Text: Yiping
After entering 2024, the United States led by the Biden team is obviously inadequate, and they are currently facing great strategic pressure on at least three fronts.
In recent months, it has also become clear that the world's major anti-hegemonic forces have formed one strategic echo after another, putting US hegemony in jeopardy.
However, it is precisely under such circumstances that the United States has recently suddenly played a chess move that many people cannot understand.
At the same time, the U.S. military sent three aircraft carrier battle groups, the USS Reagan, the USS Roosevelt, and the USS Carl Vinson, to the Korean Peninsula around China, threatening both North Korea and Russia, and at the same time secretly baring their teeth at China.
Why did the Biden administration do this? How should China lay out? In this article, I will briefly talk to my friends about this matter.
The article is divided into three sections.
Let's take a look at the three major problems that the Biden team is currently facing, then analyze why the Biden team is currently baring its teeth to China, and finally talk about the response strategies that China should take.
Without further ado, let's get to the point!
There are 3 major challenges facing the Biden team
Combined with the current international situation, I personally believe that the problems that Biden is currently facing include at least the following three parts.
If not handled properly, there is no possibility of re-election, and it will even become the most failed president in American history.
Not one of them.
Why?
Let's break it down together.
First of all, Russia is helpless to gradually gain a foothold.
The heat of the Russian-Ukrainian war has decreased a lot, and people are also focusing more on the Middle East, but we must recognize a reality, although the United States has basically withdrawn from the Russian-Ukrainian war, but due to the United States' super influence on NATO, and the current situation in Europe, the United States can still easily fool Europe to continue to make trouble with Russia.
The two sides are now engaged in a new round of games around the Ukraine crisis.
In addition to von der Leyen, the Biden administration's spokesperson in Europe, who has been vigorously promoting the EU aid bill for Ukraine, the entire NATO has gathered nearly 100,000 troops to conduct unprecedentedly large-scale military exercises around Russia.
What is even more worth mentioning is that the cycle of this military exercise is very long, and the initial setting time is more than four months, which also means that the possibility of misfire will be much greater!
But what is interesting is that Russian President Vladimir Putin has been planning for a new situation in 2024 since the second half of last year, and Putin's layout is from the domestic and foreign affairs in an all-round way.
In terms of domestic affairs, Russia was most engaged in two things in the second half of last year.
One is to eliminate Prigozhin, who had jumped very high before, through a miraculous method, and completely eliminated the hidden danger of infighting.
The other is the early passage of an unconventional defense budget, which will increase the proportion of military spending in 2024 to more than 30% of GDP for the whole year.
Leave enough to keep your hands behind.
In terms of external affairs, it is even more worth mentioning.
The outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the struggle between Yemen's Houthis and the United States in the Red Sea region will undoubtedly greatly reduce Russia's strategic pressure.
It is in this context that Russian President Vladimir Putin has recently become noticeably more assertive.
Come to China, go to the Middle East, go to North Korea!
And what makes the whole of NATO even more embarrassed is that at the same time that NATO is vigorously engaged in military exercises, Putin made a special trip to Kaliningrad, which is inserted in the heart of Europe.
If you look at the map of Kaliningrad, you will understand that although it is a Russian enclave, its strategic position is extremely important.
It was through such actions that he would clearly tell the United States and its European vassals.
Lao Tzu is not afraid, if you don't accept it, you will do it!
Second, the United States is being humiliated by two impoverished non-state armed forces, Hamas and the Houthis in Yemen.
If the Russians rely on more than 5,000 nuclear sticks in their hands, they can play with the entire United States and the West with a more peaceful mind, after all, no matter where they go, they have a bottom line, in Putin's words, it is the simplest, without Russia, what do you want this earth to do?
Then, the current game in the Middle East has made the Biden team too embarrassed.
Because of their outrage at the connivance and shielding of the Israelis, the Middle East is now largely embattled.
With regard to Israel, which they support, the Palestinian Hamas organization has gradually seized the initiative on the battlefield through bloody battles.
This is especially true of Yemen's Houthi forces, which are directly at war with the United States.
They themselves are already poor, and the US precision-guided missile bombing of the Houthis in Yemen has lost its meaning, and has instead been quite embarrassed by the other side's drones and missiles.
The two sides are obviously fighting an unequal war, you fight yours, I fight mine, and in the end, it is the United States that loses more.
