Today, A-shares were tug-of-war around the short-term trend line as scheduled, and the company was happy to mention Silianyang, and yesterday's prediction was once again verified by the market. However, the seesaw effect on the disk is getting stronger and stronger, and the disk guard team continues to fight around the Chinese word, and the funds of small ticket stocks are seriously diverted, so walking on one leg alone, next week, can the stock market continue to rush 3000 points?
Let's start with the data. The number of rising stocks in the two cities was 2,144, and the number of falling stocks was 3,032. From the disc point of view, today's white horse stocks and technology stocks have become the culprits of smashing, although the blue chips have made many efforts in the afternoon, but they have only maintained the red market closing of the Shanghai Composite Index, which is weak for the overall market drive.
In terms of sentiment, there are 61 stocks with a daily limit, 7 stocks with a downward limit, and 171 stocks with a decline of more than 5%. The data shows that sentiment continues to be polarized, Shanghai Free Trade and the Chinese word head are basically a word board, but the strong stocks that have fallen behind have gone straight to the stop, and it is the norm for you to like the new and hate the old, and there will be a knockout game to play next!
In terms of sectors, finance, real estate, oil, cyclical and utilities continue to be strong as a whole, while growth stocks such as semiconductors, consumer electronics, medical services and photovoltaic equipment have been smashed into dogs!
The reason for this situation is very simple, the negative feedback caused by the liquidation of financing orders, fund liquidation, and snowball products is still there. After all, the market has just experienced the baptism of extreme markets, and now the disk protection team is vigorously transfusing the prefix, but for the direction of technology growth stocks, it is only passively undertaking the liquidation of the market, and there is no capital to actively pull up, and it can only maintain the prosperity of this index.
Therefore, if the market is next week, will still maintain yesterday's view, and the index will most likely fluctuate between the double moving averages. It should be noted here that once the short-term offensive intensity of the index slows down, then it will be the turn of the subject to start the journey of making up for the rise, so no matter how envious you are now, don't blindly chase the rise, be careful of being beaten on both sides!
First of all, the capital side has not yet been unified, and foreign domestic institutions are still net selling!
From the perspective of the capital curve, the northbound funds bottomed out and rebounded to buy a net of 1.51 billion, although they bought net for two consecutive days, but the capital adjustment was undisguised, and the Shenzhen Stock Connect was obviously abandoned. Because judging from the data performance of the past month, the Shanghai Stock Connect has a net purchase of 17.069 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect has been sold a net of 17.755 billion, and the news and bets of foreign investors are still very accurate.
As for domestic institutions, they sold a net of 29.3 billion, which shows that the bears are still very strong, so if you walk on one leg alone, don't think about continuing to force the short market. In addition, if the disk guard team only pulls in one direction now, the problems accumulated in front of it have not been solved, so the next look at the market is more volatile.
Secondly, it is unrealistic for the Chinese word to continue to force short, and there is a high probability of opening the knockout round next week!
Yesterday, there was another data that I didn't tell you, that is, there were 13 in the three boards and 18 in the second board yesterday. There are 20 more than three boards today, and most of them are one-word boards, so there is no suspense about the knockout round next week.
As for short-term funds making a fuss around Chinese prefixes and high-dividend stocks, it is a typical Yangmou, and the story of Huawei+ has not yet been told, because it was interrupted by the stock market crash. Now a group of sunset industries dominate the screen, so high dividends are false propositions, and the logic of "market value management" alone cannot be supported.
Finally, the technical bottom is established, but be prepared to fight a long game.
Yesterday, it was emphasized that the disk protection team is likely to rest, in fact, from today's trading volume compared with yesterday shrunk by more than 60 billion, you can see some clues. After all, the disk protection team is only to stabilize the index, stabilize the confidence and stabilize the liquidity, if they are the heart of the rhythm, then all the funds are the object of harvesting, which is why Evergrande's rescue team was persuaded to retire before.
When your capital volume reaches a certain level, and the lack of effective supervision, you can really turn your hands into clouds and cover your hands into rain! Moreover, the trend of several major indices is not coordinated and unified, so the current status quo is only because the disk protection team has triggered a wave of feverish speculation, once the increment is insufficient, the follow-up market will calm down this speculative fluctuations, so as to return to the normal rhythm.
To sum up, for the market to start a big market, the resonance and unity between the indices is the foundation, and it will take time for liquidity to recover. The response is very simple, the over-falling rebound market is not over, don't chase the rise only low suck, this position should be the best to switch between high and low.
As for 3000 points, there are 9 trading days left before the year, and there is a high probability that it will impact and test its pressure situation.