Recently, after Iran and Pakistan bombed each other, they quickly shook hands and made peace, which is quite interesting, and today's article will analyze this matter in detail.
On January 16, Iran used "precision missile and drone strikes" to destroy two key strongholds of the terrorist group Righteous Army in Pakistan's southwestern province of Balochistan.
In response, Pakistan also reacted "fiercely".
Pakistan issued a statement on the 17th, accusing Iran's actions of violating Pakistan's airspace, deciding to recall the ambassador to Iran, downgrading diplomatic relations between the two countries, and deciding to suspend the recent high-level visits between the two countries.
On January 18, Pakistan launched a precision military strike against terrorist hideouts in Iran's Sistan-Baluchistan province, saying that the airstrike "killed a number of terrorists" and that the "sole objective of the operation was to pursue Pakistan's own security and national interests, which is of the utmost importance and cannot be compromised."
According to sources, the target of Pakistan's attack on the 18th was the camps of the "Baloch Liberation Army" (BLA) and the "Baloch Liberation Front" (BLF).
This "Baloch Liberation Army" is a notorious terrorist organization that has launched terrorist attacks against us in Pakistan on many occasions, and the nature of this is very bad.
We have repeatedly called on Pakistan to intensify its efforts against terrorist organizations such as the Baloch Liberation Army.
However, the "Balochistan province" on the border between Pakistan and Iran is the largest province in Pakistan and the least populated and developed region, and the Pakistani government has relatively weak control over the region.
In addition, the "Baloch separatist forces" have long been roaming in Pakistan, Iran, and Afghanistan.
Therefore, every time Pakistan intensifies its attack on the "Baloch Liberation Army", these "Baloch Liberation Army" terrorist organizations often flee to Iran and hide, so it is very difficult to crack down.
According to public information, the "Balochistan" is essentially a transnational ethnic group, with a population of about 9 million people, and eighty percent of them live in Pakistan.
Historically, the Baloch people were independent states, but after the British destroyed the country in 1896, the whole of Baluchistan was divided into India, Iran and Afghanistan.
Therefore, the "Balochistan" separatist organization has been in Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan at the same time, seeking to restore the country, and belongs to the separatist organization distributed in the three countries at the same time. They want to create an independent "Balochistan" state at the junction of these three countries.
The "Baloch issue" has been repeated since the 50s of the 20th century, leading to a state of long-term turmoil in the region.
According to reports, after 9/11 in 2001, the United States poured a large amount of money and weapons into Baloch-populated areas in southern Afghanistan in order to support the armed opposition of Afghan ethnic minorities against the Afghan Taliban.
This has also led to the continued activity of these Baloch series of terrorist organizations in Pakistan, exacerbating instability.
India is also a donor to these "Baloch series" terrorist groups, providing financial and intelligence support.
In addition to the Baloch Liberation Army, Balochistan also has various organizations such as the Baloch United Army, the Balochistan Army, the Baloch Republican Army, and the Baloch Liberation Front.
Pakistan's air attack on Iran this time is the "Sistan-Baluchistan Province", and there are also "Baluchistan" forces in this area, so whenever Pakistan cracks down on these terrorist organizations, these terrorists flee into Iran.
Therefore, the "Balochistan" region, where Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan are on the border, has always been relatively turbulent, and Iran itself wants to fight these terrorist organizations.
Including this time, Iran took the lead in attacking the "Justice Army" in Pakistan, and it is also one of the "Balochistan" separatist groups.
The JJ, a Sunni militant group founded in 2012 with the goal of creating a Baloch state on the border between the two countries, has carried out frequent terrorist attacks.
Therefore, this Justice Army wants to separate part of the territory of Iran and Pakistan at the same time, so it has become a common target of Iran and Pakistan.
Iran also accused the AKI of having something to do with Israel, which is why it launched the strike.
To sort it out here, in fact, this time Iran and Pakistan seem to be throwing missiles at each other to bomb each other, but in fact, they are all bombing these "Balochistan" series of terrorist organizations.
