Before reading this article, I sincerely invite you to click "Follow", which is not only convenient for you to discuss and share, but also brings you a different sense of participation, thank you for your support!
Before reading this article, I sincerely invite you to click "Follow", which is not only convenient for you to discuss and share, but also brings you a different sense of participation, thank you for your support!
1. The earth shakes the mountains: the relentless alarm bell of the earthquake in Japan
While the New Year's bell is still ringing in your ears, the land of Japan has chosen another way to ring the bell for 2024. The unexpected magnitude 5 earthquake on the Noto Peninsula in Ishikawa Prefecture, followed by a magnitude 7.4 earthquake, is like nature not being satisfied with only playing once to "scare you" and deciding to "double the reward".
The tremors in Tokyo and the surrounding area were not simply shaking, but the fear of "the earth shaking". The earthquake was like an uninvited guest, disrupting the cosy festive atmosphere.
The hustle and bustle of the street instantly turned into an emergency evacuation horn, and the usually inconspicuous emergency guidance signs suddenly became the most sought-after "Internet celebrity check-in place". As Japan is an earthquake-prone country, everyone seems to be an "earthquake expert" with their own earthquake prevention function, but when the real earthquake comes, the hidden panic is still inadvertently revealed.
And this earthquake seems to be a little uncertain, but chose to come out at the beginning of the new year. This makes one wonder: Mr. Earthquake, are you going to conduct a comprehensive "stress test" on the psychological endurance of the Japanese people? Although government departments have always emphasized that Japan's building standards are the nemesis of the "uninvited guests" of earthquakes, the baptism of this series of shocks seems to have made these "nemesis" a little powerless.
After this "surprise" of nature, the lives of the Japanese people had to be temporarily rewritten. Usually busy office workers have suddenly become temporary "evacuation specialists", and those students who are usually carefree have to learn how to stay calm in the face of disasters. This is not only an impact on daily life, but also a major test of the emergency response ability of Japanese society as a whole.
In dealing with this disaster, Japan's geographical location is like a double-edged sword in a "heavily guarded" castle. On the one hand, it has made Japan more fearful and prepared for earthquakes, but on the other hand, it has also made earthquakes the norm and made the sound of alarm bells less harsh.
Now, as the earthquake and its aftermath have subsided, people are starting to go about their daily routines, but the lingering aftermath of the earthquake still lingers. Are there still bigger earthquakes lurking in the lurking area, and is Japan's "earthquake season" really over?
2. Tsunami hits: the devastating force of nature
In Japan, when the shaking of the earthquake has not subsided and people are still immersed in panic and anxiety, nature decided to add another fire, this time in the form of a 5.5-meter-high tsunami. In fact, imagining the tsunami as a giant wall of water may be reminiscent of special effects scenes in Hollywood blockbusters, only this time instead of the exclamations of spectators' safety seats, but the terrified screams of real-life coastal residents.
How is a tsunami formed? To put it simply, it is like an oceanic version of "rocking music", where an earthquake plays a game of "earth pushing" on the bottom of the sea, and as a result, the whole ocean is stirred. As a result, this stormy feast was staged in an innocent coastal city.
Japan's tsunami warning system is arguably the most advanced in the world, but the technology is also a bit inadequate in the face of natural threats. It's like you have the latest smartphone, but on a desert island with no signal, it can only be used to smash open coconuts.
After the tsunami, it was like a "gushing" of nature, causing damage not only to the coastal cities of Japan, but also to South Korea and New Zealand, which also had to urgently activate the tsunami warning. This means that the tsunami in Japan not only made my family "wet", but also made my neighbors "join in the fun".
The impact of the tsunami on the earthquake in Japan, which is a global concern, is clear. The international community reacted swiftly, and assistance arrived. This reminds people of the old saying, "adversity sees true love", although this "true love" comes a little turbulently. But in the face of such a disaster, the sight of global solidarity and facing challenges together always makes people feel a little warm.
