The national team's rescue process and bottom-buying rhythm, the wrongful killing of small tickets began to start

I didn't expect the small cap stocks to move today. It is a historical law that the growth of small caps in spring restlessness is dominant, as stated in February 23's "Short-term Adjustment Will Not Impact Spring Restlessness - Characteristics, Causes and Disillusionment of Spring Restlessness". However, yesterday I still suggested that the rally should not touch micro-cap stocks, because I don't know where the quantitative institutional risk has been cleared. Since there is no information at hand that can be used to make predictions, we do not make predictions, but only respond to them.

Today's micro-cap stocks opened lower in line with the trend, and then the national team and the corpse team entered the market. It can be seen by observing the trend of the CSI 2000 ETF. From February 2nd to February 7th, the volume was very small. This morning, it suddenly began to increase its volume, and the transaction volume reached 5.566 billion throughout the day. After the national team and the corpse collection team started, the bottom buying retail investors also began to follow up. At noon, after the announcement of the lifting of the restriction on selling futures orders in DMA selling business, the trading volume of Wind micro-cap stocks released a huge amount. In the end, the CSI 2000 ETF closed with a daily limit, with the Wind Micro Cap Index up 10.56% and the CSI 2000 Index up 8.75%.

"Corpse collection team" refers to a group of people in the stock market, patiently waiting for someone to blow up and lose nothing, and take away the precious assets of these losers at a very low price, such as in "Flowers".

Mr. Bao. The corpse collection team is also taking advantage of the trend, according to the K-line trend and the cumulative turnover rate to see whether it stops falling, you can enter the market, and generally pull up the stock price from the falling limit.

Let's summarize the process of the national team's rescue and the rhythm of buying the bottom in this round.

Since January 18th, the cumulative turnover of Wind All A has been about 11.7 trillion, and the national team has begun to enter the market on the 18th, and the scale of investment is expected to exceed 1 trillion.

On January 18, the trading volume of the SSE 50 ETF and the CSI 300 ETF was significantly enlarged, and the national team began to support the large-cap value index. At this time, the index has not stabilized, and it is not yet the time to buy the bottom.

Since January 22, northbound funds have continued to have a net inflow.

On February 2, the SSE 50 and CSI 300 hit lows, and the decline narrowed at the end of the session. On February 5, the Shanghai Composite Index fell below the bottom of the epidemic in 2020, and the Shanghai Composite 50 and CSI 300 were higher than the previous day's lows, and closed in the positive line, stabilizing the value of the broader market. Same

GEM

ETF, CSI 500 ETF

With the CSI 1000 ETF, the trading volume has been significantly enlarged, and the national team has begun to support the growth of the large market and the small and mid-cap index. When the index falls below the historical low, there will be support, and you can do a short-term dip to buy the value of the market, and there is a chance to escape the next day.

On February 6, Central Huijin seized the opportunity and issued an announcement to increase its holdings, sounding the rallying charge. CSI 500, CSI 1000, and ChiNext bottomed out to lead the rebound. The morning of the 6th is the best time to buy the bottom on the right side, and the short-term direction is the mid-cap growth stocks represented by the CSI 500. In terms of the overall rally period, the CSI 1000 is more ideal.

On February 7, the SSE 50 ETF and the CSI 300EFT increased their support, maintaining a slight increase in the value of the broader market. With the support of the market rebound funds, the support for the CSI 500 ETF, CSI 1000 ETF and ChiNext ETF has decreased. After the close, the CSRC changed its leadership to boost market confidence.

On February 8, Wind All A rebounded by 10% or

After the CSI 500 Index rebounded by 20%, the national team began to buy the CSI 2000 ETF on a large scale, supporting the small and micro market, and the pre-holiday bailout ended perfectly. At this time, the market value of the bottom-buying target can partially sink to the CSI 2000 and enter the market of wrongful killing.

Since January 29, the knock-in of snowball derivatives has induced a plunge in small and micro caps, and there has been a liquidity run on CSI 2000 and micro-cap stocks, which have fallen rapidly. From January 29, 2024 to February 7, 2024, in just 8 trading days, the CSI 2000 plummeted by 25%, and micro-cap stocks plummeted by 41%. However, after today's close, the CSI 2000 P/E ratio was 45.5, and the Wind Micro Cap P/E ratio was even more negative. The SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 500 and CSI 1000 have P/E ratios of 9.6, 11, 20.8 and 30.1, respectively. Although some individual stocks may match their growth and valuation, the valuation of small and micro caps is not cheap overall.

It is still advisable to steer clear of loss-making micro-cap stocks. For those investors who want to buy small and micro stocks, they can choose targets with performance support and reasonable valuations. For example, the valuation is about 20pe, and the cumulative decline since the beginning of this year is more than 50%, and the circulation is about 1 billion. However, it is necessary to strictly abide by trading discipline and withdraw in time if liquidity risks strike again.

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