This is because the struggle between the United States and the Houthis in Yemen is not only a military issue, but also a question of the face of the United States and the overall atmosphere of public opinion.
It is precisely in this passive situation that Iraq and Syria are now taking the opportunity to backstab the United States and demand that the United States withdraw its troops from these two countries.
It is in this sense that no matter what the outcome of this Middle East war is, the United States has been completely torn off its pants by the Middle East brothers.
There is no face at all.
This once again highlights Biden's incompetence!
Third, in the United States, Trump's election campaign has become unstoppable.
This should be the biggest headache for Biden.
The rear is unstable, how to fight at the front?
If you want to continue to sponsor Ukraine, you can't even get the money!
And there were too many dirty things when Biden and Trump handed over power, and he has been trying to embarrass Trump through judicial means for the past two years.
In this case, before the election results are announced at the end of this year, whether it is Trump's comeback over Biden or Biden's successful re-election, one thing is certain, the entire political atmosphere in the United States will definitely become more and more extreme.
It's a given.
By the end of the year, when a new round of power transfer will take place, the mines planted by the vicious partisanship in American society will inevitably erupt with an unexpectedly huge destructive force.
Many people even think that because the bite between Trump and Biden is too bad, the whole society is also very outrageously torn, and it will eventually even lead to a new civil unrest in the United States, after all, most of Trump's fans are ultra-nationalists, they have already endured it once, and it is impossible to endure it a second time.
In other words, no matter what Biden's final election situation is, he will inevitably face a tragic outcome in the United States.
Let's wait and see!
This should be a huge attraction for the entire international community from the second half of 2024 to the beginning of 2025.
The riots on Capitol Hill three years ago
The United States has been baring its teeth at China one after another
It is in this very complicated situation that the Biden team has made an extraordinary arrangement in recent days.
On the occasion of Wang Yi's visit to Thailand, Director of the Foreign Affairs Office of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister Wang Yi, US Special Assistant to the President for Security Affairs Jake Sullivan also rushed to Thailand to exchange views with Director Wang Yi again.
I hope China can help the United States get out of trouble!
At the same time, when we see this special arrangement of the US side, we must also see that the United States has recently repeatedly barred its teeth at China.
It's more about hoping that China can help, but there are also their usual intrigues and tricks in it, setting up a secret trap for us, and if we are not careful, we will be tricked.
The first is to continue to pour dirty water on China in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Politicians in the United States and the West now have a very stubborn obsession, and that is what they often talk about as a rules-based order.
In this order, the United States is undoubtedly at the center of power.
Both the United States and their core ally, Europe, believe that it is a matter of course that the world revolves around the United States.
It is precisely because of this that in the past period, it has been difficult for NATO and Russia to make substantial progress in negotiations on the terms of the ceasefire in the Russian-Ukrainian war.
Russia clearly has the advantage on the battlefield, but NATO, which is dominated by the United States, hopes that Russia must make huge concessions, and also requires Russia to understand Ukraine's demands for NATO membership.
This excessive demand of the United States and the West is equivalent to Russia's two-year war in vain, and Russia has failed in the end at the great strategic risk of being decomposed again, and the United States has firmly controlled Ukraine.
How can there be such a good thing in the world?!
Russia, of course, will not agree.
Therefore, it is precisely under this circumstance that the United States and the West have never stopped their rhythm of slandering China, hoping that China will use our right to speak to force Russia to make concessions.
In the same way, they are now playing tricks on us in the Middle East crisis.
According to Russia's TASS news agency, the U.S. government has been putting pressure on China in the hope that we can use its influence to persuade Iran and then get Iran to stop supporting the Houthis in Yemen, so that the United States can have a relatively decent end.
Of course, the U.S. side will say that the smooth passage of the Red Sea waters is also related to China's overseas interests.
But now Yemen's Houthis have publicly promised that Russian and Chinese freighters can safely pass through the waters of the Red Sea.
This makes the United States extremely embarrassed.
In fact, there is a despicable conspiracy in this!
If we really try to persuade Iran and the Houthis in Yemen, it will eventually lead to an embarrassing situation, and instead of thanking us, the US and the West will use this as an excuse to slander us as having a direct connection with Iran and the Houthis in Yemen.
When the time comes, it will be even more unclear!
