forward button, because, after the reshuffle of the Spring and Autumn Period, there were only seven players left, and the competition pattern was even more intense.

After the successful counterattack of the Shang Dynasty, the Qin State also took the unification of the world as the ultimate goal, so the relays of the successive Qin kings were all in the service of this goal:

The historical mission of King Qin Xiaogong is to change the law and become self-reliant, and lead the princes in terms of comprehensive strength; the historical mission of King Qin Huiwen is to go east and break the alliance between the countries with the technique of connecting and horizontal; the historical mission of King Qin Wu is to take Yiyang, an important city in Korea, and open up the passage between Guanzhong and the Central Plains; the historical mission of King Qin Zhao is to frantically encroach on the princes, maximize the territory of Qin, and defeat the state of Qi, Chu, and Zhao was eliminated from the heavyweights; King Xiang of Qin Zhuang had a historical mission of inheriting the legacy of King Zhao of Qin and King Xiaowen of Qin and continuing to encroach on the six kingdoms of Kwantung; and after Yingzheng took over the throne, his mission was very clear, that is, to launch a war of annihilation and chaos for a while.

But there is still a question, that is, when to launch a war to destroy the country, and the answer given by Li Si is immediately, immediately, on the grounds that if you continue to wait, which of the six countries suddenly becomes stronger, the difficulty of the unification of the Qin State will increase. We should take advantage of the opportunity when the six countries are already dying, quickly activate the war machine and sweep away the Liuhe.

Li Si's worries are not unreasonable, because the Qin State was in a desperate situation facing the crisis of annihilation, and it was difficult to guarantee that the six countries of Kwantung would not copy the path of the Qin State. Besides, it is difficult for the Qin State to guarantee that it will be smooth sailing in the process of advancing, and will not be ravaged by natural disasters, wars, and infighting.

Therefore, when the Qin State was the strongest and the Six Kingdoms were the weakest, the Great War of Annihilation should be launched quickly.

Ying Zheng adopted Li Si's suggestion, quickly laid out the two fields of diplomacy and war at the same time, and completed the goal of mixing the world in ten years.

In this process, the state of Zhao and the state of Chu were once the bones of the Qin state, and in the process of destroying Chu, the state of Qin even suffered the tragedy of the annihilation of the 200,000 Qin army led by Li Xin.

This was when the national strength of the six countries was at its weakest, and it was hard to imagine that if the Qin State continued to wait, no matter which of the six countries recovered slightly, it would greatly increase the difficulty of unification.

In everything, it is important to cater to the trend, and it is even more important to control the time node.

Missed opportunities, missed all

Ying Zheng accurately grasped the unified time point Source/stills

Similarly, Liu Bang was able to successfully return Sanqin because of his accurate grasp of the time point. After the Hongmen was divided, Liu Bang, the king of Han, went to Hanzhong, and soldiers fled along the way. After arriving in Hanzhong, the morale of the Han army has fallen to the extreme, because most of them are Kwantung, and everyone doesn't want to die in Hanzhong.

According to normal logical reasoning, the most important thing for Liu Bang to do at this time is to recuperate in Hanzhong, and then return to Sanqin after accumulating enough strength. But Han Xin objected to this, and his suggestion was that Sanqin should be returned quickly, otherwise, it would be impossible to have a chance in the future.

Han Xin's reason was that at this time, the eagerness of the Han army to return home was available, Liu Bang's popular support in Guanzhong was available, and Xiang Yu had not really established his hegemony as the overlord of Western Chu, and was still engaged in military games with the Qi State, which was also the best time window for the Han army to return to the Three Qin and then go east.

If the Han army and soldiers have almost run away, the people of Guanzhong have become accustomed to the reality of Zhang Han and other three kings dividing the king of Guanzhong, and at that time, Liu Bang will also determine that it will be very difficult for the three Qins. Moreover, even if he is lucky enough to succeed in Sanqin, he may not be able to go east to compete with Xiang Yu for the world, because, at that time, Xiang Yu will definitely smooth out all the forces that oppose him and truly establish the hegemony of the overlord of Western Chu, and Liu Bang will not be his opponent at all.

The result could only be that he was annihilated by the Chu army in the armed competition with Xiang Yu.

Moreover, even if Liu Bang was able to extend its life cycle, the Central Plains would soon face the threat of Xiongnu forces. Taking advantage of the window period of the war at the end of the Qin Dynasty, Mao Dunshan expanded wildly, not only integrating the grassland forces, but also reoccupying the land of Henan, and the next step was a strategic attack on the Central Plains Dynasty.

It is certain that at that time, the Central Plains can only bear the heavy responsibility of fighting against the Xiongnu Xiang Yu, all resources will be concentrated on Xiang Yu, Xiang Yu can also use the war to complete the action of cutting the domain, Liu Bang's defeat is only a matter of time.

It was after listening to Han Xin's suggestion that Liu Bang completed the preparations in a short period of time, and then quickly returned to Sanqin, and then went east to fight for the world, every step was a race against time, and at that time, Xiang Yu was still deep in the battlefield of Qi State, and he couldn't get out at all.

It can be seen that if there is no accurate control of the time point of returning the Three Qins, Liu Bang, the king of the Han Dynasty, would not have become Liu Bang, the emperor of the Han Dynasty.

