Hello everyone, I'm Ah Lan. The previous article wrote the 2024 All-Star Game Eastern Conference bench roster predictions, and this article continues to write the Western Conference bench list. Without further ado, let's start directly, the old rules are still discussed in this article from the results played by players this year, which are divided into three categories: front and back, front court, high and low probability.
Backfield
High probability
德文·布克（Booker）
得分28.2篮板4.9助攻7.4
Booker has been one of the league's leading shooting guards in the past few seasons, known for his top-notch singles skills and accurate mid-range, and this year is no exception, shooting 50 percent from 8 to 16 feet this season, and is more efficient than 90 percent of players in the league when he is a pick-and-roll handler, and his offensive efficiency of 121.4 is among the best in the league.
In addition, after the departure of his original backcourt partner Chris Paul before the season, Booker began to take on the team's full-time ball control, and his performance was unambiguous, averaging 7.4 assists per game not only setting a career high, but also the number of turnovers has not increased significantly compared to the past few seasons, and Booker's average of 13.3 potential assists per game can also rank in the top 10 in the league.
Booker is not only a top scorer, he is also a top star who can dominate the game from the nine games he missed, and the importance of his team can be seen from the fact that the Suns have only won 6 in the nine games he missed, and it is definitely not an exaggeration to be selected for the All-Star Game with his amazing performance in the past month.
安东尼·爱德华兹（Edwards）
Scored: 25.7 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 5.1 steals, and 1.2 steals
After being named to the All-Star Game for the first time last season, Edwards has continued to improve this season, showing his excellent learning ability, reaching a career-high usage rate after mastering more of the ball, and Edwards has improved his shooting in all three areas compared to last season, making more free throws than in the past, shooting 63% from the outside box, and improving defensively, averaging a career-high 5.1 assists per game, while also improving his assist-to-turnover ratio.
In addition to the offensive end, Edwards is also very good defensively, is an excellent opponent defender, and he has also led the Timberwolves to the first place in the West for a long time.
probability
斯蒂芬·库里（Curry）
得分26.5篮板4.2助攻4.9
Curry, who has been selected as a starter every year in the past ten years except for injuries, but this year was squeezed out of the starting position by emerging guard Alexander, although he is getting older, his overall offensive efficiency is still maintained at a very good level, especially on the shooting end, the average of 4.6 three-pointers per game is not only the most in the league, but also the shooting rate is more than 40%, in addition, on the off-ball end, the efficiency of shooting after receiving is the highest among players who average more than 2 shots per game, and the three-point Catch &Shoot shooting rate is also 45% high water level.
The drop in points per game this season may be attributed to a drop in shooting percentage in the paint, but for Curry personally, he still outperforms 98 percent of the league's players in offensive efficiency on the advanced stats site EPM. It's just that the Warriors have encountered a lot of problems on and off the court this season, and their record is not ideal, which is an unstable factor for the coach in voting.
Daron Fox
Scored: 27.5 rebounds, 4.1 assists, 5.6 steals, 1.6 steals
After partnering with Sabonis last season to improve the overall offensive efficiency, this season's Fox continues to be an important source of scoring firepower for the Kings, and the most different thing from last season is that this season's Fox has greatly improved his three-point shooting accuracy, and he can shoot an average of 3.2 three-pointers per game with a 39.1% shooting rate in the past.
The improvement of three-point shooting ability, combined with excellent physical fitness and speed, and the already high-grasp mid-range shooting, made Fox's offense more and more free of dead ends, and his scoring also rose to a career-high 27.5 points, ranking among the top 10 in the league. It's just that this season's Western Conference competition is fierce, and the Kings' record has also declined compared to the same period last year, which somewhat affects Fox's chances of being selected for the All-Star Game.
凯里·欧文（Irving）
得分25.2篮板5.1助攻5.3
Since some off-court turmoil last year, Irving has used his performance to tell everyone that he is still one of the top singles players in the league, and his efficiency in singles and as a pick-and-roll ball carrier is in the top of the league, and even if he holds the ball for a long time and has a high frequency of singles, Irving's average number of turnovers per game is controlled at only 1.6, which is actually quite an excellent result; &Shoot also has a 47.2 percent shooting percentage, and even Irving's fixed-point shooting efficiency this season is better than 99 percent of players in the league.
