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This article provides an in-depth analysis of the recent developments in the South China Sea, showing the complex attitude of the United States and China's resolute response. Let's dive into this situation and what the future might hold.
Tensions between the United States and China have escalated again in the recent South China Sea incidents. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken visited China, and despite face-to-face exchanges, the positions of the two sides were actually clearer. The biggest consensus is to continue to maintain the future of communication, while each continues to perform tasks according to its own schedule.
However, the actual actions of the United States are not consistent with rhetorical promises. On the first day after Blinken left China, the U.S. Navy's USS Reagan was still operating in the South China Sea. The formation crossed the Bass Strait into the South China Sea and then headed south to approach islands and reefs that China effectively controls. Worryingly, satellite images showed 10 warships around, including at least six PLA warships surrounding the USS Reagan.
This confrontation, while not yet leading to military conflict, constitutes a grey area before it erupts. Close-track and anti-tracking can lead to miscalculations and even accidental conflicts. Therefore, despite China's constant calls for the re-establishment of the military hotline, the United States has continued to provoke, resulting in the military hotline still not being restored.
The deterrence policy and counter-deterrence policy of the United States have also attracted attention. It is worth noting that Blinken was visiting Beijing when the US aircraft carrier "Reagan" approached Scarborough Shoal. This suggests contradictory U.S. actions to send aircraft carriers to the South China Sea while pretending to resupply Philippine warships in an attempt to test the situation before it escalates.
The reason behind this behavior is the arrogance of the United States, which believes that they do not need restraint because other countries are weaker and cannot confront the United States. However, China is well aware of the distrustless nature of the United States, so it has taken actions to track down and surround the USS Reagan, thereby weakening the United States' deterrent.
At present, the aircraft carrier Reagan continues to move south, and the possible target is near Ren'ai Jiao. For the stranded Philippine warship, the United States has not yet clarified whether its status is within the scope of the U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty. However, their actions indicate that they are trying to strengthen their presence in the South China Sea. China has taken a cautious approach and is ready to respond to various possible provocations.
Finally, the Philippines should be soberly aware of the tension of the current situation. They should evacuate the ship's personnel as soon as possible and ask China for assistance in dealing with the ship, which has been in place for 24 years. That would be the best way to maintain the "dignity" of both sides and resolve the dispute peacefully. In the current tense climate, any wrong decision can lead to irreversible consequences.
In short, the situation in the South China Sea between China and the United States remains complex and requires all parties to remain calm and avoid further escalation. The two sides should reaffirm the importance of dialogue and diplomatic settlement of disputes to ensure peace and stability in the region.
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