At present, this year's No. 14 typhoon Puppy is affecting the mainland, causing the suspension of classes in many primary and secondary schools in Guangdong, and Hong Kong has also issued a black rainstorm warning. At present, this year's No. 14 Typhoon Puppy and No. 11 Typhoon Anemone have also affected Guangdong, Hong Kong and other places in the mainland, but as far as the current situation is concerned, the impact is not as large as that of anemone. When the anemone landed in Guangdong, it brought continuous heavy rainfall and broke historical rainfall records. According to the latest official news, Typhoon "Little Dog" weakened to a strong tropical storm. However, it should be noted that Typhoon Bravan on the 15th may become the wind king.
Here is the latest news on Typhoon Bravan No. 15
According to the latest weather forecast, this year's No. 15 typhoon "Bravan" formed at 5 a.m. on October 8 southeast of Saipan, Guam, and will gradually increase in intensity or become the wind king. The following is the probability forecast map for the next 120 hours of Typhoon Blavan No. 15:
1. Path storm level on October 9: 25m/s at 05:00, 10 strong tropical storm; 17:30m/s, Category 11 severe tropical storm.
2. Path storm level on October 10: 05:33m/s, 12 strong tropical storm; 17:35m/s, Category 12 severe tropical storm.
3. Path storm level on October 11: 05:35m/s, 12 severe tropical storm.
4. Path storm on October 12: 05:48m/s, 15 strong tropical storm.
5. Path storm on October 13: 52m/s at 05 hours, 16 severe tropical storm.
In summary, Typhoon Blavan No. 15, which formed from the morning of October 8, will gradually strengthen in the next few days, and will reach a Category 16 severe tropical storm by 5 am on October 13. However, this is only a forecast of its future forecast, which is subject to the actual storm level. Because tropical storm magnitude can be affected by SST, ocean heat, wind shear (changes in vertical wind speed), humidity, and many other factors.
Why do you say that Typhoon Bravan or become the wind king?
Because according to the forecast map, Typhoon Bravan No. 15 can reach the super typhoon level at its strongest, with a maximum wind speed of 70-75m/s. And according to the latest forecast of the previous meteorological station, a moderate El Niño event will form this fall, so it is necessary to pay attention to the direction of the subsequent typhoon Bravan.
Regarding the direction of Typhoon Bravan, some experts analyze that it may go to Japan, and some people analyze that it may make landfall on the coast of Guangdong on the mainland, both of which are possible. But it is still operating at sea level, and it is not known which direction it will go next.
Anyway, before any typhoon comes, it may be the wind king. However, it is also possible that this typhoon is not powerful and has no impact on the mainland, and it may turn urgently later, affecting the mainland coast, bringing strong winds and heavy rain.
What is the path of Typhoon Bravan No. 15?
This year's No. 15 typhoon Bravan is expected to move westward at a speed of 10-15 kilometers per hour in a northwesterly direction. Based on forecasts of this speed and direction, meteorological services can issue alerts and recommendations to ensure that people in affected areas take appropriate measures to protect life and property.
Regarding the path of Typhoon Blavan No. 15, it is recommended that everyone pay attention to the warnings and recommendations of the local meteorological department at any time.
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