The Southern Theater of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) has once again announced that it will hold military exercises on the China-Myanmar border, which is the second military exercise held by the PLA on the China-Myanmar border in the same month after the 2nd of this month!
It is not difficult to see from the frequent exercises of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) on the China-Myanmar border that the situation in Myanmar is now at risk of getting further out of control, which is definitely not good news for China, which is closely linked to Myanmar.
Myanmar is of very important strategic significance to China, and if Myanmar enters a war across the country, it will completely disrupt China's investment and strategic layout in Myanmar, so the current domestic situation in Myanmar is closely related to China!
Myanmar is about China's three major elements!
Although Myanmar has been in the midst of a civil war in recent years, the relationship between China and the Myanmar government army and a small number of local armed forces is still good, after all, a large part of Myanmar's land is adjacent to China, and the living habits of people in many areas are affected by China!
Therefore, in order to help Myanmar restore the situation to stability and at the same time allow Myanmar's economy to grow accordingly, China has made a lot of investments in Myanmar by relying on the "One Belt, One Road" policy, such as the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor development plan signed between China and the previous government, such as the construction of China-Myanmar oil and gas pipelines, and many infrastructure facilities that China has helped Myanmar build!
These are China's strategic investments in Myanmar, especially the construction of the China-Myanmar oil and gas pipeline, although this pipeline is only China's fourth largest energy import channel after the completion of the construction, but because this energy transportation does not pass through the Strait of Malacca, it is likely to be China's most dependent source of oil and gas imports during the war!
So whether it's the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor or the China-Myanmar oil and gas pipeline, keeping this corridor across Myanmar safe and peaceful will be a very important thing for China, and the current Burmese civil war has clearly touched on that.
Myanmar's domestic economic development has been basically stagnant due to years of war, and the domestic manufacturing industry is basically zero, and it is also very difficult for Myanmar to be self-sufficient in domestic materials, while China, as the world's largest trading country and product exporter, has also done a boom in trade with Myanmar in recent years.
In 2022, the total trade volume between China and Myanmar reached more than 25 billion US dollars, and this figure is steadily increasing every year, and China-Myanmar trade has become an indispensable part of China's foreign trade!
The third and most important point is that from the perspective of the geopolitics that China is facing today, the three countries of South Korea, Japan and the Philippines have formed the first island chain in the sea, and the Taiwan authorities have frequently provoked incidents in the Taiwan Strait, so it can be said that the situation facing China in the southeast sea area is very complicated.
India's 300,000-strong border troops are also eyeing the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in the north-central and northwestern regions of the People's Republic of China and Xinjiang, and if the Burmese side of China's southwestern border becomes more war-torious, it will further worsen the geopolitical situation that China will face.
Once the China-Myanmar border is in the hands of China's hostile forces, in the complex geographical environment of the southwest China-Myanmar border, the pressure on the PLA to guard the border to prevent enemy infiltration will become infinite!
The situation of the Burmese government army is precarious!
Now the situation in Myanmar can be said to have become very bad, the pro-Russian Burmese government army has begun to run short of troops without replenishing its equipment, and even a while ago it was reported that the government army has begun to forcibly recruit soldiers.
Now on the front with the Kachin Independence Army, the junta is being defeated and almost unable to fight back, and with the junta weakened, many of Myanmar's domestic armed forces are beginning to become ready to move.
Today, on the Bangladeshi side, Burmese army forces have fled across the border into other countries, and on the coastline to the seaside, rebels are said to be attacking naval bases.
The junta is now facing a situation where they are faced on all sides, and if they are unable to achieve a big victory against the Kachin forces on the frontal front, then the national rebels may unite against them!
If the defeat of the military junta on the battlefield can be alleviated by asking for help from outside, then the morale of the current Burmese government army is not able to be reined in.
In addition to the direct entry into the territory of neighboring countries when the Burmese government army retreated, a group of high-ranking generals and officials of the Burmese military junta even fled to Thailand en masse by military plane. Today's Myanmar military junta can be said to be internal and external troubles, and the wall has fallen and everyone has pushed it!
Although the Myanmar military junta came to power through an armed coup d'état and was not accepted by all sectors of Myanmar, during their reign, Myanmar still had a state-level official organization, and once the junta falls, the whole of Myanmar may be plunged into endless chaos.
In fact, the reason why the Kachin armed forces, who claim to be the spokesmen of the United States, have pursued and attacked the Burmese military junta fiercely is that in addition to their desire to create chaos on the China-Myanmar border, the United States behind them has other plans.
We must not forget that Aung San Suu Kyi, who had a very high prestige among the people of Burma, was brought to power by the United States, and although Aung San Suu Kyi is still under house arrest, no one dares to guarantee that after the fall of Min Aung Hlaing's government forces, Aung San Suu Kyi will not come back to preside over the overall situation! If the United States really succeeds in its layout in Burma, it will definitely bring huge trouble to China!