This year can be said to be a breakthrough year for China's diplomacy. The reason why I say this is because several recent events have proved that China and the United States are "different in offensive and defensive situations." China's role in international affairs is obviously becoming more and more important, and more and more countries have begun to come to China for help, and a large part of them are US allies.
The first to bear the brunt is naturally German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who is still in Beijing. In the past year or two, the leaders of France and Germany have basically been stolen from the limelight by European Commission President von der Leyen, a proxy supported by the United States in Europe, but recently the wind direction of Europe's exchanges with China has changed.
Unlike the previous diplomatic tradition in which the United States and the West had to make empty cards before each visit to China to increase their bargaining chips, Scholz this time is a rare European head of state who came to China with a "gift".
Scholz
On the first day of his arrival in China, before he met with the Chinese high-level officials, the German media released rumors, saying that German car companies would take a clear stand against the EU's launch of a countervailing investigation on Chinese trams. On the second leg of his visit to China, Scholz expressed his support for the opening of the European auto market to Chinese cars.
This is equivalent to giving China a reassurance in advance. First, the EU is a consensus decision, and as long as Germany does not nod its head, the anti-subsidy investigation against China hyped by von der Leyen and others will most likely be delayed or even completely bankrupt. Second, at a time when anti-China is being hyped up by the West as politically correct, Germany has broken with convention and demonstrated its sincerity in seeking Sino-German cooperation.
During Scholz's visit to China, German companies have sharpened their heads to fight for the position of the delegation, and their enthusiasm has even returned to the golden age of Sino-German cooperation in the Merkel era. This shows that Europe has begun to consciously calibrate and correct the China policy that has been interrupted and biased by the United States and its proxies, which is a very positive signal.
Sino-German
As long as Europe does not run wild on the wrong path of resisting China, it will already make a heavyweight contribution to the cause of global anti-hegemony and multipolarization. More importantly, Scholz's visit to China is just the beginning. In the next month or two, the leaders of two other major powers, Russia and France, are ready to engage diplomatically with China.
Moreover, both of these news have not yet been officially announced by China, and the mainstream media in Russia and France have been released first. Obviously, all forces are very active in trying to win China's support and grab a "head incense". In addition to Russia and Europe, Australia and Canada, two members of the "Five Eyes" alliance, have recently frequently signaled that they want to repair relations with China.
Australia did one thing a while ago, and that was to stop the attempt of the United States and Britain to pull Japan into AUKUS. In addition to not wanting Japan to get a piece of the pie and squeeze its own ecological niche in AUKUS, a large part of the reason for Australia's decision is that it wants to have good relations with China.
Five Eyes Alliance
On April 16, the latest Australia-China Business Symposium was unveiled in Sydney, attended by more than 200 representatives of business groups. On the first day of the event, four Australian companies signed a letter of intent to participate in this year's China International Import Expo, and the Australia-China Business Council branch in New South Wales also signed a memorandum of understanding with the trade promotion associations in Guizhou and Yunnan.
With Australia as a positive example, Canada can't sit still. Agence France-Presse broke the news that Ottawa is in contact with China, and Canada's deputy foreign minister will visit China to seek a "thaw" in Sino-Canadian relations. Japan and the United States are also seeking to urgently repair relations with China after performing "father-kindness-son-filial piety."
On April 16, Japan released a new version of its diplomatic strategy document, which once again emphasized the "strategic mutually beneficial relationship" between China and Japan after five years. In addition, Japan is actively preparing for the China-Japan-ROK summit. Compared with the "full of friends" on the Chinese side, the life on the American side is very difficult. Because the 60 billion U.S. aid to Ukraine has been delayed, US-EU relations are sliding to the lowest point since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Kishida
Europe is very dissatisfied with the United States' escape from the army, and has begun to seek China as an "intermediary" to rebuild the channel of dialogue with Russia. In mid-June this year, Switzerland plans to hold a "peace summit" to discuss the Russia-Ukraine issue, and has already handed out an invitation letter to China, and is eagerly waiting for China's response.
Previously, in order to deal with the possibility of Europe and China getting closer and closer, the Biden team came up with a way, that is, to put a big hat on China as "aid to Russia", trying to mold China from an outsider to an enemy of the European Union. This routine is still used in the United States. On the day Scholz arrived in China, Britain and the United States launched a public opinion machine, accusing China of exporting so-called "dual-use" technology and machinery to Russia in violation of regulations, helping Russia "rebuild its armaments", and trying to interrupt the momentum of the recovery of Sino-European relations.
But the problem is that in the face of uncertainty about whether Biden will win the November election, if Europe wants to continue to listen to the demagogy of the United States, a few pieces of news are not enough. There are two reasons why European countries were willing to follow the United States in dealing with China in the past: one is that the United States is strong enough to become the ultimate winner of the Sino-US game, and the other is that the United States and Europe both belong to the Western camp, and if the United States wins the game, it will be able to drink soup and maximize its national interests.
G7 Summit
But now the United States is unable to meet either of these two conditions. In terms of strength, in the Russian-Ukrainian and Palestinian-Israeli battlefields, the United States has not been able to achieve real results. Previously, Biden claimed to escort ships in the Red Sea, but as a result, there was nothing he could do about the Houthis in Yemen, and US and Western ships still did not dare to take the Red Sea route.
The 60 billion aid to Ukraine has been hyped since the end of last year, and it has been delayed until now that it is still stuck in the US Congress. It's almost summer, and Russia is clearly preparing to launch a major offensive, and if the money hasn't reached Zelensky's account by May, then maybe the United States won't be able to find Zelensky after that.
When it comes to U.S. support for its allies, it's even more precarious. Trump continues to lead Biden in the polls, and although the lead is very narrow, given that Trump's approval rating in the polls has been low in the past few elections, Biden's actual chances of winning will only be smaller. And even if Biden wins, the United States will not have the advantage of letting its allies "drink soup".
China and the United States
The US core CPI has exceeded expectations for four consecutive months, and the Fed has sharpened its knives to the yen, and after shorting Japan, it will be Europe's turn next. Moreover, the United States is not in a position to accuse its "allies" of eye-browning with China, because it is also actively building relations with China.
As soon as Yellen concluded her visit to China, the United States sent senior State Department officials to Beijing again, hoping to pave the way for Blinken's visit to China. In the final analysis, iron also needs to be hard. International politics is very realistic, and the reason why some people listen to what the United States is saying is that the United States is strong enough and it is beneficial to listen to it.
Times have changed, and the United States frequently makes jokes militarily, politically, and economically, and still expects to rely on chanting scriptures to make its allies "stick upside down", or simply drop pie in the sky, which is pure pipe dreaming. Idealism is unacceptable, and the United States is welcome to the era of materialism.
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