Irving's performance has also met the Mavericks' original expectation of trading him, playing the role of Doncic's second ball-handling point outside of Doncic, and his performance has continued to warm up after returning from injury to help the Mavericks return to playoff competition this season. However, Irving's lack of games this season may be a major flaw in being selected for the All-Star Game.
Low probability
贾马尔·穆雷（Murray）
得分20.9篮板3.9助攻6.5
If I think Murray is an All-Star, I believe most people can agree, but it is somewhat surprising that Murray has not been selected to the All-Star Game so far, but he is indeed a star who has proven himself many times in the playoffs, but the statistics played by Murray in the regular season are not as good as in the playoffs, and he is less noticed among the competitive Western Conference guards, which is really a pity.
Murray's performance this season is still quite good, in addition to the three-point shooting rate of more than 40%, Murray averages more than 35% of the rounds per game to attack with pick-and-roll, and the efficiency of being a pick-and-roll ball carrier is also better than 87% of players in the league, and this season's average of 20.9 points per game and offensive efficiency value of 121.5 are also the best years of his career, Murray's efficiency on the offensive end is definitely worthy of the star game. It's just that the competition for West Row defenders is still fierce, and Murray's traditional stats may not be outstanding enough, which also adds some difficulty to the selection.
德斯蒙德·贝恩（Bane ）
得分24.4篮板4.6助攻5.3
This season's Grizzlies have encountered very serious injury problems, the number of absentees is far ahead of the league, as one of the few healthy absolute main force in the first half of the season, Bane has increased a lot of ball time and use rate, but his overall offensive efficiency has not decreased but increased in the face of more defensive pressure, and all the statistics have also reached a career high, and the shooter-turned-Bane not only has 45% of three-point catch& Shoot high shooting percentage, increase the percentage of ball possession and launch pick-and-roll efficiency is also in the early stage of the league, and even the average assists per game has reached a career high, Bane's improvement in the short time he has been in the league is quite significant, and he is also the most relied on offensive point of the Grizzlies in the first half of the season. It's just that the Grizzlies' record is dragged down by injuries, and even Bane has recently entered the injured list, so that he who has already played an All-Star may have to wait a little longer to appear on the star court.
Frontcourt
High probability
科怀·伦纳德（Leonard）
Scored 23.7 rebounds, 6.2 assists, 3.8 steals and 1.7 steals
Leonard, who has been trapped by injuries in the past, has not been selected for the All-Star Game for a while, after a small low point at the beginning of the season and the run-in period when Harden just joined the team, Leonard then adjusted his condition to a very ideal state, this season in the 8 to 16 feet of the shooting rate of more than 50%, the singles part of the player who averaged more than 2 singles per game Leonard's efficiency is the best in the league, basically as long as he gets the ball singles, one-on-one is completely unable to limit him, in addition to the off-ball, this season's three-point shot catch&Shoot's 47% shooting percentage is also terrifying, and Leonard's offensive efficiency is as high as 120.7 this season.
In addition, Leonard, who has been a two-time Defensive Player of the Year in the past, averages 1.7 interceptions and 3 interceptions per game, and a pair of big hands often block the opponent's passing path, providing the Clippers with many opportunities to quickly counterattack. Fit and consistent, Leonard is definitely the biggest superstar in the league to be reckoned with.
Antonio Davis, AD
Scored: 24.9 rebounds, 12.2 assists, 3.8 steals and 1.2 blocks
AD, who has a rich injury history like Leonard, can play healthy this season, showing the dominance of the restricted area that helped the Lakers reach the Western Conference Finals in the playoffs last year, first of all, on the defensive end, AD can not only contribute 1.2 interceptions and 3.8 assists on the books, but also reduce the attacker's shooting rate in the restricted area by 7.7%, and can also interfere with the opponent's 11.7 shots per game in the top five in the league, which shows that AD's intimidation and defensive range in the restricted area are very terrible.
