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China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

author:Snow Sea asked

There is a law in physics textbooks called the "law of conservation of energy", energy in nature, can neither be created out of thin air nor disappear out of thin air, can only be transmitted from one object to another, or transformed from one form to another.

In the same way, the funds in the stock market are also conserved, for short-term speculation, how much money comes in, only so many funds can go out, funds will not come out of thin air, that is, in this stock, only someone makes money and goes, then the rest of the others must lose money on average, as long as someone earns money, then someone must lose.

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

In practice, it is true that in a stock, most people's positions show how much they have already made a profit. But this is just a number, not real money, if everyone wants to cash out these profits together, then the stock will definitely plummet, because the capital is conserved, it will not be generated out of thin air, there are so many funds in this stock, it is impossible for everyone to cash out the floating profit into real real money. Therefore, when there is floating profit, we must be the first to drop the bag when everyone realizes that they should drop the bag for safety, and if they are slow, they will become the last payer.

I have been speculating in stocks for sixteen years, and I have been doing stocks full-time for ten years, my assets are tens of millions, I take out 7/80,000 yuan from the stock market every month, I feel that there is no impact, life is leisurely, free, there is no deception, intrigue, and live the life I want.

Get up every morning to send the children to school first, and then come back to make their own breakfast, eat about 9:00 it, open the computer, summarize yesterday's transaction records into their own trading system, and then gather bidding to start staring at the market, looking for opportunities, ants moving, small amount T, I generally operate 10 stocks at the same time in my hand, 9:30 to 10:50 in the morning is generally the busiest, the afternoon transaction is light, there are not many opportunities to do T, mobile phone operation can be solved, if the transaction is light I will not stare at the computer, rest your eyes. After 15:00, I usually go for a run in the park or woodland, then pick up the children from school, go home, sometimes make my own dinner, sometimes order takeaway. In the evening, I generally don't look at stocks, and spend more time sharing and answering questions.

If the transaction is light or unilaterally falling, and there is no opportunity to operate, I will drive to the wild mountains and ponds to fish, as long as there is a mobile phone signal, I can do stocks while fishing, very comfortable. In short, freedom.

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

Stock trading does not have to be too complicated, the dumbest, easiest way, but can make you easily compound interest!

The most important technique for stock trading in China is capital preservation, but you think it is profit

There are fish and fisheries who know two top masters who have not tasted defeat in the capital market for 20 years, and their common feature is that they often quote Buffett's phrase - the two most important principles for stocks: one is capital preservation, and the other is to remember the first one.

From an operational point of view, breaking the position to reduce positions, stop loss and liquidation - the two most important techniques of stock speculation are often forgotten, most people pay 99% of their attention to buying good stocks, and rarely consider the problem of "good ending", which is the most fatal weakness of retail investors and many retail institutions. Almost 90% of the victims are caused by no stop loss, and there was a chance to escape.

Therefore, the stability and security of funds is the first requirement for our stock speculation, and only by looking at our own money bags can we have enough energy to earn other people's money.

Three ultra-practical tips for stock trading funds and position management:

First, determine the funds entering the market according to the nature of the broader market. 90% of the funds are used in bull markets; 50% of funds are used in volatile markets; 30% of funds are used in bear markets, etc.

Second, the opening capital is determined according to the reward/risk ratio of the trading partner. For individual stocks, when the risk < the return, you can intervene in time, or even increase your position; when the risk > the return, you cannot intervene, and even consider reducing your position; When risk = return, there is no need to enter the market, if there are stocks, you can continue to hold shares.

Third, control positions according to the investor's trading style. Different investors have different trading styles, and naturally look at different trading opportunities to open, increase, decrease, close positions and other actions, so their liquid positions can be effectively controlled.

In fact, the essence of the capital market is capital redistribution, and the highest realm is the contest of mentality. Most people have to overcome themselves, and it is possible to avoid detours if they can realize their weaknesses as soon as possible! Venture capital is not all gambling, but it has a serious nature of this kind, playing is the mentality, when you win, you should be bold, and when you lose, you should be willing to give up. It's nothing remarkable about making money on the market, and it's only great to see if you lose money on the market and then place an order.

He did not lose in profitability, but died in a big loss and was reluctant to cut, always fantasizing that he could survive it. Allowing yourself to make mistakes and being able to control your losses should be the ultimate goal. It's hard to overcome myself, and I think it's more realistic to understand my faulty thoughts and avoid them. Only do your own sure of the market, do not have to think so complicated, simple and effective. Find the right method according to your own characteristics, you can live in the market for a long time, discipline and mentality control are more important than technical improvement.

The boy is alive, he promises to throw the ground, he should splash blood to go to the appointment, but speculate in the market, and the competition is the skill of giving up, and it seems that it is better not to be too persistent. Any time you forget to respect the market, you will make a big mistake. What kind of strategy and tactics to adopt in different market environments is the key to long-term success.

