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The recent heated discussion about ChatGPT has come from, but where does this phenomenon come from? Does ChatGPT really have potential, or is it pure hype? Before we explore ChatGPT, let's review the history of human technology.
In the 18th century, the advent of the steam engine liberated mankind from dependence on human power, ushering in an unprecedented technological revolution. In the 19th century, the widespread application of electric technology and the internal combustion engine marked the beginning of the world's entry into the electric age, exceeding the limits of human physical strength. The third scientific and technological revolution in the 20th century has made great achievements in atomic energy, aerospace, computers, molecular biology and other fields, one of the most significant of which is the rise and popularization of the Internet, which has greatly improved information processing capabilities and realized the replacement of simple mental work.
It can be seen from these historical events that the scientific and technological revolution is an extension of human beings, from manpower to machines, from physical strength to brain power, from simple calculation to massive computing, from a single field to full flowering, the development of human science and technology has been constantly expanding.
After the third technological revolution, since the 21st century, there has been various speculations about the next wave of global innovation, which may be artificial intelligence, energy, quantum computing or biotechnology? The advent of ChatGPT has led us to speculate that a new wave of innovation is likely to explode in the field of artificial intelligence first.
So why is ChatGPT considered an epoch-making work?
ChatGPT is simply a large language model developed by OpenAI, which trains a large amount of text data to generate text, which can understand and generate human language, can have natural conversations, interact according to context, and behave like humans.
Specifically, ChatGPT is a chatbot that feels very fluid to talk to, has extensive knowledge, can write slogans, testimonials, fix bugs, write programs, and has excellent logical thinking and emotional intelligence.
People who have struggled with "artificial intellectual disabilities" may be better able to appreciate how rare these features of ChatGPT are. All thanks to the algorithms and powerful computing power behind ChatGPT, as well as the support of large-scale datasets. This is not difficult to understand: if all the texts currently available are used for AI training, in theory, the AI will have unlimited learning potential, and may eventually become a collection of all human knowledge, ancient and modern.
According to Guotai Junan's research report, ChatGPT's parameters for machine learning training have reached a huge 175 billion, and the amount of pre-training data has reached 45TB, and these numbers are constantly growing.
What's more, GPT is generative artificial intelligence that not only "copy and paste," but also create information that has never existed before. Remember the popularity of AI painting last year? It now appears that generative AI has made huge strides in the quality, logic, and security of generated content, and can be applied to areas as diverse as text, images, code, video, 3D modeling, and games.
Therefore, it is foreseeable that in the future, ChatGPT may have multiple abilities such as writers, painters, musicians, programmers, and even lawyers, translators, and teachers. This is exactly the embodiment of from human to machine, from simple calculation to mass computing, from single field to full flowering. All this makes ChatGPT an epoch-making work.
Then, before ChatGPT became popular, the AI field was silent in the investment community for a while, mainly because the intelligence of AI was not enough, the application scenarios were limited, and it was difficult to really land.
However, putting aside the hot spot and returning to reality, does ChatGPT have great potential in the business field?
It can be seen that ChatGPT has realized the transformation from auxiliary indexing to content generation, which greatly improves the efficiency of content creators and provides inspiration for their thinking and creation. Therefore, ChatGPT is perfectly suited for those areas that require a lot of repetitive work, either directly for creators and for search engines. Microsoft has already taken action on this front, not only by starting charging for ChatGPT, but also by announcing that Bing Search will integrate ChatGPT. This could mark an important inflection point for ChatGPT to truly move towards adoption.
Domestically, Baidu is developing a ChatGPT-like product called "Wen Xin Yiyan", which plans to complete the internal beta and open it to the public in March. 360 also issued an announcement claiming that the company's ChatGPT technology has surpassed GPT-2 in various indicators. In addition, social platforms like Zhihu, which integrate a lot of data, help A
Training and development of IGC models. As Microsoft showed in its new version of Bing Search, released on February 8, many of the answers to the questions answered on its Chinese webpage came from Zhihu. This shows the potential of social media and knowledge-sharing platforms to advance AI.
In addition, in the fields of chatbots, office software and AIGC, China's ChatGPT products may be the first to achieve commercial applications. However, as an emerging technology, ChatGPT still has some problems, including insufficient accuracy, professionalism and real-time, as well as high development and operational costs.
But it is foreseeable that in the future, with the continuous iteration and improvement of algorithms, these problems will be solved. OpenAI once noted, "The computing power required for advanced AI doubles every three and a half months." "Therefore, the increase in computing power will provide strong support for the further development of ChatGPT."
On the other hand, domestic technology companies still have gaps in some aspects, such as the computing power of a single chip is not as good as that of Europe and the United States. However, domestic technology companies have rich local data, and through the formation of multiple computing clusters and continuous iterative improvement, they are expected to narrow the gap in computing power, which is still worth looking forward to.
It should be noted that since the popularity of ChatGPT, some investment varieties in the field of computer and artificial intelligence have attracted attention. However, we can also go a step further and take the computer industry, which has not attracted much attention for two years as part of the tech sector, but still has a lot of potential in the long run. The rapid growth of the smart car field, the recovery of industry profits and the rise of the information and innovation field have brought more opportunities to the computer industry.
In short, there are hot spots in the short term, but in the long run, there are still many opportunities in the field of computing and artificial intelligence, and the overall valuation is not yet too high. For investors who are optimistic about the application of AI-related technologies in China, they can pay attention to Tianhong CSI Artificial Intelligence Fund, which includes leading domestic artificial intelligence enterprises such as iFLYTEK, Desay SV, NavInfo, and Cobos. For investment opportunities in the computer sector, on-market investors can pay attention to computer ETFs, and over-the-counter investors can consider paying attention to Tianhong CSI Computer Thematic ETF Link, which is one of the largest computer index funds on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange with low fees and clear logic. It should be noted that investment is risky, market fluctuations please be cautious, it is recommended to read the relevant documents of the fund carefully before purchasing.
In summary, the emergence of ChatGPT represents an important milestone in the field of artificial intelligence, which may lead to the next wave of innovation. Despite some challenges and issues, ChatGPT's potential is huge, bringing new opportunities and possibilities for both the tech industry and the investment sector. In the near future, we may see ChatGPT play an important role in various fields, bringing more innovation and progress to human society.
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