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Football transfer trend analysis: Kane goes against the trend in the Bundesliga, and Serie A may face a big loss of talent this summer

author:La Liga duo turns

Transfer trends: Harry Kane's move to the Bundesliga is just the exception

Striker Kane's departure from England for Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga in the summer of 2023 was just a flash in the pan. The transfer trend will be different in the future, with many big clubs taking the initiative to "jump on the bandwagon".

Football transfer trend analysis: Kane goes against the trend in the Bundesliga, and Serie A may face a big loss of talent this summer

1 English teams are both buying and fearing PSR

This season, the English Premier League has spent almost €3 billion on the transfer market. But with two clubs, Everton and Nottingham Forest, having points deducted for breaches of the PSR (Sustainability and Profitability Rules), it is likely that the purchasing power of English teams in the upcoming summer transfer window will decline. An agent representative of the English Premier League has just had to sigh: "Everyone is afraid of the PSR!" PSR is a law made by the English Premier League organisers under UEFA's Financial Fair Play (FFP). It is a law designed to prevent clubs from overspending leading to debt and future crises.

2 No player will "emigrate" from England to Germany

Harry Kane left Tottenham Hotspur to join the Bundesliga last summer for a whopping €100 million transfer fee, and he currently leads the German league's 'scorers' charts. But that doesn't mean there will be an influx of players from England into Germany in the upcoming summer transfer window. According to a well-known German agent, with the exception of Bayern Munich, the overall level of the Bundesliga is far from that of the four major European leagues, especially the English Premier League. In addition, German teams are generally not paid as much as English teams.

3 Will there be a mass exodus from Serie A?

Will Osimhen 'escape' Serie A in the summer of 2024?

Football transfer trend analysis: Kane goes against the trend in the Bundesliga, and Serie A may face a big loss of talent this summer

The Growth Decree is a fiscal measure that allows Serie A clubs to save around 50% of their taxes on the actual earnings of foreign players. However, all of these will be repealed after December 31, 2023. The move caught Serie A clubs off guard, as their wage fund will increase significantly. The attractiveness of Serie A in the future will also suffer as a result, as clubs will not be able to pay the salaries of top players and coaches. Serie A will face a massive exodus of stars, such as Victor Osimhen, who will leave Napoli in the summer of 2024.

4 Will Brazil import players?

Brazil's 2021 revised law allows clubs in the South American country to seek sources of investment from abroad. As a result, many large groups have been and are pouring into this "fertile soil". For example, City Football Group acquired Bahia FC, while Eagle Eye Football Holdings (EFH) acquired Botafogo FC. After the "capital injection", the Brazilian team has more purchasing power and the players are paid more. Brazil has always been regarded as an exporter of football. But from now on, there may be a phenomenon of numerous players from different continents moving to play in the Brazilian league.

5 Asian players are on the rise

The level of education in Japanese football is increasing day by day, and the level of the J-League is also improving. The successes of Kaoru Mikasa (Brighton), Endo (Liverpool) and Kenhiro Tomiyasu (Arsenal) have further enhanced the reputation of Japanese football. According to statistics, there are currently about 20 Japanese stars playing in Europe's top five leagues. Similarly, the level of Korean football is close to that of Europe. At least five South Korean stars have shone on the continent, such as captain Son Heung-min (Tottenham Hotspur) and centre-back Kim Min-jae (Bayern Munich).

6 Turkey becomes a "production factory" for players?

Football transfer trend analysis: Kane goes against the trend in the Bundesliga, and Serie A may face a big loss of talent this summer

Güller's successful move to Real Madrid has provided advice to the Turkish player export industry

It's not uncommon for out-of-fashion superstars to join big Turkish clubs. That trend continued last season, with Dzeko (joining Fenerbahce) and Mauro Icardi (Galatasaray) being examples. According to "Super Agent" Utku Chenikli, there will be significant changes in the club in Turkey. Instead of buying stars who are "past their prime", they plan to recruit young players with potential, develop them and sell them for a high price. Fenerbahce's successful sale of Alda Güller to Real Madrid last summer has provided advice on the Turkish side's determination to pursue a new direction.

7. Vigorously explore the Nordic market

The success of Erling Haaland (Manchester City) and Rasmus Hojlund (Manchester United) has led many famous European clubs to pay close attention to the Nordic market. Lately, there has been a lot of talk about manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer. He once declared: "A few years ago, I suggested that Manchester United buy Haaland. But at the time, the club's leadership was not interested in Nordic players. It's a shame. "The headhunter departments of Europe's top five leagues have recently been rummaging through Northern Europe in search of potential players. Recently, Malmo sold midfielder Hugo Larsson to Eintracht Frankfurt FC for €9 million.

8 Ligue 1 transfers wise

Roland Itois, an international senior scout at FC Lorient, shared: "Our priority is to find players with potential, give them a chance, wait for them to mature and then sell them for a high price. "Like many other clubs in Ligue 1, Lorient has strong ties with African clubs. At the moment, the team sees striker Bamba as a treasure. The Ivory Coast striker is Lorient's first hope for relegation. If Lorient decides to sell the 22-year-old, he will generate a significant amount of income for the team that currently sits 16th in Ligue 1.

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