The Burmese military junta is the equivalent of the Manchu government, and in the eyes of all ethnic groups in Myanmar, it has become the biggest obstacle to the country's development and the people's good life.
Myanmar's problems are ultimately economic, and the outlying states, which have taken the lead in "opening their eyes to the world," are spontaneously rebelling against the rule of the junta.
Take a look at the gap in GDP per capita between Myanmar and surrounding countries.
Myanmar's per capita GDP is only 1,149 US dollars, lower than all neighboring countries and regions, China's Yunnan and Tibet 9,680 and 8,780 US dollars, Thailand 6,910 US dollars, Bangladesh and Laos 2,731 US dollars, 2,054 US dollars, and India's northeastern states of Assam, Nagaland, Manipur, and Mizoram have per capita GDP of 1,400, 1,922, 1,304, and 2,961 US dollars respectively.
In the past, Bangladesh, Laos, and India did not develop, China's Yunnan and Tibet did not help the poor, the eldest brother did not laugh at the second brother, and he could tolerate the military government.
You must know that the people in each state are related to the neighboring countries, visit relatives and friends during the New Year's holidays, and watch the living standards of others getting better and better, and their own children getting worse and worse, can you balance your heart?
Who is to blame?
Naturally, it is a military junta that pursues the doctrine of the Great Burmese.
In the past, the economy of the Burmese people who occupied the plains and coastal areas was more developed than that of the mountainous states, and at that time they could still swallow their anger, after all, many ordinary people had to go to Yangon and Mandalay to work, and now the young people of the states have gone abroad, and their wages are much higher than those in Lower Burma.
Even in Yangon, the largest city in Myanmar, a skilled worker is hired with a monthly salary of only 100,000 kyats, equivalent to 210 yuan.
The above are all big cities in Myanmar, and if it is a mountainous area, there are people who have a monthly salary of dozens of yuan.
There are many factories in Ruili that recruit Burmese female workers, and on payday, give them 500-600 yuan, and watch the video to look like they are grateful......
There is a blogger on Douyin named Wa State Yamei, who remembers saying in 2018 that there are Burmese people who came from Lower Myanmar to work in Nam Deng of Wa State, and their wages in Wa State are at least twice that of Mandalay.
The contempt and superiority of Lao Myanmar in his words are about to overflow the screen.
In 2018, Wa State has not embarked on the road of electric fraud in the future, and Myanmar's economy has not collapsed, and the wages of Wa State are twice that of the capital of Myanmar.
According to a bold estimate, the labor cost in Wa State should be 4-5 times that of Myanmar-controlled areas.
The Kokang Alliance has been victorious, what is the probability of their future funding?
It's okay for you Burmese to occupy the chicken coop and not lay eggs, but don't get in the way of us trying to live a good life.
Therefore, the independence forces in the Burmese states have a mass base, and they are fighting with the Burmese military junta in order to gain more autonomy, to live in partnership with their neighbors, and to develop the economy.
As for the Burmese people who occupy the gold mountain in Lower Burma,
Attitude is this attitude, in the final analysis it is an economic problem, you Burmese can't lead everyone to get rich, everyone can only find a way out on their own, so it is logical to defeat the junta and win economic autonomy.
Therefore, the Burmese military junta and the independence armed forces of various states will never dare to offend China.
If the military junta has a good relationship with China, there is still some hope for the economy, if even China is offended, not to mention the peripheral states, even the Burmese will rebel against the military government;
As for the independent armed forces of various states, after they win economic autonomy, they will still have to seek investment from China, so they naturally want to have good relations with China.
After understanding the background, let's take a look at the "Kyaukphyu Deep-water Port Supplemental Agreement" signed by China and Myanmar, which specifies China's land use rights and port concession rights for Kyaukphyu Port for a period of 99 years.
Seven provinces and seven states in Myanmar
On the one hand, the Burmese junta wants to prove China's support to the surrounding rebels with its actions.
On the other hand, Rakhine State is also happy to see this happen, after the states won economic autonomy, the most profitable are the Shan State and Kachin State bordering China, and Rakhine State only borders Bangladesh, and now through the Kyaukphyu Port project, Rakhine State has connected with China, and China's investment is of course more fragrant than Bangladesh's investment.
China, the Myanmar military junta, and Rakhine State, one fish and three foods, and the China-Myanmar Kyaukphyu port project is a win-win situation.
At present, the military junta in Myanmar has reached the point where it has no choice but to deregulate and develop the economy, and not only the ethnic minorities are dissatisfied with the economic problems, but also the anger of the Burmese people is brewing.
Fortunately, there is China, the Belt and Road Initiative, Chinese investment has given everyone at least a hope, and the Burmese people, the states, and the military government can still maintain a generally peaceful situation, so China's mediation parties listened, and a ceasefire agreement was reached in Kunming on January 12.
In the next 2024, it is estimated that the fighting will stop, and the focus of all parties in Myanmar will turn to economic development.