I'll use an analogy, it's a bit like two people have a little itch on their backs, and they want to scratch it, but they can't, so they ask the other person to scratch it for themselves.
That's roughly the nature.
Then some people may ask, in this case, why can't they just let the other party help them fight, but throw bombs at each other like this?
I'm a bit of a personal guess here.
As mentioned earlier, these are "Balochistan" terrorist organizations, most of which are funded by the United States with the aim of disrupting the region.
Internally, Iran and Pakistan have basically been infiltrated into a sieve by the United States, including intelligence networks.
Otherwise, Iran would not have been killed by Israel every once in a while.
The same is true for Pakistan, every time Pakistan wants to intensify its crackdown on these terrorist organizations in its territory, these terrorists will be very well informed and hide in Iran in advance, and it is very likely that the Americans are tipping off these terrorists.
Therefore, it is still difficult for the two countries to crack down on terrorist organizations within their own borders.
Moreover, if Pakistan and Iran send troops to attack the nests of these terrorist organizations in their countries, it is estimated that the United States will immediately take down the hat of oppressing ethnic minorities.
It's like a person can't scratch some part of his back, so he needs help.
So he acted in such a play.
Even the United States probably never imagined in advance that the two sides would be able to throw missiles at each other to attack terrorist organizations in each other's territory.
This is a murder with a knife.
After Iran's air strikes on Pakistan, Pakistan will have a very legitimate reason to accurately strike at the "Balochist" terrorist organization in Iran, and the United States will have no reason to attack.
Of course, this is just a personal speculation, and some people will definitely think it is a conspiracy theory.
However, with the rapprochement between Iran and Pakistan at the speed of light, it is basically a double-reed card.
On January 19, Pakistan announced that it would fully restore diplomatic relations with Iran.
A senior Pakistani diplomat, in response to similar statements made by his Iranian counterpart, wrote: "Pakistan and Iran are fraternal and all issues should be resolved through active dialogue." ”
On January 22, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Pakistan and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Iran issued a joint statement saying that the Iranian Foreign Minister will visit Pakistan on January 29 at the invitation of the Foreign Minister of Pakistan.
In fact, when Pakistan attacked terrorist organizations in Iran on the 18th, Pakistan wrote in a statement, "Pakistan fully respects Iran's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and is willing to work with Iran to find a common solution to combat terrorism." ”
So, regardless of whether the process is a double reed or not, from the current results, apart from the double blow of the US-funded "Balochistan" terrorist group, the relationship between Iran and Pakistan has not changed.
In addition, I note that the recent Iranian attacks are not limited to terrorist groups in Pakistan.
On January 16, Iran launched simultaneous attacks on three neighboring countries: Iraq, Syria, and Pakistan.
Iran fired 11 missiles at targets of "Israeli spies" in the Kurdish autonomous region of Iraq and 13 missiles at terrorist strongholds in Idlib, Syria.
Similarly, Iraq has condemned Iran. Iraq also recalled its ambassador to Iran to protest the Iranian attack.
But no one should believe that now Iran will really be at war with Syria, Iraq, and Pakistan at the same time, right?
In particular, Iraq is now pro-Iranian, not to mention Syria, which has long had military advisers in Syria to help the Syrian government win the civil war.
Iran, Syria, and Iraq have long forged a deep friendship in the fight against the U.S.-sponsored ISIS.
Syria and Iraq are also recognized members of the Arc of Resistance built by Iran.
Now that Iran is at war with Syria, Iraq, and Pakistan at the same time, who knows if this is a show for the United States and Israel?
It's just that Iran and Pakistan are obviously not very good at acting, and they are not willing to act for a few more days and restore relations so quickly, so it is obvious that they will not be able to catch fish, or they have no intention of fishing in the first place, and the goal may be to eliminate the terrorist organizations entrenched in this region, and ultimately to expel the influence of the United States in the region by funding terrorist organizations.
Fundamentally, in order to eliminate the influence of the United States in the Middle East, all parties tacitly agreed to put on a show for the United States to see, and the drunkard did not mean to drink.
The source of this article is the official account of "Da Bai Hua Current Affairs".
Author: Star Talk.