Under the double blow of the tsunami and the earthquake, will the Japanese still be able to uphold the spirit of "Xiaoqiang who cannot be defeated"? As the sea slowly recedes and the rubble falls, will people find the courage to rebuild their homeland?
3. Warning signs of Mt. Fuji: Is a volcanic eruption coming?
In Japan, where earthquakes are frequent, the magma activity of Mt. Fuji is not only a topic of night coffee for geologists, but also a ticking time bomb in the hearts of local residents. The recent earthquake patted Mt. Fuji on the back with a smile and seemed to say, "It's your turn, man." The residents of Mt. Fuji, on the other hand, are not in the mood to joke, knowing that once the mountain "sneezes", the consequences are not a joke.
The increased frequency of magma activity captured by scientific instruments is like giving experts a "lottery ticket of possibility", and everyone is speculating, "Will it really win the lottery this time?" Historically, the eruption of Mt. Fuji once painted the sky pitch black, and the eruption 300 years ago was like the "beauty of the prosperous age" of the volcanic world, which made future generations talk about it.
Now, local residents can't help but ask, "What kind of disaster drama will this time be?" The history of volcanic eruptions is far-reaching, not only a natural phenomenon, but also a test of human civilization. If Mt. Fuji does erupt, it will not only be a feast for the eyes, but an all-round challenge.
Although the Japanese government has a good set of disaster responses, it is unclear whether their response manual will be useful in the face of volcanic activity of this magnitude. The mentality of the population is also quite mixed, with their fear of volcanic eruptions intertwined with reverence for the forces of nature.
On the one hand, they prepared evacuation kits and made escape routes, and on the other hand, they also sent an invitation to Mt. Fuji: "If you have to come to a 'volcano catwalk', at least give us a beautiful pose!" Behind this humor is the helplessness of the unknown and the tenacity of life.
In this volcano's mystical theater, everyone is both an audience member and an actor. Although the preparations of the government and the people are ongoing, the inner drama is more abundant. They learn to prepare in the midst of worry and find humor in the midst of fear. Are their psychological defenses impregnable in the face of this unknown force of nature, or are they just a thin piece of paper?
With Mt. Fuji "ready to move", the world's eyes are once again focused on this island nation. But the question is, if nature decides to do a "triple strike", how will the Japanese respond? Are they ready for a possible volcanic dance, or are they silently expecting in their minds that it will just be a false alarm?
4. Japan's Future and Nationwide Replacement Plan: Escape or Reconstruction?
As the "roar" of nature continues to shake the Japanese archipelago, the government and citizens have to face a thorny question: whether to flee this disaster-stricken land, or to hold on and rebuild their homeland? On this issue, Japanese society seems to be divided into two camps, on one side are the travelers who pack their bags and are ready to "change countries", and on the other side are the warriors who are determined to rebuild.
In some circles, the "exchange plan" is no longer a secret. In fact, the Japanese government's move to buy land abroad, as well as the news of the large-scale construction of Japanese schools and elderly care facilities in Brazil and Southeast Asia, have almost become a hot topic after dinner.
These initiatives are seen as a kind of forward-looking preparation for future disasters that may be inevitable, as if the Japanese government is booking a "backup home" for the nation's people. However, this "escape" theory has not been without criticism. Many believe that this amounts to disloyalty to one's own country, and even some negative.
After all, Japan has experienced numerous natural disasters in its thousands of years of history, but each time it has rebuilt after the disaster, showing the resilience and creativity of its people in the face of adversity. In the eyes of these people, reconstruction is not only a reshaping of the material, but also a persistence in culture and spirituality.
On the international stage, Japan's land purchases have also caused considerable fluctuations. In particular, China and the United States, two countries seen as potential "refuges," have led many to speculate about the implications. Are you really planning a large-scale migration, or is it just to spread the risk?
For these countries, accepting a large number of Japanese immigrants is both an opportunity and a challenge, and for the Japanese, this cultural and environmental transformation may also be fraught with unknowns and adaptation challenges. In the clash of these two voices, the future picture of Japanese society becomes an unfinished puzzle.
