2024 National Predictions: Up or Down?
With the end of the 2024 postgraduate entrance examination, the prediction of the national line has become the focus of attention of many candidates and parents. Judging from the situation over the years, the changes in the national line are closely related to factors such as the difficulty of the examination, the number of applicants, the number of people who abandon the examination, and the expansion of the number of places. So, under the special circumstances of this year, what kind of direction will the national line show?
First, let's focus on the number of applicants this year. According to statistics, the number of graduate students has decreased this year, which seems to provide the possibility for the decline of the national line. However, we can't judge the trend of the national line based on the number of applicants alone, as there are many other factors to consider.
The overall difficulty of the exam is an important indicator. This year's Mathematics, English, Comprehensive Western Medicine, Management Joint Entrance Examination and Psychology subjects are more difficult and have a large number of questions, and many candidates report that they cannot complete all the questions within the specified time. If the difficulty is really high, then the national line may be reduced a bit as a result.
In addition, the number of test dropouts is also a factor that cannot be ignored. It is estimated that the number of people who will drop the test this year is around 600,000, and the actual reference number is less than 4 million. This means that the number of people who actually compete has not increased significantly, which also provides a certain possibility of a decline in the national line. Cai Zhangbing's mind map notes the vocabulary of the postgraduate entrance examination 5500, and I wish the candidates to go ashore!
The expansion of enrollment places is also an important factor affecting the national line. More expansion is expected this year, with an increase of 3 to 5 per cent from last year, which will increase candidates' chances of admission. The increase in the number of places to expand the number of students may exert some downward pressure on the national line.
However, we also can't ignore some factors that may contribute to the rise of the national line. For example, for some popular majors or highly competitive majors, due to the high quality of candidates and fierce competition, the national line may be increased accordingly.
To sum up, considering factors such as the decline in the number of applicants, the high difficulty of the examination, the large number of abandonments, and the increase in the number of enrollment places, the national threshold for this year's graduate examination is likely to be reduced. But this still needs to wait for the specific information released by the official to determine.
For candidates, regardless of whether the national line is rising or falling, they need to carefully prepare for the re-examination and improve their competitiveness. It is recommended that students evaluate their scores as soon as possible and prepare for the re-examination according to last year's national line. At the same time, it is also necessary to pay attention to the enrollment policies of various institutions, understand the enrollment expansion, and plan for your future.
Regardless of the final national line, I believe that every candidate will find their own wonderful on the road in the future. I wish all candidates a smooth pass of the re-examination and realize their dreams!