The civil war between the Burmese government army and the Kokang National Alliance Army was caused by the Qing government's inability to cede land and make compensation. You heard it right, this is indeed a hidden danger buried by the incompetence of the Qing government. If you don't believe me, listen to my detailed explanation and analysis, The sudden outbreak of war in the Kokang region of northern Myanmar is purely an accident and more like a surprise within an accident. Since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war, there seems to be a bit of an unusual peace in the world. From regional security to financial economics, it seems that there is no quiet place on earth. A small armed guerrilla force in the region dared to confront the regular army of Burma. It sounds a bit like a rhythm of death, but it's surprising that so far, the Burmese army has failed and lost three towns. Doesn't that sound like a surprise? Government forces are so vulnerable. From an outsider's point of view, what does this have to do with the Qing government?
Kokang was once the region of ethnic minorities on the border of southwest China, and originally belonged to the Yunnan region of the mainland. In the 18th century, a group of Han Chinese immigrants became a local power in the Kegan Mountains, and were later given the title of hereditary Kokang Tu County, which pledged their allegiance to the Qing government. Later, some people thought that the Han people in the Kokang area were the family members who fled to the Kokang area after the defeat of Wu Sangui, the king of Pingxi, and at first this place had no name at all, and the Qing government sent officials to inspect this place and found that there were only nine families here. Hence the name Kokang. Kokang means nine families in the Dai language, Guo is the meaning of nine, and dare is the meaning of people, which together is the meaning of nine households. It was not until the end of the 19th century, that is, in 1897, that Britain forced the Qing government to sign the Sino-British Treaty of Renewal of Burma, which included the Kokang region in British Burma, and after the Sino-Burmese border was fully demarcated in 1962, Kokang officially belonged to Burma. If there had not been a treaty of humiliation at that time, would there still be so many telecom fraud bases in northern Myanmar? Where else is there such a thing as a waist? Am I wrong about something?
As for the outbreak of armed conflict in northern Myanmar, it is like local warlords fighting for territory. However, this time, Peng Deren, the Kokang Alliance, gave the reason and slogan of eradicating wire fraud and eliminating drugs, which is a bit like a nominee, proving to the outside world that he is peace-loving and hopes for national unity and armed reunification. Even more interestingly, he found a large number of weapons in the forest. It's incredible, you can pick up a bunch of weapons for no reason. Or rather, I have a strong backing behind me. The backing here should be marked with double quotation marks, and more importantly, Peng Deren avenged his father and recaptured his own. First of all, Kokang is nominally under the administration of Shan State, but there is a lot of armed activity in the area. Among them, Wa State and Mongla have been fighting against the Burmese government army for many years. Therefore, the local armed division in Shan State is very serious, and strictly speaking, Myanmar is not a completely unified country. Similar to the early days of the Nationalist government's rule, if the local government does not receive good treatment from the central government, it is very likely that it will break away from the administration and establish an independent state at any time. It is only because the international community only recognizes the legitimacy of the Myanmar government, otherwise Myanmar would have been torn apart.
Kokang is the most special of all the regions in Myanmar, and all the people here speak Chinese. There is no language at all with the rest of Myanmar. It has never been integrated into the Burmese ethnic group. Therefore, the people in this area of Kokang do not agree with the Burmese government, let alone patriotism. Peng Jiasheng, who has always claimed to be Chinese and belongs to the Han nationality, is the founder of the Kokang National Democratic Alliance. Former Chairman of the First Special Region Government of Shan State, Myanmar, known as the King of Kokang. In November 1992, Peng Jiasheng fought with Yang Maoliang in order to seize military power. Later, his subordinates also betrayed him, which is now the four major families of Kokang. The four major families in the Kokang region are the Bai Suocheng family, the Wei Chaoren family, the Liu Abao family and the Liu Guoxi family.
- Bai Socheng family: Bai Socheng was the chairman of Myanmar's Kokang Autonomous Region, and his son, Bai Yingneng, opened a Yum Group, which focused on gambling. The Bai family used their power to develop their influence into the economic field, and their family member Bai Yingcang, who served as the deputy director of the Finance Bureau in the Kokang Autonomous Region, and was involved in telecommunications fraud, accumulated a lot of economic wealth, and ruined the families of many victims.
- Wei Chaoren's family: Wei Chaoren was once the chairman of the Kokang Communist Party, and his brother Wei Huairen also held military positions. The Wei family currently controls the border battalion in the Kokang region. Although the strength in politics and economy is not as strong as that of the Bai family, the Wei family has a lot of say in the military field. Wei Chaoren's daughter, Wei Rong, runs the Henry Group, which is ostensibly mainly engaged in hotels, real estate and jewelry, but the main economic pillar behind it is actually telecom fraud.
- Liu Abao Family: The Liu family, led by Liu Abao, is now the richest man in the Kokang region of Myanmar, inferior to the Bai and Wei families in terms of politics and military power.
- Liu Guoxi Family: The Liu Guoxi family is relatively weak compared to the other three families, but its influence in the region is mainly minerals. Liu Guoxi mainly has some important mineral resources in northern Myanmar.
These four have reached a tacit understanding with the Burmese military in private, which is equivalent to the umbrella of the triad. So before that, telecom fraud in Myanmar was like a cancer, and it was not completely eliminated at all. Peng Deren is well-known as a teacher, both internationally and domestically. This time, it is reasonable to send troops to eliminate the four major families, if the Burmese government army sends troops to eliminate Peng Deren. Let the outside world think that the Myanmar government is shielding these telecom fraudsters and organizations. The international image of the Myanmar government will be affected, which will make the Myanmar government very passive. Whether it is Peng Deren avenging his father, or fighting for territory. At its core, they are all for their own political values and interests. Of course, the political values and interests here are likely to serve the Kokang people. Whatever the reason, many people are willing to see these telecom scams eradicated. The outcome is likely to be based on negotiations, and if the Burmese government does not succeed, it is likely that it will eventually recognize the status of the NLD. At that time, the administration of the Kokang region will be redivided, and the power of the four major families may be wiped out. Of course, I hope my prophecy will come true.