Kissinger as a relatively well-known politician in the history of the United States, many times, his views and speculations are unique, after all, he experienced World War II, the Cold War, witnessed the hegemony of the United States and the Soviet Union, the collapse of the Soviet Union and the rise of China, as an old man who has experienced a century, he has made a bold prediction of the future international situation, he believes that by 2049, a superpower international situation will disappear, when there will be three hegemonic situations in the world, the three countries are China, the United States and India.
China will surpass the United States in many areas.
As an old friend of the Chinese people, Kissinger is very optimistic about China's development prospects, and it is obvious that in recent years, China's rapid development has made great achievements.
At present, China is the world's second largest economy, the overall economic strength has reached 70% of the United States, and far behind the third place Japan, and maintain a rapid development momentum, if there is no accident, then, in the next ten years or even a few years, China's total GDP will surpass the United States, among the world's largest economy.
In terms of industry, compared with the hollowing out of the manufacturing industry, China can be described as a huge advantage, has the reputation of "world factory", and is also the only country in the world with complete industrial categories and huge production capacity, and the products made in China are exported to the world, which is irreplaceable by any country.
Militarily, China's conventional forces have leapt to the second place in the world, and even threw off the United States in some areas, such as hypersonic missiles, China has a waverider warhead DF-17, the US air defense system is difficult to intercept this missile, while the United States, in the development of hypersonic weapons has not made progress. There is also a 10,000-ton drive, and the 0.55 million ton drive equipped by the Chinese Navy can be described as the benchmark of global destroyers, and the similar guided-missile destroyer DDG (X) in the United States is still on the PPT. It's just that in terms of nuclear weapons, China still has a certain gap with the United States and Russia, but this is not a big problem for China with money and technology.
In terms of science and technology, China has also made remarkable achievements, the typical example is the "Tiangong" space station, of course, compared with the United States, there are still some gaps, especially in the field of biomedicine, chips, precision machine tools and so on. However, China's scientific and technological development has also maintained rapid development, and the gap with the United States in terms of overall strength is narrowing. As for culture and other fields, China also maintains its own characteristics, and more and more countries are yearning for and favoring Chinese style.
America will decline, but it will still be strong.
In Kissinger's view, the United States will decline in the coming decades, but its overall strength will remain strong.
At present, there are various problems in the United States, such as serious inflation, high debt, incomplete eradication of racial discrimination, and continuous violence. In Kissinger's view, these are important challenges to U.S. hegemony. In addition, the advantages of the United States in economy, science and technology, culture and so on have gradually been lost.
Even so, the United States is still strong, quite simply, the United States ensures the stability of the three pillars of hegemony - military hegemony, financial hegemony, and scientific and technological hegemony.
In recent years, the annual defense budget expenditure has been above $800 billion, the United States has the world's most powerful military, a large number of military bases around the world, and a large number of allies, who challenge the military hegemony of the United States, it will not hesitate to suppress. Therefore, in most of the wars around the world, the United States is present.
Financial hegemony, this self-evident, although challenged by the euro, the dollar is still the most stable currency in the world, and the financial giants of Wall Street in the United States will use it to harvest around the world.
As for technological hegemony, the United States has the largest number of technology companies in the world, with Google, Apple, Oracle and other companies on the civilian side, and giants such as Lockheed Martin, Boeing, and Raytheon in the military, in order to develop science and technology, these companies have offered huge remuneration to attract global talents to work. Therefore, the United States will decline in the future, but it will still be strong.
India has great potential for development.
Kissinger believes that India will rise strongly to become a global powerhouse because of its huge development potential.
At present, India is the world's most populous country, with rich human resources, which is the root of its strength, its total GDP has reached the fifth place in the world, in the next few years, there is a high probability of surpassing the fourth place Germany and the third place Japan, it is very simple, it is in its infancy in many fields, as long as it is developed, it can generate a lot of wealth, more importantly, the United States, Europe, Japan and South Korea and other countries in order to make India contain China, give a lot of strength.
In the fields of science and technology, military and other fields, India has also made great developments, for example, not long ago, India successfully sent a probe to the south pole of the moon.
However, India also has various drawbacks, such as the caste problem has not been completely eradicated, the huge disparity between the rich and the poor, the religious problem is prominent, there are territorial disputes with many neighboring countries, etc., if these problems cannot be solved, India will become a real power, it is a fool's dream.