After the Chu-Han divide was reconciled, Liu Bang almost missed the best opportunity to annihilate Xiang Yu again. In essence, the retreat of the Chu army after the chasm was actually a state of collapse, a retreat that had exhausted its strength and materials on the Xingyang battlefield.

This time is the best time for the Han army to annihilate the Chu army, if Xiang Yu returns to the Western Chu State to recover his vitality, if he waits until the people of the world adapt to the pattern of the division of Chu and Han into the east and west, Liu Bang wants to manage the battle of unification again, the difficulty index is destined to be very high.

Zhang Liang saw this layer very clearly, and he clearly said to Liu Bang, who was preparing to collect troops and return to the pass: "If we wait until everyone adapts to the pattern of Chu and Han partitions, it will be difficult for us to destroy Chu, it is better to pursue Xiang Yu now, and we will definitely be able to annihilate the Chu army." ”

Really. The life of the overlord of Western Chu was finally frozen in this place, and the Western Chu State was also wiped out with Xiang Yu's death, including the alliance of kings of the countries with the Western Chu State as the core.

In the same way, the best time for Han Xin to start a business alone is after the defeat of the Qi State, at that time, he wants to have military merits, status, soldiers, and Xiang Yu and Liu Bang. But Han Xin never took this step because he took care of Liu Bang's kindness to him. When the battle of Qixia ended, after Han Xin was captured by Liu Bang, he had lost the opportunity to call Liu Bang forever.

Assuming that the rebellion of Han Shin recorded in history is true, then Han Shin definitely did the wrong thing at the most inopportune time.

In the words of Kuaitong's persuasion of Han Xin back then: "It is difficult for those who make meritorious achievements to succeed and easy to lose, and those who are rare and easy to lose." When the time comes, it will not come again. May I look at it carefully. ”

During the Dune coup, Zhao Gao also contributed a famous saying about timing: "When the time comes, there is no time to plan." Win the grain prancing horse, but fear the future. ”

As the saying goes: after this village, there will be no more shops.

Of course, it was not easy for Han Shin to rebel back then, because the bond between him and his army was not strong. Coupled with Liu Bang's personnel layout in his army, it was difficult for Han Xin to succeed.

Missed opportunities, missed all

Han Xin's best chance to go it alone is to call Qi Wang Source/Stills

Similarly, the Rebellion of the Seven Kingdoms launched by King Wu Liu Bi and others was also at the wrong time. Although the princes and kings of the early Han Dynasty were very strong, and they had financial, political, and military powers, especially Liu Bi, the king of Wu, who was even richer by virtue of the resource advantages in his jurisdiction. However, at that time, the Western Han Dynasty had formed the historical inertia of Dazhi, and the common people had become accustomed to the petty bourgeois life of their wives and children, and there was no need to take risks to win wealth and nobility.

At this time, Liu Bi and the other Seven Kings acted against the trend, although they were violent at the beginning, they soon couldn't resist the determination of Emperor Jing of Han to resist with the imperial machine, and were defeated by Zhou Yafu.

Liu Bi's defeat was defeated by his challenge to the laws of history. The world's best resources can only maximize their effectiveness if they coincide with the trend, and on the contrary, they can only lead to destruction.

In March of the fifth year of the Jianxing of the Shu Han Dynasty (227), Zhuge Liang officially launched the Northern Expedition strategy in Beitun Hanzhong. The reason why he chose this time is because Zhuge Liang can't wait any longer. One reason is that if the long line is extended, the only military elite in Shu Han will leave the stage of history, and there will be a situation where there will be no generals in Shu. On top of that, with the relay of three generations of the Cao family, Cao Wei had firmly controlled the north, and even the elite of Shu believed that the Mandate of Heaven had been transferred to the Cao family.

Moreover, with Cao Wei's refined governance of the north, its economic and military strength will only become stronger and stronger, and when the time comes, the difficulty of the Shu Han Northern Expedition will only be greater.

Like Liu Bang back then, Zhuge Liang could not carry out the Northern Expedition only after he was fully ready, and he had to act immediately after stabilizing Nanzhong.

Why Zhuge Liang continued to use troops against Cao Wei after that, the reason is here.

That's the way things are in the world, and maybe when you're fully prepared, the opportunities will go with you. The right thing to do is to make a decisive move when you catch an opportunity, no matter how well you prepare, so that you can have a chance of success.

Look at the successful people in history, which one didn't shoot when it was time to shoot. In essence, the change of Xuanwu Gate is to strike first, to see who makes the first move, if the prince group makes the first move, coupled with its resource advantages, Li Shimin, the king of Qin, will definitely not be its opponent.

The reason why it ended with the victory of King Qin was because, after years of polishing on the battlefield, Li Shimin understood the importance of time too well, and was sensitive enough, almost stepping on the most appropriate time.

Missed opportunities, missed all

Preemptive strike is the key to King Qin's success Source/stills

If the later Qing army had not taken advantage of the contradiction between Wu Sangui and Li Zicheng to decisively enter the game, it would not have achieved the goal of winning the Central Plains so easily.

It can be seen that resources and strength are important parameters for success, and time is even more.

According to the logic of taking history as a mirror, we should also achieve accurate control of time and opportunities in our life and work:

When you meet your beloved, you will chase it decisively, regardless of whether you are ready or not, because once you miss it, it will be a lifetime;

Human life is very short, so short that it is difficult for us to meet the right person, the right opportunity, once encountered, we must not miss it.

And of course, don't go against the tide. This is also important.

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