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Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

author:Let go of that history

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Taiwan has been a part of the mainland's territory since ancient times, and it is an indisputable fact that Taiwan belongs to the mainland in any respect. Therefore, we resolutely oppose any form of separatist and independent acts, which not only run counter to historical facts, but also run counter to international laws and regulations.

Since 1979, it has been more than 40 years since the two sides of the Taiwan Strait went from tense confrontation to gradual relaxation. Although there is a little friction in the process, the deep ties and cultural continuity between Taiwan and the mainland make us firmly believe that this détente can be sustained, and the feelings of the mainland and the Taiwanese people will not be severed.

Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?
Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

The occurrence and subsidence of the crisis in the Taiwan Strait

Since the founding of the People's Republic of China, the United States has always obstructed the mainland in resolving the Taiwan issue, and in the face of repeated provocations by the United States, we have exercised great restraint. The mainland has experienced four major crises in the Taiwan Strait in its history, and the United States has participated in each of these four Taiwan Strait crises. It can be said that the United States is the greatest external obstacle to the motherland's accomplishment of the great cause of reunification.

Towards the end of the War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea, Chiang Kai-shek fell into a deep uneasy mood, fearing that the mainland might liberate Taiwan with the might of victory. After all, the United States and a number of countries formed the "United Nations Force" but failed to defeat New China, and Taiwan's strength is not a piece of cake in the eyes of New China.

Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

In view of this, Chiang Kai-shek began to have in-depth exchanges with the American authorities, but the United States suffered a huge defeat in Korea and did not want to easily start another war with New China. At this time, Chiang Kai-shek, who only wanted to protect himself, put forward new conditions, especially some core rights, and the interests that he had never let go of before were now willing to cede some of them to the United States.

The most important point is that if the United States is willing to sign a "security treaty," the Taiwan authorities will seek the United States' opinion in advance on all military actions. The United States was so interested in this right that the two sides began to engage closely to exchange specific provisions.

Soon the mainland learned of Chiang Kai-shek's small move, and our side decided to shell Kinmen to deal a head-on blow to the Kuomintang reactionaries. However, at this time, Chiang Kai-shek still stubbornly signed a "security treaty" with the United States, and in order to make Chiang Kai-shek understand the situation, the PLA then launched a campaign to recover Yijiangshan Island.

Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

In the campaign, our army only fought the "Taiwan army" and did not fight the US army, and the United States did not want to fight for Chiang Kai-shek at all. In the end, after blowing up all the buildings and facilities on the island, the "Taiwan military" evacuated the area on a US warship.

After the first crisis in the Taiwan Strait subsided, the United States' ambitions for Taiwan became more and more inflated, and it repeatedly pointed out in the international community that the Taiwan Strait issue is an international conflict, distorting China's internal affairs into an international conflict, and this kind of move to split China is unacceptable to any Chinese. Seeing that Chiang Kai-shek refused to give in, the United States decided to continue to put pressure on Chiang Kai-shek.

In the face of US coercion, Chiang Kai-shek wanted to resist but was powerless. At this time, our side was also keenly aware of this, and in order to prevent the United States from forcing Chiang Kai-shek to abandon Kinmen and Matsu, and at the same time to prevent the Taiwan authorities from completely becoming a puppet on an isolated island, our army launched a second shelling of Kinmen.

Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

Chiang Kai-shek was overjoyed when he learned the news of our army's shelling of Kinmen, and immediately told the United States that the war with the mainland was still going on, and Kinmen Matsu could not give up. The United States was helpless because they did not want to really participate in the war, so they had to agree to Chiang Kai-shek's demand to maintain the status quo.

After the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States, the mainland also stopped shelling, and the second Taiwan Strait crisis completely subsided. With the coming to power of "Taiwan independence element" Lee Teng-hui, he visited the United States in the 90s and vigorously propagated the "two-state theory," which triggered the third crisis in the Taiwan Strait.

The impact of the crisis was enormous, the People's Liberation Army launched multiple rounds of missile firing, the Chinese and US navies began a confrontation, and then the United States discovered that China's submarine forces had disappeared in the port, and the US aircraft carrier group, which had a premonition that something was wrong, quickly withdrew from Chinese waters.

Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

Since then, the two sides of the strait have maintained stability for a long time, until Tsai Ing-wen spent a lot of money to attract Pelosi to visit Taiwan and "stand on the platform" of the Democratic Progressive Party. To this end, the mainland has taken effective measures to launch live-fire exercises, forming a situation of encirclement of Taiwan in six exercise areas, and at the same time the PLA has held joint military operations in order to let the "Taiwan independence elements" see the situation clearly.

Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

The Taiwan Strait is a war and peace

It can be seen that the Americans have been making trouble in these Taiwan Strait crises, but no matter how the situation changes, we have always adhered to the bottom line of "one China," and it is precisely with this bottom line that we have been able to calm down the Taiwan Strait crises again and again. The mainland has always maintained a peaceful and rational attitude and strived to exchange the minimum price for the greatest gain.

Peaceful reunification is naturally the best policy, but if the "Taiwan independence elements" and foreign hostile forces still insist on pursuing "Taiwan independence" and try to separate Taiwan from China, then reunification by force is inevitable.

Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

If reunification by force is used, the following situations may occur: a quick victory war (foreign forces do not interfere, the People's Liberation Army is overwhelmed, and most of the Taiwan military surrenders), a proxy war (the Taiwan authorities accept aid from the United States-led West and stubbornly resist like Zelensky), and a Sino-US showdown (the United States directly sends troops to interfere in China's reunification, and a large-scale conflict breaks out).

Among these situations, the greatest impact on the mainland is the direct military intervention of the United States, because the United States has many allies in the Asia-Pacific region, and these allies can provide the United States with a steady stream of logistical support, and even if the US military goes on an expedition, it can also enjoy all kinds of convenient conditions. At the same time, these allies will become part of the U.S. military force.

Moreover, once the United States participates, the scope of the conflict will not be limited to the Taiwan Strait, and even if our military reunifies Taiwan by force, the United States may not stop its actions. It is likely that the scope of the conflict will continue to expand, and even all of China's territorial waters will be threatened by the United States. For this, we also have to be prepared.

Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

Taiwan is an important strategic area for the mainland to enter the Pacific Ocean, and it is impossible for the United States to stop interfering in the Taiwan issue on the premise that the United States does not abandon the Cold War mentality. At the same time, Taiwan has been buying US weapons for a long time, and all of them are backward equipment, and it can earn dollars by clearing up its weapons stockpiles, which is a benefit for the United States to kill two birds with one stone.

Moreover, the United States, Japan, and other countries often play war games on the situation in the Taiwan Strait, and the result is often a disastrous victory for the United States. But obviously, they are slapping the swollen face and making them fat. Looking back at the strength of the US Navy and Air Force more than 70 years ago, the dispatch of only one Seventh Fleet could greatly hinder the process of our reunification. But now, even if they send a multi-aircraft carrier group, I'm afraid they won't be able to change the outcome.

Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

epilogue

China has always been committed to safeguarding national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and has also made preparations for various precautions, including strategies and measures to deal with various complex situations. Whatever difficulties it encounters, China will resolve them.

Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

We should not take the possible external interference forces lightly, and should adopt certain countermeasures to resolutely safeguard our own rights and interests. It is believed that even if a handful of "warmongers" in the United States and the West want to provoke a large-scale conflict, their own people will not allow them to act recklessly.

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Full analysis of the four crises in the Taiwan Strait: If China and the United States make a move in the Taiwan Strait, China will lose a lot?

Resources:

The Taiwan Question Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

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