On the offensive end, AD's grasp under the basket is also quite high, with an average of 65% shooting rate on 11 shots per game within 8 feet from the rim, and AD, which can provide 4.9 screen assists per game, ranks second in the league, and the quality of the cover is quite good, and the average of 3.2 offensive rebounds per game also provides the Lakers with quite a lot of opportunities for second-wave offense. AD can do everything on both ends of the pitch, and there's no reason why the modern penalty area beast, who has only missed two games so far this season, shouldn't be selected.
probability
Paul George, PG
得分26.5篮板5.5助攻3.6
In the past, PG who needed to lead the team alone because of the team's first brother Leonard's frequent injuries and suspensions, gave up a lot of the ball this season with Leonard's healthy game and the arrival of Harden, and instead played the most efficient season of his career on the offensive end, playing more off-ball undoubtedly maximizing PG's projection ability, this season's three-point Catch &Shoot shooting rate is as high as 45%, and the fixed-point shooting efficiency is also 92% higher than that in the league Even though PG's usage rate this season has reached a new low since joining the Clippers, the three-point shooting percentage and overall offensive efficiency value of 123.1 have both reached career highs, making the Clippers' team offense quite difficult to defend.
In addition, on the defensive end, PG is as good at breaking the ball as Leonard, averaging 1.6 interceptions and 2.9 per game, which means that he is a pretty good wing assistant. PG, who is both offensive and defensive, has helped the Clippers to stand in the top four in the West in the past month or so, and the efficiency value of PG can outperform 97% of the players in the league in the information provided by the American media, such a performance is definitely worth being selected, but the extremely competitive Western frontcourt this season may still be a little variable.
Domantas Sabonis
得分20.0篮板12.7助攻8.0
Sabonis, the team's offensive center who helped the Kings return to the playoffs last season, continues to play a central role this season, averaging 8 assists per game second only to Jokic among all centers in the league, in addition to averaging 5.6 assists per game and 13.5 points per game, the best of any player in the league.
In terms of autonomous offense, Sabonis, who is concentrated under the basket in the offensive hot zone, has a very good finishing touch, shooting up to 65% in the restricted area, and Sabonis also does a very good job of protecting rebounds, averaging 12.7 rebounds per game is the league's rebounding leader. Although the individual performance is still at a high level, the Kings' team offense this season is still a little lower than last year, and Sabonis's individual offensive efficiency value is also slightly lower than last year, which affects the chances of being selected in the highly competitive Western frontcourt.
鲁迪·戈贝尔(Gobert)
得分13.3篮板12.5助攻2.1
Gobert, who has been a three-time Defensive Player of the Year in the past, went through a run-in period of the season after coming to the Timberwolves last year, and once again showed the power of the strongest contemporary restricted area goalkeeper this season, helping the Timberwolves play the best defensive efficiency in the league this season, and his personal defensive efficiency value of only 105.8 can rank among the top five in the league. Defensive performance in the restricted area can reduce opponents' shooting percentage by 13.8%, and Gobert's coverage is also quite accurate, and his average of 4.5 screen assists per game can also rank in the top 10 in the league, and his sense of stability on the defensive end is the key to the Gray Wolves ranking first in the West. However, the point that is less favorable to Gobert is that the value of Star Game selectors on the defensive end is often overlooked, so the possibility of Gobert becoming a missing pearl is not small.
Low probability
阿尔佩伦·申京(Sengun)
得分21.9篮板.9.1助攻5.1
After the chaos of the team in the first two years, this season after finding a new head coach to create a suitable system and straighten Sengun as the core of the team, finally let him realize the talent that he had been favored before the draft, he is skilled in the low post and averages more than 10 shots per game in the paint area, and can have a high grasp of more than 60% shooting, and Sengun has a fairly high ball IQ that can be used as the center of the team's high strategy, and can average 5.1 assists per game with increased use, in addition to Sengun's cover quality is also quite good. Compared with last season's chaotic positioning, Sengun's performance this season has improved dramatically, not only is it a favorite for the annual improvement award, but also helped the Rockets improve significantly in terms of game content and record, and perhaps Sengun really has a chance to usher in the first star game of his career this season.