Profit for many years only look at the "time-sharing chart", simple but very profitable

For market tick charts, using intraday information to determine the strength of individual stocks and markets is the key to short-term trading. We must not only analyze the strength and weakness characteristics of individual stocks, but also operate in combination with market operation. Today, we will analyze how to use market patterns to understand the independence and strength of individual stocks.

1. Location with the average price line:

Rough analysis, the stock price runs above the average price line, which is the advantage of many parties; Conversely, the bears prevail. However, in many cases, the conclusions of this analysis are not correct. This is because we did not go one step further to understand the subtle relationship between ticks and averages. Below we explain how to better play the short-term role of the average price line through several general specific position relationships.

1. The fall does not depend on the average price line

This means that the tick line runs strongly above the average price line, always keeping a certain distance from the average price line, and the short-term fall of the stock price falls back when it is not close to the average price line and has a certain distance from it, and it begins to rise again. In general, this pattern is a signal that buying is abundant and that bullish forces are clearly superior. In this case, as long as the short-term rise of individual stocks is not large, the subsequent short-term market is worth looking forward to.

Morphological characteristics:

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

As shown in Figure 1-1, in the time-sharing chart of Yuetai shares, in early trading, the stock price is attached above the average price line, but around midday, the stock price trend is significantly enhanced, and it always keeps a certain distance from the average price line, even when there is a wave of rapid decline in the broader market adjustment, the stock price does not touch the average price line. This is a typical handicap strong tick chart. From the daily K-line chart, the stock has a small short-term gain, and is at the consolidation breakthrough point. This tick chart may indicate that the breakout market will unfold and is a short-term buy signal.

2. The time-sharing line is bonded to the average price line

The time-sharing line is bonded to the average price line, which means that the tick line fluctuates around the average price line in a small way, or the tick line runs above the average price line, but is very close to the average price line, almost bonded together.

We know that for individual stocks with more active stocks, the operation mode of stock prices is "either rising or falling", the high point of the stock price cannot be maintained, and the most effective way to maintain the previous rise can only be to let it rise again. This kind of market pattern appears at the intraday high, which mostly represents the weakness of the bulls, and the short-term profit selling pressure is relatively large. This is the case for short-term trading, which should be a sell operation.

Morphological characteristics:

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

As shown in Figure 1-2, in the time-sharing chart of Huamao shares, the stock price rose sharply in early trading that day, showing a breakthrough trend, falling back at the intraday high, and the tick line was attached to the average price line. This bonding pattern indicates that the multi-sided upward offensive force is no longer enough. Although the daily candlestick closes the breakout type of long white candle, the market pattern indicates that this breakout is more likely to return. During the operation, investors should pay attention to the risks and should not chase up and buy.

3. Average price line selling method

The first type is the selling method of pulling up the end of the low opening high and going high and the rising wave

【Technical Features】

First, at the end of the rally, there were many waves in the morning, but there was an obvious false rise waveform, and the signs of volume and price divergence were significant.

Second, the quantity is not good, the stock price turns downward, falls wave by wave, and falls below the average price line. As shown in the following figure.

Third, although the bulls repeatedly tried to attack, they had no choice but to sell fiercely, and finally failed to recover the average price line.

Fourth, this is a typical selling signal, and the inability to recover the average price line at the end of the day indicates that the bulls have given up holding their ground, and the future market will be mainly down. Investors should sell immediately at the end of the session, or choose to sell at the high point of the session the next day.

【Actual Combat Atlas】

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

Schematic diagram of the selling method of opening low and high pole at the end of the rise

The second is the selling method of pulling up the end of the high and opening low

【Technical Features】

First, at the end of the rise, the stock price opened high and then made a slight feint, turned down, and began to kill wildly. As shown in the following figure.

Second, the intraday stock price quickly fell below the average price line, the rebound was weak, and it quickly dived again, and the shipment was eager, which can be seen.

Third, the end of the day is crazy again. Fire sale regardless of cost!

Fourth, operationally. Investors need to immediately find a high point to sell. The fierce shipment method of the main force indicates that the stock price will plummet, or there will be a hidden weight, and it is necessary to decisively exit at this time.

【Actual Combat Atlas】

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

Schematic diagram of the selling method of opening high and low at the end of the rise

The third pull-up terminal flat open low waterfall wave selling method

【Technical Features】

First, at the end of the rally, after the stock price opened flat, it fell all the way down, with almost no resistance. As shown in the following figure.

Second, there was almost a unilateral downward trend throughout the day, and even if there was an occasional rebound, it did not have the ability to cross the average price line.

Third, this is a typical bearish market, indicating that the main force gives up the protective market and allows the stock price to fall.

Fourth, in operation, investors should combine the phased position of the stock price to analyze the main force's trading intention, if it is already in the end of the rally, the main force is undoubtedly shipped, to sell in time, return funds.