On the one hand, there are those who are trying to find a new place for Japan on the map of globalization, and on the other hand, there are many who believe in the value of post-disaster reconstruction and are looking forward to rediscovering the beauty of life in a familiar land. So, whether Japan will choose to change countries or rebuild its glory from the ruins of the disaster? The question is like a cloud of volcanic ash hanging from the top of Mt. Fuji, which is both exciting and worrisome.
1. The modern interpretation of "On Protracted War": Putin's resonance with Arabia
When Putin the Great spreads the long web of patience on the battlefield of Russia and Ukraine, he may be silently reciting the classic chapters of "On Protracted War" in his heart, while the Arab countries far away in the desert boat seem to nod reverently in front of the same Bible. This makes one wonder if all politicians, on their first day in office, borrow the classic on protracted warfare from the National Library.
Putin's strategy in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is like a long chess game, and delaying time has become a magic weapon to win. Russia is not in a hurry for a momentary victory, but like an old peasant who cultivates the land, step by step, convinced that hard work will pay off.
Such tactics are intriguing, and one cannot but admire the calmness and foresight behind them. But this is not just Putin's personal show, the Arab countries are also holding high the banner of protracted war on their respective battlefields.
Looking back on history, the study of "On Protracted War" in Arab countries is comparable Xi the study of philosophical classics by scholars in ancient times. They are not only readers, but also practitioners, and they regard this book as a textbook for war, and they are all classic cases in textbooks to overcome the big with the small and the strong with the weak.
In a geopolitical situation surrounded by powerful enemies, protracted war has become their strategic choice, which is both wisdom and helplessness. Under the rules of the game of power politics, they seem to have found their own way to survive.
In fact, the charm of the protracted war lies in its mastery of time and psychological play. For small nations, protracted warfare is a tactical self-redemption that tells us that time wears out giants, disorients the strong, and melts the will of the aggressor like ice.
But is this really the case? Will time really be on the side of small countries? The cruelty of war is self-evident, and the protracted war is more like a gamble, betting on the future of the country and the fate of the people. With such a gamble, can anyone really have the last laugh?
In the end, Putin's resonance with Arab countries is not only a tactical similarity, but also a strategic resonance to seek survival and development on the international chessboard. But what is the price behind this? Who will be able to win in the end in this long battle? The long river of history will give the answer, and we can't help but ask: Is it Putin, the friend of time, or the Arab countries that are working silently in the dust?
2. Hamas and the Houthis: Weapons and Tactical Changes
The arsenals of Hamas and the Houthis are the equivalent of the mysterious Ali Ba Baba caves, with new gadgets popping up from time to time. But don't think they've come out of nowhere, the origin of these weapons is more tortuous than in detective novels.
Some may have been sneakily across borders, while others were blatantly squandered on the international black market. These channels are like a number of underground rivers, which converge into the source of their constant surging force.
The tactical shift of these organizations is more like the jump from old-fashioned typewriters to high-end smartphones. They used to rely on artillery and rockets to disrupt the enemy, but now they have begun to play drones and cyber warfare, making Israel, a high-tech power in the Middle East, have to tense their nerves all the time.
This shift has not only caused headaches for Israeli military strategists, but has also made international arms control experts anxious like ants on a hot pot, and their textbooks seem to be about to be rewritten. And such a tactical shift would be tantamount to recalibrating Israel's precision machine that "strikes everything."
The brain centers of Israel's military strategy must respond quickly and precisely to these new changes. On the sand table of military Xi, each simulated red dot may represent a new unknown challenge. This is not only a game of strategy, but also a psychological contest, after all, in the face of unpredictable opponents, even the calmest general may have a moment to turn the table.
This contest between military change and strategic escalation is like a cold war without gunpowder, and no one knows which corner will jump out of the next second, or rather, new threats. So, when the new toys of Hamas and the Houthis become more advanced, what will Israel's answer be?