布兰登·英格拉姆（Ingram）
得分21.4篮板4.8助攻5.7
Ingram, which has been inconsistent in the past, has also performed quite well this season when he is healthy, shooting 48% of his signature mid-range jumpers 's shooting percentage, fixed-point projection efficiency and overall offensive efficiency value of 118 are all performances of the league's early class, and this season's Ingram has undoubtedly improved the most compared with the past is undoubtedly his ability to point guard, this season can pass the second highest 5.7 assists per game, but the number of turnovers dropped to 2.4 is the second lowest in his career, the improvement of reading defensive ability makes Ingram's offensive end more comprehensive, this season the Pelicans do not have a traditional point guard in the team, many times Ingram is playing the role of the organizer of the half-court positional battle, and it also helps the Pelicans have a fairly good competitiveness in the West, and so far can be ranked in the top six in the West, Ingram's good performance is quite crucial, but in the fiercely contested western frontcourt, Ingram's overall data is not outstanding enough may still become a pity.
劳里·马尔卡宁(Markkanen)
Scored 23.8 rebounds and 8.7
Markannen, who entered the Star Game for the first time last season as a landlord star, still maintains a fairly high offensive efficiency this season, and the overall shooting range is very close to last season, Markannen, who is good at projection, has taken 8 shots on the three-point court this season, and the shooting rate can also be close to 40%, and the efficiency of fixed-point projection is also the top of the league, so the personal offensive efficiency value has also increased slightly, and the offensive efficiency value on the advanced data website EPM has also grown to a high level. Although the Jazz are not the Western Conference playoff contenders that most people are looking for this season, they have been able to play a 50% win percentage to occupy a place in the playoffs so far, and Markannen's excellent performance has contributed to the fact that even the Western Conference frontcourt should not be ignored in this season's competitive season.
Zeon Williamson
得分21.9篮板5.6助攻4.8
Zion, who has been healthy so far this season, has helped the team play quite competitively, but his stats have not been as impressive as they have been. Zion, who is concentrated in the offensive hot zone under the basket, has a shooting rate of 61.3% in the restricted area this season, although it is still very good, but compared with the dominance under the basket in the past two seasons, the grasp of the penalty area this season is somewhat declining, in addition, the average number of free throws made per game and the free throw shooting rate are not as good as the previous two seasons, and the few felt improvements are that the number of mistakes this season has dropped to the lowest in his career, and after attracting the bag, he can distribute the ball to his teammates in the gap in a timely manner, and the average of 4.8 assists per game is a slight improvement. Zion's overall offensive efficiency can be better than 87% of players in the league, but the statistics are not as impressive as before, and it is difficult for him to stand out among the top forwards in the West.
卡尔-安东尼·唐斯（Towns）
得分22.7篮板8.8助攻3.0
As the league's leader in projection, Towns, after last season's injuries and run-ins, this season once again showed his destructive power on the offensive end, this season's Towns delivered a very beautiful shooting trip, three-point shooting percentage even to a career high, fast shooting speed and three-point Catch &Shoot shooting rate as high as 44% Towns is a threat on the perimeter, and his efficiency in the low post is also a performance in the league's early stage, although there are occasional overly reckless cut-in options or slightly more fouls, but the overall offensive efficiency is still quite good, and he is one of the important contributors to the Gray Wolves' temporary first place in the Western Conference.
Final Prediction List:
Devin Booker
Anthony Edwards
Stephen Curry
Kawhi Leonard
Anthony Davis
Paul George
Domantas Sabonis
In fact, after writing the last post on the list of substitutes in the East, I have continued to write out the list in the West, but there are a lot of players to choose from in the West, and I have hesitated for a long time on some choices to the present, if you have a better candidate, please leave a message to discuss.
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