The picture shows Israel being attacked
In this issue, Iran says the attack on Israel can be considered over, and Israel says it will respond "like never before."
Iran has finally taken a shot at Israel, with hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles coming straight at Israel. Since the Iranian embassy in Syria was hit by an Israeli airstrike on April 1, all sides have been paying attention to this incident that may lead to the Israeli-Iraq war.
The Israeli side is also on high alert for this, not only began to call up reservists, but also temporarily closed 28 embassies abroad around the world in preparation for attack. The whole of the Middle East seems to be clouded over the eve of the "Sixth Middle East War". On April 14, the last boot finally hit the ground, and Iran launched an attack on Israeli targets.
In the early morning of the 14th, violent explosions occurred in several cities, including Jerusalem, and air defense sirens echoed over the cities. Subsequently, Iranian officials said they had launched suicide drone attacks on certain targets in Israel, along with weapons such as ballistic missiles. The Israeli side said that its air defense system had blocked hundreds of Iranian drones from its airspace.
The picture shows an Iranian suicide drone
The simultaneous use of hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles shows that Iran is not talking big, and they are really retaliating against Israel. Surprisingly, however, Iran's retaliation against Israel can be considered "over" after the attack after it made it clear that the goal of the attack was to exercise the inherent right of self-defence granted to sovereign States under the Charter of the United Nations.
Of course, there is another sentence behind this, that is, if Israel makes another "mistake", Iran's response will be even harsher. In the eyes of ordinary people, this is the thunder and rain, as if the fire has been ignited, but it is suddenly extinguished. So what's the reason behind this?
In fact, from the purpose of Israel's attack on the Iranian embassy and the current situation in the Middle East, we should also understand why the attack came and went so quickly. On the one hand, when the Israeli side first attacked the Iranian embassy, it was likely to have the idea of pulling Iran into the water. Then escalate the situation and destabilize the situation in the Middle East, so that the Israeli army has a pretext to continue fighting, and then occupy more Palestinian land.
Even before the attack on the Iranian embassy, the UN Security Council had already adopted a ceasefire resolution on the holy day of Ramadan. This resolution clearly disrupted Israel's ground operations and was inconsistent with Israel's initial strategic goals. Therefore, Netanyahu may need a reason to sidestep the resolution again. It is a good way to get more countries into the water and directly participate in the conflict, thereby prolonging the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.
Pictured are U.S. soldiers
As for why Iran, there are many reasons, one of which is that Iran is the "enemy" set up by the United States in the Middle East, and if Iran launches a war against itself, the United States will not sit idly by, and with Iran's military strength, once it launches a real war against Israel, then the entire Middle East may be plunged into war. At that time, the "sixth Middle East war" may cover up all the issues involved in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, and the Israeli side will be able to take the opportunity to seek more benefits.
Perhaps seeing this, Iran made it clear after the attack that it was merely "exercising its right of self-defense" to retaliate against Israel, rather than igniting a new war. If the United States and Israel prepare to launch an attack on Iran, they will not only lose the support of the international community, but will also be charged with expanding the conflict and triggering an even greater war. You must know that the contradiction between Israel and Palestine was originally caused by Israel.
On the other hand, the current situation in the Middle East is chaotic, but people's attention is mainly focused on the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the situation in the Red Sea. The forces standing in front of the stage are also the Israeli army, Hamas, Houthis and other forces, as well as some armed forces of the United States and Britain and other countries in the Mediterranean Sea and the Red Sea. And once the conflict escalates, the United States and Britain and other countries standing behind Israel may directly end the war and deploy larger troops, which may not only target Hamas and Houthis, but Iran. However, with Iran's current strength, it is no match for these countries. Therefore, retaliation is possible, and the continued escalation of the conflict is not something Iran wants to see.
The picture shows the Israeli cabinet meeting
Iran, for its part, says that "the attack can be considered over," but Israel does not seem to be willing to suffer the consequences. Israel said one person was injured in the attack, and a senior Israeli official said he had promised an "unprecedented response" to the Iranian attack, which would come soon.
Also in the early morning of the 14th, Israel has authorized a three-member wartime cabinet consisting of the prime minister, the defense minister, and the opposition leader to make decisions on how to respond to Iran's actions. Such a mandate would mean that the security cabinet would put the war power directly in the hands of Netanyahu and the other three, and that the Israeli side would be able to give instructions on the matter more quickly, without the need for the security cabinet to discuss it.
At this point, it seems that Israel does not intend to give up, and as for how Israel will retaliate next, the following two possibilities cannot be ruled out. First, it crosses the border to strike at important targets such as Tehran, the capital of Iran, and other Iranian embassies in the Middle East, while at the same time sending more special services to infiltrate Iranian territory to carry out sabotage activities. There is nothing surprising about the former, after all, Iran has already attacked Jerusalem and other cities, and with Israel's existing air force and long-range strike firepower, it is not difficult to achieve a deep strike.
The picture shows U.S. President Joe Biden holding a meeting
What's more, there is a behemoth like the United States standing behind it, you must know that after the attack on the Iranian embassy, the United States has repeatedly released signals of protection for Israel. After the attack, the U.S. and Israeli defense ministers spoke by phone, and the U.S. side reaffirmed its firm support for Israel's defense against Iran's attack. And U.S. President Joe Biden also convened G7 leaders to coordinate a joint diplomatic response to the Iranian attack after the attack. In other words, even if Israel really wants to attack Tehran or any other city next, the United States can fully provide intelligence and weapons support.
The latter is not difficult for Israel, you must know that Israel's intelligence organizations and special forces are well-known all over the world, and once these well-trained agents sneak into Iran, it will pose a huge threat to both the Iranian top and the entire Iranian social order.
The picture shows Israeli soldiers
The second is to launch a direct ground military operation against Iran, especially to bring the United States in. Of course, this is not very likely. Not to mention that there is still an Iraq between Israel and Iran, and the Israeli army has not achieved a decisive victory in the Palestinian area at this time, it is estimated that it will be difficult to draw military forces to cross Iraq, and Iraq is unlikely to agree.
The reason why we say that this is possible is that we must take into account the US factor, and we must also see that Iran has already said that "the attack is over," which means that how the next situation develops will depend entirely on how the Israeli side retaliates, how strong and intense it is, and how much Iran endures.
If both sides cross the line of attacking each other, then a direct war between Israel and Iran will be warranted, and the United States may also use it to launch military action against Iran. The Israeli army's ground military operation against Iran is a long-term evolutionary consequence of events that is unlikely, but not impossible.
In summary, Iran's retaliatory actions against Israel are intended to show the international community that its national sovereignty and dignity are inviolable, but it has no intention of triggering a new conflict. Israel's reply, and the subsequent retaliation, can almost be seen as another escalation of a new round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the last time involving the Houthis, and this time it is likely to involve Iran directly. As for how the situation will develop in the future, it will depend on how Iran and Israel, as well as the United States and Britain and other countries operate.
In the process of globalization, no one can live alone in the world, and many things are affected by one thing. It is foreseeable that once the situation in the Middle East gets out of control, the entire Indian Ocean and the Atlantic Ocean may be difficult to tranquillity. Therefore, for the sake of a more lasting peace, we always hope that the parties will be able to resolve the conflict through dialogue, rather than resorting to force.