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Erdogan's road to re-election has not been easy. In the first round, he failed to win more than 50% of the vote, and finally won the second round. The re-election, while not dangerous, has set off a political firestorm that forces people to think about what Erdogan will do to stabilize his regime.
First, Turkey has adopted a positive attitude towards Kosovo. Despite the unanimous call by NATO members to ease tensions in Kosovo, Turkey has boldly increased its troops in support of the NATO Kosovo Force in order to maintain the security of Kosovo's residents.
This raises some questions as to whether NATO's surge is really aimed at easing the situation, or is it aimed at strengthening control over Kosovo. There may be two reasons why Turkey is so active in cooperating with NATO.
First, Turkey emphasizes that it is a member of NATO and is trying to make overtures to the West. Despite Turkey's tense relations with the West in recent years, Erdogan understands that confrontation with the West will be detrimental to his long-term plans to govern. Turkey's complex conflict of interests with Russia also prevents it from becoming an ally of Russia. Therefore, Erdogan needs to restore relations with the West as soon as possible in exchange for support and trust.
Second, Turkey is trying to increase its influence in European affairs. Despite Turkey's failure to join the EU, it has always considered itself a European country and maintained ties with Europe. Turkey, which has played a mediating role in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, now that tensions in the Balkans have once again given Turkey an opportunity. As a member of NATO, Turkey hopes to take this opportunity to increase its voice in European affairs.
Secondly, Turkey has taken a notable economic step by raising tolls in the Black Sea straits. Located on a key access from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean, Turkey holds the enormous economic benefits of this geographical advantage.
Recently, Turkey announced an 8% increase in tolls for the Bosphorus and Dardanelles, which will bring Turkey's revenue from strait passage to $900 million this year. The move appears to be aimed at underscoring Turkey's control over the two straits, especially as tensions between Ukraine and Russia escalate and the Black Sea route becomes crucial. Turkey's key role in Ukraine's grain export agreement also gives it a special voice on the international stage.
Finally, the Turkish government has also pledged to take measures to curb inflation. Turkey's inflation rate has been high for a long time, but it has recently retreated.
This change is mainly affected by energy prices, and Turkey's ability to obtain cheap energy from Russia is expected to continue to reduce inflation. The Turkish government said it would make progress in investment, employment, production and exports, and would pay special attention to inflation. These measures indicate that Turkey plans to exert efforts in the energy sector to further reduce the economic pressure caused by inflation.
To sum up, Erdogan's re-election is not only an electoral victory, but also means that the Turkish government will take a series of important steps in foreign affairs, economy and domestic affairs to consolidate its regime and increase its international influence.