Where will this seemingly unequal showdown lead to regional conflicts? And how will the game of international power hidden behind these changes affect the stability of the entire Middle East? In the next round, whether every step on the chessboard is good or not can really determine the outcome of the game?
III. The Revival of Guerrilla Warfare: The Authentic Wisdom of the Arab States
In the Arab world, the revival of guerrilla tactics is not a resale of old objects from antique stores, but a modern interpretation of classic tactics in new bottles. They are not playing retro, but using traditional wisdom to bring new life to modern warfare.
Tactics such as tunnel warfare, mine warfare, and sparrow warfare may sound like some kind of dangerous outdoor sport, but they are actually their trump card tactics in the conflict with Israel, which are a headache for the enemy. Imagine tunnel warfare like a herd of marmots digging tunnels underground, and the Israeli soldiers like confused farmers who don't know where to swing their shovels.
Not only are these tunnels capable of stealth operations, but they can also confuse the enemy's high-tech surveillance equipment, making them a great example of how to create effective surprises at low cost. Mine warfare is more like burying invisible playing cards in the desert, waiting for the opponent to show a "surprised expression" when they step on it. As for sparrow warfare, it is the delicate work in small fights, so that the enemy inadvertently loses a little bit, accumulates a lot, and finally reaches the brink of collapse.
However, the psychological and material pressure on Israel caused by these unconventional tactics is by no means a piece of cake. They are like a pack of playful monkeys, constantly throwing small stones from all corners, and while not deadly, they are enough to be a distraction.
Israel has had to expend more resources to deal with these seemingly sporadic harassments, which is undoubtedly straining their nerves and budgets. In this invisible psychological warfare, the tactics of the Arab countries are played like a "fatigue war", allowing the opponent to gradually weaken in the pursuit.
Isn't this kind of repetition of old tactics but infinitely varied like a magician in a race against time, while maintaining the traditional mystique while finding a new breakthrough in the audience's already strange gaze?
As these tactics continue to challenge Israel's military strategy, we can't help but ask, how will Israel respond to this old and fresh combination of tactics? Who will be the last laugher in this silent contest? And behind all this, what unknown chess games are quietly being laid out?
4. Unity or Disintegration: The Decision-Making Game in the Arab World
In the political version of the Middle East's "cooking competition", the Arab countries can be said to have their own talents, some stir-frying, some hot and cold dishes, but when it comes to strategies with Israel, these "chefs" seem to be thinking about the same question: solo or teamwork?
Behind this seemingly simple but hidden dish, each country has its own little abacus, perhaps for a long-term seat at the Middle Eastern table. Some Arab countries seem to be veterans of a cooking competition, seemingly united with each other, but in reality they have their own agendas. Behind the scenes, they may be planning a coup d'état in the kitchen industry to try to pull down other competitors.
The same is true of the tactics of Israel, chanting solidarity while secretly tweaking its own recipes in the hope of dominating the art of chefs in the Middle East. In this case, Israel becomes the customer who doesn't know who will suddenly change the recipe, ready to deal with any new flavors that may arise.
However, the Palestinian people are like forgotten dishwashers in the corner of the kitchen, longing for their voices to be heard, and their efforts to help themselves are gradually fermenting under the attention of the international community, trying to gain a place for themselves.
Their situation is not only a litmus test of the unity of the Arab world, but also the focus of the policy game of various countries. In this big family, the choices of each member will affect the feng shui of the entire family, and behind the decisions lies a complex family relationship map.
This delicate balancing act is like a piece of delicate dim sum in a high-end restaurant, seemingly harmonious and unified, but in fact each bite has a different taste. This decision-making game among Arab countries is not only about their internal unity and division, but also about the future direction of the entire Middle East region.
What will the judges of this tournament say, the international community and history, will say? Can we really expect a perfect meal of solidarity in such a pressure cooker environment? And how many secret recipes are hidden behind this that we don't know?