So we certainly won't be fooled.
It is better for the United States to continue to be mired in the double quagmire of the Russia-Ukraine war and the crisis in the Middle East.
It is in this context that the Biden administration is a bit of a jumper, and they have driven three major aircraft carrier formations around China in an attempt to replicate the next proxy war in East Asia.
Trying to forcibly drag China into the water.
There are at least three possibilities for the situation on the peninsula.
The first possibility is that North Korea will test missiles and even respond more aggressively, as in the past, after joint military exercises between the United States, Japan, and South Korea.
But in the end, it quickly passed.
After all, neither North nor South Korea wants to be easily drawn into a war, and the current global hegemonic system of the United States is also in danger of collapsing at any time.
The second possibility is that North Korea, with the support of the Russians, could not bear it under the extreme bullying of the United States, Japan, and South Korea, and eventually the two sides clashed and broke out into the Second Korean War.
This possibility is gradually increasing!
I say this because we absolutely cannot rule out the Russian factor.
Russia certainly wants more countries to share the strategic pressure on their behalf, and the recent strategic interaction between Russia and North Korea has been very frequent, and Putin is about to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un again soon.
And it took the initiative to go to North Korea!
It's all in plain sight.
The third possibility is from Japan.
The country is living in a rather miserable state under the watchful eye of the Americans, and their economic situation has been very sluggish in recent years.
Under such circumstances, the Fumio Kishida government, which has always wanted to restore normalcy, will definitely want to take advantage of the triumph of China, the United States, and Russia on the Korean Peninsula to gain something.
They will definitely consider gambling on the fortunes of the country in the context of the embattled situation of the United States.
It's one of Japan's favorite things to do.
The war of aggression against China and the attack on Pearl Harbor, and the direct discharge of nuclear sewage into the Pacific Ocean today are the best examples.
All in all, from the above analysis, we can see that although the US government is currently in deep domestic and foreign difficulties, its layout around China is also full of dangers.
And from the perspective of human nature, the more the United States and Russia struggle, the more they will have a common tacit understanding to drag China into the water together.
It's a given!
So what exactly do we do?
Let's take a look at China's countermeasures!
China's response strategy
Personally, I think these 3 points are crucial.
First, continue to sit firmly in the Diaoyutai platform.
At the same time that the Americans fanned the flames, on 26 January, Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Sun Weidong made a special trip to Pyongyang, DPRK, to hold consultations with DPRK Vice Foreign Minister Pak Myong-ho, and paid a special call on DPRK Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui.
North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui has just held talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in Moscow.
This kind of frequent interaction and confrontation between China, the DPRK, and Russia is the best illustration of this, although the Americans are fanning the flames everywhere, we can completely respond to all changes with the same attitude.
To put it bluntly, North Korea is by no means a good stubble!
They also currently have advanced weapons, including hypersonic missiles and nuclear weapons, and it will not be easy for the United States to get past North Korea.
If you start the war machine rashly, you will end up bleeding.
We don't need to be in such a hurry!
I watched it as I walked.
Second, the Taiwan Strait is the key.
The Americans are gradually becoming more and more aware of this point, and if they want to ask China to help them, the Taiwan issue will always be an unavoidable matter.
Just after Lai Qingde was elected as Taiwan's new leader, US President Joe Biden immediately poured cold water on the other side, saying that the United States would never support Taiwan independence, and even Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. had to stand up and promise again that Taiwan is a province of China.
Under such circumstances, I personally believe that the time has come to resolve the Taiwan Strait and South China Sea issues by surrendering the army without a fight.
If the United States wants China to understand them in the context of the Russia-Ukraine war and the Middle East conflict mentioned above, it must in turn understand China's legitimate claims in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea.
Third, if you don't listen to persuasion, you must maintain the status quo and prepare for Trump's wayward punch.
This is more likely.
With regard to the United States, we must not have too many illusions, but should base ourselves on war, and we must be able to fight at any time, and we will win the war.
Only by making up our minds and using our influence effectively to continue to put the United States in a greater embarrassment can we ultimately achieve our strategic goal of surrendering without a fight.
In short, no matter what kind of provocation the Americans make, China, which clearly occupies the strategic initiative, can calmly respond without haste.
As for how the whole situation develops, let's wait and see, and then improvise!
@壹平说: Thank you for reading!