#MCN Initial Incentive Program#
Fourteen days after the embassy was bombed by Israel, Iran launched a full-scale retaliation against Israel. According to Israeli military spokesman Hagari, in the early morning of the 14th local time, Iran launched 200 missiles and drones against Israel to carry out large-scale bombing of the Israeli mainland, but the Israeli army intercepted most of them. According to ABC news in the United States, the attack involved 400 to 500 drones and about 150 missiles, so the scale of Iran's retaliation against Israel is likely to be much larger than the Israeli army said. #伊朗称袭以色列行动比预期更成功#
(In the early morning of the 14th, the air defense siren sounded throughout Israel)
On April 1, local time, Israel dispatched F-35 stealth fighters to carry out a "surgical" precision strike on the Iranian Embassy in Syria, and six missiles accurately hit the auxiliary building of the Iranian Embassy, completely destroying the entire auxiliary building, and many people, including Zahedi, the supreme commander of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Syria, and his assistants were killed. After 14 days of silence, Iran has finally launched its war machine, with the whole country furious and the Iranian government and military vowing to retaliate against Israel.
(Israeli airstrike on Iranian embassy in Syria)
The Iranian air strikes on Israel itself are essentially revenge for Israel's bombing of its own embassy, and we will not talk about the historical grievances between Israel and the Arabs. First of all, we need to think about why Israel attacked the Iranian embassy? Everyone knows that attacking someone else's embassy is an attack on the homeland, an act of declaration of war. Why did Israel do this? This is obviously not an impulse, nor is it simply a punishment for Iran's support for the arc of resistance.
(Israel's far-right currently controls the government, and compared to them, Netanyahu is a "moderate")
Israel is now ruling on the far right, Netanyahu is not particularly extreme, the Ministry of Defense and the intelligence system are even more extreme, these people are not afraid of war and bloodshed. And there is a consensus that Israeli society is hostile to Iran as the greatest threat, and this is particularly evident in public opinion. Ever since Iran started its nuclear program, Israel has been thinking about sabotage, even at the cost of launching a real one. Several of these were covertly suppressed by the United States. In the past, when Saddam Hussein was there, Israel even wanted to assassinate Saddam, and in the end, with good luck, it ran into the Gulf War. Israel's strategy has always been "preemptive strike" and "strategic deterrence". However, in this Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Israel failed to defeat Hamas, which is a humiliation to Israel, a great strategic failure, and has become the enemy of the international community.
(For many years, Israel has pursued a "strategy of deterrence", which is fundamental to Israel's survival)
In such a situation, it is a risky but good option for Israel to maintain its strategic deterrence against hostile forces around it, and at the same time to protect Netanyahu himself, and to strike at its biggest enemy, Iran. Israel's courage and self-confidence to take risks mainly come from the unconditional support of the Americans. Israel is a crazy country, especially now controlled by extreme right-wing forces, and it is not afraid of war, and even war has become a means to achieve its goals.
(Although Iran's missile weapons are not advanced, they are sufficient in quantity)
Although relations between Iran and Israel broke down completely after the Islamic Revolution in 1979, the two sides for many years were largely limited to verbal wars, and did not really fight face to face, and even if there was friction, Iran fought Israel indirectly by supporting groups such as Allah in Lebanon, Hamas and the Houthis. However, after Israel openly attacked the Iranian embassy in Syria, Iran will not retaliate for the sake of face, which will inevitably expand the conflict in the Middle East.
(When Israel's "deterrence strategy" fails, the nation of Israel will be drowned in the wrath of the Arab nation.)
But for the Israeli far-right regime, Iran's air strikes on Israel itself are a different matter, because Israel itself is bombed, which means that Israel's deterrence against neighboring Arab countries that it has built up for many years has been completely shattered, so it will definitely fight back, which is the result it wants. It has no choice in the face of Iran's attack, and the Jews are not at a loss. But all countries are well aware that once Israel launches a full-scale attack on Iran, it will not only be a Palestinian-Israeli conflict, but will likely trigger a large-scale war in the Middle East in the true sense. Although Iran's military strength is inferior to that of the United States, judging from the situation of the current Gaza conflict, the combat effectiveness of the Israeli army is not as strong as it boasted in the past.
(The United States is the only country that can bind Israel)
In the current situation, we can only see how the Israelis respond, if the Jewish extremist forces must expand the war, then the entire Middle East will be plunged into war, and at that time, the saddest thing is probably the United States, after all, one Ukraine is enough to make the United States nerve-wracking, if there is one more Israel, even if the United States still has the national strength of the Cold War period, it will also be dragged down. However, the United States is now the only country that can restrain Israel, and it will be interesting to see if the United States is willing to restrain Israel.