【Actual Combat Atlas】

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

Second, the upward breakthrough platform:

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

Upward breakout platform - refers to a trend in which the stock price line breaks upwards through the platform formed during the previous sideways consolidation. The trading volume in the platform area is small, and the stock price does not fall below the moving average, and fluctuates close to the moving average. The average price line must cross the highest point of the platform upwards.

Third, the opening fell sharply:

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

Sharp opening - refers to the trend of the stock price opening significantly lower or falling by more than 5% in a relatively short period of time after the opening. Do not think of the lowest point of the sharp fall as the best buying point, the best buying point should be the price when the stock price line rises after the lowest point, if you can quickly break through the moving average, the pullback is a buying opportunity.

4. Quick detonation buying method:

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

III. Principle of time-sharing trading:

1. Look for opportunities to sell high in the morning, and look for opportunities for low sucking at 2:30 at the end of the day;

2. Pulse type rapid pull-up is a high throwing opportunity, and a low suction opportunity when panic diving;

3. The highest red column of MACD red wave is a high throw opportunity, and the highest green column of a green wave is a low absorption opportunity;

4. Falling below the average price line, that is, the yellow line retracement is a selling opportunity, rising above the average price line, that is, the yellow line stepping back is a buying opportunity 5. Not buying well, after buying, again find that there is still room for decline, decisively stop loss and admit mistakes.

Investors want to make a lot of money in the stock market, but as an investment, there are inevitable losses if they make money, and the proportion of losses is often relatively large. Perhaps some investors believe that making money in the stock market is nothing more than buying low and selling high, and then repeating the operation, you can continue to make profits. This seems to make sense and is true. However, this is not the case, many times often buy not the low point but sell at the low point; I didn't sell when I should have sold, and I didn't buy when I should have bought. Being able to grasp a stock at the right time can save a lot of time for trial and error.

The high-end area after the breakout of the limit was strongly consolidated

Description of the pattern: After the stock broke through the previous consolidation trend for a long time in the form of a limit board, there was a strong sideways trend in the staged high-end area after the breakout that did not fall back to the previous consolidation area.

This pattern is the embodiment of the bookmaker's strong willingness to go long, and it is also a real and effective signal for the breakthrough of the individual stock price limit board, and the strong consolidation area after this breakthrough can be regarded as the area where the bookmaker accumulates strength for the subsequent pull-up, and short-term stock buying operations can be done at this time.

Individual stock practice:

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

As shown in Figure 1-1 is the Shanghai 900 (600838) chart, this stock has a long-term consolidation shock trend at the position where the cumulative increase on the way up is not large. Subsequently, it broke through this area in the form of a limit board, and after the breakout, there was a strong consolidation shock, not falling back to the previous consolidation area, at this time short-term stock buying operations can be actively carried out.

China's stock market: written for retail investors who are so ups and downs, after reading to understand why the stock market is still losing!

Figure 1-2 shows the trend chart of New Agricultural Development (600359), and this stock broke through the long-term consolidation area in the early stage in the form of a limit board. Subsequently, there was a wide range of volatility in the high-end area after the breakthrough of the limit board, but it did not fall back to the previous consolidation area, and the wide-range volatility trend in the high-grade area after the breakthrough was due to the deep adjustment of the broader market in the same period. It can be seen that even if there is a deep correction in the broader market, this stock can still show a strong consolidation in the high-end area after the breakout, which highlights the willingness of the bookmaker to go long. Therefore, in the real operation, short-term stock buying operations should be actively carried out, and the subsequent short-term upward momentum and strength of this stock is also very strong.

There is a thin layer of window paper in the stock market, and it is more difficult for shareholders who understand it to lose money in the end. Basically, it can be doubled every year on average, as long as it is not a huge amount of funds.

And what about shareholders who don't have a thorough understanding? Basically, it belongs to carrying the weight on the profitable river, obviously seeing fish in the river, but no matter how hard you try, you just can't catch it! Or catch it today, catch it tomorrow, but the day after tomorrow the fish will all run away, and often lose some of the accessories of the fishing rod.

The ultra-short-term stock pattern I hold, for your reference:

First, the total market value and circulating market value are in the range of 23~2.4 billion.

Second, the continuous adjustment time period is more than five days.

Third, whether it is from the daily K line or from the weekly K line, it belongs to the starting point of stepping back to the previous volume rise.

Fourth, the daily turnover rate is below the range of 0.618 and 0.382 compared to the maximum volume in the short term.

Fifth, the MACD technical indicator appeared in the green bar for the first time after the continuous red bar.

Sixth, the KDJ technical indicator shows signs of divergence for the first time from the daily candlestick.

Seventh, the Bollinger Bands technical indicator needs to be at the position of the previous low, and it is between the second and third lines.

Similar pattern structure and technical indicators are located in the position, which belongs to the basic conditions of the super SMS pattern.

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