Hello everyone, I am the leader of the moving average. In addition to stock trading, there are almost no other hobbies, just like to face the computer all day long, to the K-line chart, to compare and draw, if you also like a tool person like me, welcome to pay attention.
Netizen: Master, double-line analysis and single-line 5-line analysis, is it a combination of two types of analysis?
First of all, let's answer the fan's message, he said, the double moving average analysis and the single five moving average analysis, is it the same, or are the two different analyses?
In fact, it's all the same, it depends on whether you can assemble it. I started with a single five-day moving average, because there are so many signals on the five-day moving average, we can't tell which signal is true and which signal is false, so a series of filters are added later.
Originally, I wanted to make a model so that everyone could avoid detours, but in fact, there are several filters behind. But as I talked, I found that there was no traffic, and people liked to watch it, and they always liked to find some novelty, so I didn't mean to continue.
Because it took an hour or two to write an article, but no one read it, so what else is written? If you don't read it, I don't want to talk about it, and I really don't want to talk about some technologies, and I won't be the one who will suffer anyway.
Case 1:
Figure 1
Today we are going to talk about a bull stock model with a single moving average and a 20 moving average!
We find the above diagram 1, the parameter is 20 moving average, just a single moving average.
When the stock price crosses below the 20 EMA, draw a horizontal line below the starting point of the EMA and extend it to the right, which is the 13.98 level in the picture.
Then just wait for when the stock price crosses the 20-day moving average again. This chart is super strong, and the stock price breaks through the 20-day moving average, which is a daily limit break.
And the breakthrough has been rising, and the continuous up-limit has been pulled up, as long as the up-limit board that has broken through has not been hit. Although there are opportunities in the back, they are all bad boards, but I believe that there are many people who dare not take it.
This pattern is also very simple, just go up and down, but there are some details to pay attention to, which we will explain one by one in the following case graph.
Case 2:
Figure II
Let's look at this picture two, this trend is relatively weak, although he also rose, but the gap with Figure 1, that is, a world of difference, how can this trend occur?
First of all, when we find that the stock price crosses below the 20-day moving average, we draw a horizontal line at the point where it crosses, extending to the right side, and this horizontal line is a defensive level.
Why didn't he break through this chart like Figure 1 and continue to rise sharply?
We can see if the center of gravity is moving down, and it's close to the defensive position below, and it's very difficult to get up like that. Because he wants to rise, the first thing he faces is the pressure of the previous high. If he doesn't break through the pressure, how can it rise?
In fact, there is another way to discern it, which is to observe its falling angle, I wrote an article before, which uses his falling angle to measure its rising probability.
Case 3:
Figure III
Let's take another picture three, this is a sideways breakout, but he just broke through and rose for a day and then fell back, and then fell back to adjust a few days later and hooked again, and then broke through.
So why is this? If you look at the disk of this chart alone, it means that the main strength of this force is relatively weak. Because he had already broken through the previous high, he still had to make an upper shadow line out. It means that the selling pressure at this position is very heavy, and then the upper shadow is covered the next day and then it begins to fall.
After the continuous decline, after scaring out some profit-taking and panic orders, he pulled out a price limit to break through the previous high.
But it's useless, weak strength is weak! After playing the price limit, the next day a high open, and a high open low go big black line, except to say that the main strength is weak, there is no other reason.
If you combine it with the article I posted yesterday, talk about the 60-day moving average looking for the big picture of bull stocks. After reading it, you should be able to understand that his position is different, and he just can't get up from some stocks because he hasn't adjusted it in place.
Case 4:
Figure IV
Let's take a look at Figure 4, first of all, he did not break the bottom of the 20 EMA, that is, the bottom of 17 blocks in the picture, and he is still far away from this area, so his breakthrough is okay.
The first target was the front high, and he did a wash at the front high because he had a deep retracement, which could be seen from his lower shadow.
Moreover, it can be seen in combination with the following MACD, the MACD is still above zero, and his green bar is not larger than the previous green bar, that is, he has no divergence.
Case 5:
Let's take a look at case five, this case is also super strong, and the breakthrough is all the way up.
