preface
In today's changing world, all parties have begun to play games, and this tense atmosphere has caused tension in the world.
The official release of the United States has attracted widespread attention from people around the world, the United States and France have built a military base in Niger, and Russia is preparing for military operations.
What does Russia's move mean? What exactly is it trying to do?
First, France decided to go to war and waited for the order of the United States
U.S. news reports say that the United States and France have military bases in Niger, and the Wagner Group affiliated with Russia also deploys military forces in Niger and Mali.
On the French side, there are three countries such as Côte d'Ivoire, Senegal and Bell willing to participate in this military operation authorized by ECOWAS, while on the Niger side, there are also two countries that have undergone a military coup, Mali and Burkina Faso have also expressed support for the official government of Niger.
The French-backed security commissioner for the ECOWAS State, Abdelfatau Moussa, has publicly stated that a "date of intervention" has been set for Niger and that as soon as the order is given and the United States agrees, the troops will immediately carry out the order and rush to Niger.
Now France has begun to be anxious, as one of the five permanent members, if it loses the territory of Africa, France will regress into a second-rate country, but France's current military strength is not enough to win in a short period of time, so France also depends on the face of the United States and asks him to send troops to help him.
In order to consolidate its military position in Africa, the United States has found excuses to establish two military drone bases in the Niger region, and the strength of the United States in Africa cannot be underestimated, and France was a former colonial power with more than two dozen African countries.
In the African continent has a strong military capability and influence, Niger is France's most important energy source, known as France's "energy station", France's largest source of energy is nuclear energy, the French want to have light, they have built a super number of nuclear power plants, Niger produces uranium is a particularly urgent resource for France, so the importance of Niger is self-evident.
France's investment in Žinier is very large, Niger has a large share of many minerals in France, which is also one of France's most important economic resources, if France loses the war, the loss of Niger will cause great turmoil in France, which will not only have a very serious impact on France but also internationally.
Today, the French service force has 8 brigade-level units, including two infantry brigades, two tank brigades, and two light armored brigades, one marine, and one legionary brigade subordinate to France.
The French Navy can dispatch one medium aircraft carrier and three amphibious assault ships and several dock landing ships. Supply ships, transport ships, but France's energy can only support these ships to fight in Africa for a month.
But if you want to control a country as big as Niger, the strength of two brigades in and out of the cave is far from enough, and more than 10,000 people entering Niger, not to mention whether they can defeat Niger, even if they control a country of 126 square kilometers, this is simply not enough.
On average, to 200 square kilometers of land for one person, at least 4 brigades and regiments must be mobilized, and 4 brigades and regiments must use civilian transport ships, in addition to the help of American transport ships and strategic transport aircraft to solve the problem of long-distance combat, France's air force is not strong enough, need American support.
If Niger gives up large-scale warfare and chooses to fight guerrilla warfare and village warfare, it will drag down the French army, not to mention that now Niger has allies in Russia, Iran, Mali and Burkina Faso will enter the war, and things will fundamentally change.
Second, Putin sits and waits for the United States to enter the market
Now Niger has become a separate copy of Russia for Western countries, this incident is a military contest, France, as an ally of the United States, occupies a very important position in Africa, has a very large influence, but as a former colonial power, France's hegemony has long caused dissatisfaction among the locals.
The involvement of foreign forces such as Russia will make the situation in Africa more complicated, which is also a matter that requires the United States and France to weigh the pros and cons, and the situation has also caused great turmoil in the international community, and the international political stage has discussed and studied this matter countless times.
Nowadays, the conflict in West Africa not only affects the local people in Africa, but also has a huge impact on the development and stability of the West African region, and the proxy war will affect the security and stability of the entire West African region.
At this time, Niger's situation is unavoidable, but in the end, regardless of the good or bad results, the international community will be seriously affected, and even subject to huge political influence and geopolitical risks, Niger and other African countries show strong dissatisfaction with Western intervention in African affairs, which involves the exploitation and oppression of African countries by Western countries.
Many African forces are opposed to the demands of foreign armies, and this situation may trigger a series of chain reactions, causing chaos in the international order, etc., causing many adverse effects, and the Niger coup represents that France's security coup in Africa has failed.
It will have a very serious impact on France, a serious threat to France's geopolitical superiority, and the entire European strategy towards Africa will be destroyed, and this incident is not only a conflict, but more of a game, which has become a global focus issue.
If the United States supports France's advance, it will soon crush Niger, but this will cause resistance among the local people, and you can suppress it for a while, but you can't suppress the anger of Niger and other people.
The African continent is very vast, the United States and France cannot solve the anger of the locals at one time, and then they will fall into decades-long security maintenance wars, and the US and French troops will be trapped in the big quagmire of Africa and cannot get out, otherwise this matter has nothing to do with Russia.
Putin only needs to provide a large number of weapons and equipment to African countries, can contain part of the energy of the United States and France, this is a just war against new colonialism and oppression, no one in the world will stand up against it, this is Putin's conspiracy, at this time the Zhinier army surrounded the French base, the gun has been loaded on the brain door, what should France do, online and so on is very urgent?
Third, in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Russia has the upper hand, and NATO wants to lose
Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, everyone knows what is going on in this battle, it is nothing more than the United States in order to curb Russia's development, cultivated Ukraine triggered, NATO alliance is strong, but Russia also has several allies, not afraid of NATO, Russia has a strong strategic resilience, in the face of Ukraine's attack, now has not caused much damage.
Russia has staged many desperate reversals in its history, World War II, Russia showed super strategic resilience in the face of invaders, but NATO countries have underestimated Russia's strong resilience and huge war potential, after all, Russia is known as a fighting nation.
In response to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia restarted the strategic ammunition depot left behind, Russia's huge military-industrial potential was also quickly stimulated, and Russia's huge reserves also became its advantage, becoming the last straw that crushed the camel.
A large number of weapons, tanks, armored vehicles, ammunition were sent to the Russian-Ukrainian front, although Western countries emptied their stocks to support Ukraine, but it is impossible to supply indefinitely, and in the case of limited quantities, compared to Russia, which has reopened its weapons and ammunition depots, Ukraine can not do anything if it wants to counterattack.
epilogue
Now that Niger has risen to fight back, France has long been sitting on pins and needles, but it is France's excesses that have led to the current situation, and if it cannot calm the anger of the West African people, France will face the anger of Africa.