Since the outbreak of this round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States has been quite embarrassed, with Israel, as an ally, repeatedly openly "slapping the United States in the face", and pro-Iranian forces in the Middle East have frequently attacked US troops in a high-profile manner.
Just when the public doubted that the United States was swept away, the wind suddenly changed.
According to a report by Xinhua News Agency on the 31st, Iraq's pro-Iranian armed "Allah Brigade" announced on the 30th that in order to avoid embarrassment to the Iraqi government, the armed forces will suspend attacks on US troops in the region.
It has been learned that the Iraqi government has already started a dialogue with the United States on the issue of the withdrawal of US troops, and one of the major expectations of the United States for agreeing to the withdrawal is that "the Iraqi militia will stop attacking US troops." As far as the United States is concerned, if it withdraws its troops in a state where Iraq's pro-Iranian forces continue to attack US troops, it seems that US troops have been driven out of Iraq by pro-Iranian forces, and the United States seems to be openly bowing to Iran.
Therefore, the reason for Allah's so-called "not wanting to embarrass the Iraqi Government" is quite persuasive. However, the rhetoric of "Allah's brigade" seems high-sounding, and it still makes people wonder whether "Allah's brigade" is intimidated by the United States.
A few days ago, the US military in Jordan was suddenly attacked by a drone, killing three US soldiers and injuring many other US soldiers. The United States announced that it would retaliate in response, and then pointed the finger at the "Allah Brigades," and the Pentagon believed that the attack on the US troops in Jordan had traces of the "Allah Brigades."
This makes people suspect that the United States is issuing a notice of attack on the "Allah Brigade". Although the United States immediately accused Iran, the United States has not wavered in its stance of "avoiding war with Iran." Since the United States cannot directly go to war with Iran, the United States has no choice but to attack the pro-Iranian armed forces in the Middle East.
Although the United States has shown extreme restraint in the Middle East, its military strength is undoubtedly far stronger than that of Iraq's "Allah Brigade," and it is completely reasonable for the "Allah Brigade" to be jealous of the US military's retaliation.
However, even if the Iraqi "Allah Brigade" shows weakness to the United States, it is afraid that it will not be able to avoid retaliation from the United States, and the United States must save face.
It is particularly noteworthy that the pro-Iranian forces in Iraq, which have shown signs of weakness, and the Houthis remain strong in the face of the United States.
According to a report by Xinhua News Agency on the 31st, a spokesman for the Houthis in Yemen announced on the same day that the Houthis launched missiles at US warships. The Houthis have been subjected to British and American air strikes, and it is clear that Britain and the United States have not yet "hurt" the Houthis, and the Houthis are still not afraid.
At the same time, Iran issued a strong warning to the United States. According to a report by Xinhua News Agency on the 31st, Iran's permanent representative to the United Nations warned on the 30th that Iran would resolutely counterattack any attack. Combined with the previous situation, Iran's warning should be mainly aimed at the United States.
From this point of view, the United States' deterrence is effective, but the United States' deterrence effect is quite limited, and whether the situation in the Middle East will further escalate depends on whether Biden will increase his weight in the Middle East next.