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Preface
In the most recent quarter, although the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed that real estate development investment and new construction started declined
The housing market as a whole is still under pressure, but there have been some positive changes in the trend of house prices.
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Video source: @otaku finance
Narrative of events
According to the analysis of Yan Yuejin, research director of the E-House Research Institute, although the market has experienced a long period of decline,
House prices are now showing signs of stabilizing and rising slightly, which could be a sign that market confidence is starting to return.
Web sources
In the first quarter of 2024, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed that although real estate development investment fell by 9.5% year-on-year,
The area of new housing starts decreased by 27.8% year-on-year, and the area of housing completions decreased by 20.7% year-on-year.
The sales area of newly built commercial housing fell by 19.4% year-on-year, but the data for March improved, and house prices began to recover slightly.
Web sources
In the face of the ongoing market downturn, both the government and developers are looking for strategic adjustments to resolve existing debt and stabilize the market.
Although the overall situation is still under pressure, the market is starting to show some positive signs, especially when it comes to prices.
Web sources
According to Yan Yuejin's analysis, the stabilization and slight increase in housing prices indicate a gradual recovery of market confidence.
The continuation of this trend is likely to drive broader economic activity, especially in the areas of consumption and investment.
Web sources
Hot comments from netizens
Netizen 1: It's a small increase of -40%.
I got 435 last year and 345 this year, and I regret it a little
Netizen 2: Our 5.6-line small county has not fallen at all
It's just a little bit harder than squeezing toothpaste, and it costs a dollar and a square meter to really reduce the price
Netizen 3: I just signed today and sold it at a loss of 400,000 yuan
My heart hurts
Netizen 4: No one buys a real or fake house
Before the epidemic, 350,000 bungalows in small counties were not sold, and now 240,000 can't be sold.
Netizen 5: I sold 2 suites at a reduced price!! Finally unwrapped!! I don't know, I'm doing the right thing
People have said that it has fallen to the bottom, and now it is starting to rise slightly
This change has attracted the attention of the public and investors.
Some people are pleased with the slight rebound in house prices, believing that this may be a normal rebound after a long-term market correction.
Web sources
However, there are also concerns that if house prices rise too fast,
This could put pressure on the economic recovery, especially for first-time homebuyers and young people.
Web sources
Personal opinion
Recently, the first quarter real estate data released by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that
Despite the overall pressure on the market, there are already signs of a slight recovery in house prices.
In the face of this phenomenon, we can't help but ask, whether this is really a signal of market recovery,
Or is it just a temporary phenomenon of the market correction?
The slight recovery in house prices may reflect market expectations for a future economic recovery.
After a long period of adjustment, whether it is an investor or an ordinary home buyer,
are likely to gradually regain confidence during the market bottoming out and begin to enter the market, driving the recovery of house prices.
In addition, as the impact of the epidemic recedes and economic activity resumes,
The increased purchasing power of consumers may also be an important factor driving the recovery in house prices.
Web sources
We must also note that a small recovery in house prices does not mean that the market has fully recovered.
The recovery of the real estate market is a complex process that is influenced by a variety of factors.
Including economic policy, market supply and demand, financial environment, etc.
At present, although house prices have recovered, the decline in new construction starts and sales area indicates that the market activity has not yet fully recovered
Complex. This shows that there are still many uncertainties in the market, and the future trend is still full of uncertainty.
The rebound in housing prices has also brought new challenges to policymaking.
If house prices recover too quickly, it could increase the burden on young people and first-time buyers.
Impacts on equity and accessibility to housing. While promoting the healthy development of the real estate market, the government
It is necessary to balance the relationship between stabilizing housing prices and ensuring people's livelihood, and avoid overheating or overcooling in the market.
Web sources
The editor has something to say
While the slight recovery in house prices has brought a ray of light to the market, we still need to remain cautious and keep an eye on the long-term trend of the market.
Market participants and policymakers should closely monitor market changes, reasonably predict future trends, and formulate corresponding countermeasures
Outline. Only in this way can we ensure the healthy and stable development of the real estate market and achieve a win-win situation between the economy and people's livelihood.
Web sources
Although the market is still in a period of correction, the slight increase in house prices provides a silver lining,
This suggests that the market may be gradually coming out of the trough.
The future direction of the market will depend on a variety of factors, including policy support, economic environment and consumer confidence.
Both the public and policymakers need to continue to monitor developments in this area in order to respond appropriately.
#评论区 ##网友##房价##你支持房价上涨还是下降##专家#
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