First of all, the stock price did not fall below its bottom, which is at the level of 9.95. Secondly, there is no divergence of the MACD below him, so this pattern is also in line.
As for why I marked 1 and 2 in the picture? Looking at the position of arrow 1 first, his closing price has just broken above the 20 EMA. But you can see that his breakthrough is just showing a head, just above the five-day moving average, and then the next day he directly did not continue to attack, but fell.
When talking about the five-day moving average, we have already said that if the moving average is broken, its entity is just attached to the moving average, and there are still many underwater parts, like this, you need to wait for him to step back to confirm.
The breakthrough of the second position is more in line with the standard, whether it is his entity or eating the yin line on the left, it is more consistent.
Like the general trend away from the previous high, the first target of its breakthrough is to see the pressure area of the previous high, and when you reach this pressure area, you can appropriately reduce your position first.
On the picture, this target was also trimmed in this area for a few days before a price limit was pulled up. The main force also has to test the pressure in this position, if the selling pressure is very large, and then the follow-up plate does not keep up in time, he may not pass so easily.
Case 6:
This case six can be divided into several parts, because he fell below the 20-day moving average several times during the session. But if you divide it from a large area, it is in another area, because his MACD has always been green, and there is no golden cross and then a dead cross.
Let's first look at the position of drawing a circle, and this position does not match, because he has not eaten the big black candle in front of him for several days in a row, and it is not too high, so this kind of is directly filtered out for him.
The No. 1 position in the back can actually be filtered out for him, not that he only talked about it now when he sees it. Because this is a bald and barefoot long white candle breakout, we have already said when talking about the five-day moving average, if it is said that a long white candle like this, the deviation from the front is too far from the K-line, it is necessary to wait for it to fall back and confirm the next day.
But there is one mode that is exceptional, that is, the price limit, and the back of the price limit board is not played out. Again and again, no more and again, if in this area always out of such a trend. If you see it on the plate, you may be wrong, and you have to try it.
Case 7
Let's take a look at case seven, first of all, its bottom is in line with it, and it did not break the bottom of 10.76. Secondly, if we look at the MACD below him, is there any divergence?
But he didn't meet it when he broke through, because he just closed the day and just showed the 20-day moving average, and like this, he has to wait for the next day to confirm, because many times he may fall the next day, and it is possible to fall below the bullish line.
This model is relatively strong, and the next day it is a daily limit, so it is announced that he has confirmed success, and its daily limit has also broken through the previous high. If there is no timely follow-up, then hold the bottom of this white line, and when he steps back to 12/3, he can cut in when he turns around, and then pulls up two up and down boards.
Case 8:
Let's take a look at case eight, first of all, its bottom is compliant, but the MACD is a little inconsistent, but he is followed by a daily limit breakthrough, this trend is okay, because the daily limit breakthrough shows that the willingness to go long is relatively strong, and his breakthrough is to hit the previous high.
This kind of price limit, then there is no need to panic, because the price limit is already too high, and most of the next day's premium is still there.
Let's focus on the bit that draws two circles. The position of the front circle is a long white candlestick breakout, why can't this position?
We can look at the MACD below him, he broke through this position, the MACD has just died cross, like the general just dead fork needs to be filtered out.
I don't know if you have ever understood the situation of this bar of the MACD, usually his red column is shortened, and then when the green column appears, even if it rises the next day, his green column will still be enlarged, and a repair process is needed.
If the position of the circle is a daily limit, or directly past the previous high, then this situation is different.
As for the circle behind him, it was because he didn't step on it when he stepped back and fell below the 20 EMA.
The model of the 20-day moving average to catch bull stocks trained above is only a part of the overall situation, and cannot be generalized.
That's all Xi for today's article, thank you for reading. I hope that before leaving, I will like and support them. If you need to find me, you can use the chat to search for the moving average to draw a chart, which has just been opened. Listen to the advice of netizens and walk on multiple legs.
I am the leader of the moving average, and the above content is just some personal insights in the process of operation, which is only for communication and not for reference. Especially for some novices, please don't blindly carry and apply, this is also responsible for your principal!
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