【School Viewpoint】:
With the passage of time, we can see that the dollar index after two trading days, gradually out of a wave of pullbacks; for yesterday's trend, the highest price of 104.18, the lowest 103.93, the overall volatility of 25 points, the amplitude is not large and relatively modest, but from the hourly chart, we can see that the price trend is very cramped, the yang line and the yin line alternately, it is obviously a shock market, and the final price closed at 104.04, and the daily chart closed as a small black candle pattern.
For the U.S. dollar index into the shock of this situation, in fact, the school on Tuesday has issued a relevant view, but because of the approaching Spring Festival holiday, there are too many things in hand, so that it is impossible to calm down to write relevant commentary, plus there is nothing to write when the market is volatile, so the school only gave a video solution on the day, and did not write a commentary.
As for why the U.S. dollar index suddenly fell into shocks, in fact, the school has also made some explanations, the fundamental reason is that the factors that can stimulate the U.S. dollar index to continue to rise have come to an abrupt end, resulting in not enough energy to continue to promote the U.S. dollar index to rise, so the U.S. dollar index has become a stalemate, which has nothing to do with investor sentiment, and has nothing to do with market sentiment。
So how long will the US dollar index continue this shock? The university believes that the US dollar index will not be long (not as long as in late January), but it will not be too short (after all, next week is the Chinese New Year holiday), and the biggest possibility is to include next week, and then reopen the market next week... For such a trend, we need to be mentally prepared in advance, because from the current situation, the market will become an inevitable shock, and the next thing we need to do is how to deal with the market shocks in the future, how to do a good job in related transactions?
The school believes that after the market falls into shocks, the best way to trade is to overestimate and low slag, that is, try to sell short on the upper edge of the range, and the lower edge of the range is much lower, because only in this way of operation is the most suitable for the operation of the volatile market, and it is possible to seize the right opportunity to generate reasonable profits... Therefore, as long as the U.S. dollar index confirms that it has fallen into a volatile market, we can operate according to this idea, and as long as the market is as predicted by the school, then we can see the corresponding volatile market in the next 5-6 trading days.
The main purpose of the school today is to inform you that in the coming period of time (mainly this weekend and next week) the dollar index will be more likely to maintain a shock pattern, in this case, we try to overestimate the slag as the main tone, as long as you find the upper edge of the range and the lower edge of the range, then the transaction will become much simpler, I hope that every friend can earn their own profit in this wave of shocks, so that the transaction is more interesting, isn't it?
PS: The Spring Festival is approaching, and the school evaluation will be suspended during the festival, and it will resume as scheduled after the holiday, please continue to pay attention and support it. Finally, the school wishes everyone a happy Chinese New Year, family reunion, safe entry and exit, and all the best!
【Trading Strategy】:
EUR/USD:
To sum up, the latter step needs to pay attention to observe whether the U.S. dollar index is in shock, and confirm the upper and lower edges of the shock range;
AUD/USD:
Today's second operation currency pair, choose the Australian dollar trading, the operation idea is also based on short selling, combined with the market to give the following suggestions, light position:
Gold:
As the U.S. dollar index gradually falls into shocks, gold will also enter the shock pattern, so the operation can only find opportunities to overestimate and underestimate, so today's layout can only be cautious, the market gives the opportunity to do, not given the opportunity to wait and see, light position: